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Ana = Reaper (tries to kill soldier:76 but Ana sacrifices herself saving soldier:76), Widowmaker (Widowmaker tries to kill Pharah and Ana jumps in the way of the bullet)
Ashe = Cassidy (if she was going to die I think it would come down to a duel between her and Cassidy and Cassidy would win), Doomfist (Ashe tries to buy overwatch heroes time to escape and Doomfist makes an example of her by killing her infront of them)
Baptiste = Widowmaker, Reaper, Doomfist (he would settle down thinking he is under protection but they would track him get him then torture him to death)
Bastion = Sombra (hacks him shutting him down permanently), Reinhardt (Sombra hack turns him bad and Reinhardt has to fight him like he did at Eichenwalde), Torbjörn (Has to shut him down before he can do more harm after he turns good again), Brigitte (Has to shut him down before he can do more harm after he turns good again maybe after he has killed someone like Torbjörn)
BOB = Ashe (tries to kill Cassidy but BOB defends him and Ashe shoots him), Doomfist (helps Ashe fend off Talon while overwatch heroes escape but gets schooled by Doomfist like Thanos did to Hulk in Avengers: Infinity War)
Brigitte = Any Talon MembeNull Sector Agent (She would stay with Reinhardt while they let the others escape)
Cassidy = Reaper (he first recruited him into overwatch so he is the one who takes him out), Doomfist (Reaper brings Cassidy to Doomfist and he kills him)
Doomfist = Cassidy (Doomfist underestimates him and pays the price), Orisa (it is her sole purpose to defeat Doomfist), Rammatra (betrays him and takes over talon), Widowmaker (blames him for her brainwashing), Reaper (gets tired of him or doesn’t want to follow his orders anymore)
Dva = Sombra (gets hacked so she cannot eject and sombra activates the self-destruct), Rammatra (rips her and takes her prisoner then gives the mech an au and the ai mech kills her)
Echo = Sombra (hack her shutting her down permanently), Sigma (doesn’t realise she is a “person” not a regular robot)
Genji = Sombra (hacks him shutting him down), Moira (she gave him his new body I think so she might have a kill switch of sorts), Reaper (brought him into overwatch and can take him out), Hanzo (he comes to full inner peace by having to accept killing his brother by doing it again), Zenyatta (gives Genji the ultimate peace: death)
Hanzo = Genji (swap roles and they both come to peace)
Junker Queen = Rammatra (she preys on omnics so he would get revenge), Junkrat (his plan would work or it would be an accident)
Junkrat = Junker Queen (would catch up to him and execute him), Roadhog (Junkrat would go to far and Roadhog would kill him out of anger) Reaper (gets annoyed)
Kiriko = Doomfist (would realise how much of a threat she is and kill her first)
Lucio = Symmetra (she would have to get rid of him so her company could take over Brazil)
Mei = Sombra (she would hack Mei’s tech so she would freeze in her iceblock)
Mercy = Moira (they would do battle as they have obviously rivalry due to morals)
Moira = Genji (she experimented on him so he gets revenge), Reaper (she experimented on him and he gets revenge), Mercy (they would do battle as they have obvious rivalry due to morals), Hanzo (avenge his brother), Sigma (she encourages him to kill more after killing echo and he kills her), Widowmaker (it is my head canon that Moira was the one who brainwashed her so Widowmaker would kill her for revenge)
Orisa = Sombra (hacks her shutting her down permanently), Doomfist (he would kill her after she trie to fulfil her purpose) , Reinhardt (if she turned evil Reinhardt would be the one to fight her like Baldriech did)
Pharah = Widowmaker (would kill her to get back at Ana), Junkrat (adds more explosives to her jet back without her knowledge)
Rammatra = Sombra (hacks him and shuts him down permanently), Doomfist (betrays him and takes over Null Sector), Bastion (goes against him after Rammatra tries to convince Bastion that he is on his side), Zenyatta (ends his brother so he may have peace)
Reaper = Soldier:76 (he finally takes him down in a 1v1), Ana (Saves soldier:76 by killing him), Winston (saves Tracer by ripping him in half), Widowmaker (turns against him and talon)
Reinhardt = Orisa (after turning evil she kills him like her model killed his mentor), Rammatra (makes an example of him and kills him infront if the entire team), Bastion (after turning evil overwhelms him while Reinhardt is covering others)
Roadhog =Junker Queen (executes him with Junkrat), Orisa (she would have to be the one to take him down due to her being the only one big enough), Rammatra (gets revenge as Roadhog has killed a lot of Omnics)
Sigma = Moira (sees him as too unstable and a threat so ends him), Sombra (helps him find mental stability by killing him), Soldier:76 (frees him if talons control by killing him)
Sorjourn = Widowmaker (would assassinate her in broad daylight so there would be no backup)
Soldier:76 = Reaper (he finally takes him down in a 1v1), Ana (puts him out of his misery), Rammatra (tracks him down captures him then makes an example of him by executing him in live tv to everyone), Doomfist (tracks him down captures him then makes an example of him by executing him in live tv to everyone)
Sombra = Orisa (would find her trying to hack her and would kill her), Zarya (would get her hands in her and take her to the lady from the sombra cinematic who would then kill her)
Symmetra = Lucio (so that he can take back Rio de Janeiro)
Torbjörn = Bastion (Torbjörn would try to talk down evil bastion and her getting fatally injured would make bastion snap out of it)
Tracer = Widowmaker (would finally get her)
Widowmaker = Ana (would win in the sniper rematch), Pharah (would avenge her mother)
Winston = Reaper (would manage to kill her after all the attempts), Doomfist (leader vs leader)
Wrecking ball = Sombra (hacks him and easily kills the fat hamster), Winston (would have to face him off because he is also form the lunar colony and know what happened to Harold Winston), Junker Queen (would have to put him down after he tries to become junker king in a revolution), Roadhog (Junker queen gets Roadhog to kill him)
Zarya = Sombra (gets the better of her and manages to kill her), Soldier:76 (enhanced soldier vs enhanced soldier)
Zenyatta = Sombra (Hacks him shutting him down permanently), Reaper (killed to shut him up), Rammatra (kills his brother so that he doesn’t cause any more problems)
Ps if this gets removed I’ll be annoyed because I asked to miss about it and neither replied

I'm having a great time with this game, coming from games like Escape from tarkov and all I have been doing is fishing... for hours.. and it's amazing but I was curious on if anyone knows will there been any sort of new tiers? Couldn't find anything on it.
How does this game work as far as new content? Do they come out with new weapons?
Thanks in advance.

>**What will you be doing with this PC? Be as specific as possible, and include specific games or programs you will be using.**
* I typically play first person shooter games, specifically Escape From Tarkov right now. That being said, I will player other first person shooter games, as well as the occasional ARPG (Path of Exile) and MMO (World of Warcraft/Lost Ark). I would prefer this build be tailored to Escape from Tarkov though. I also play my games at 1440p. Main monitor is a G7 Odyssey 27" 1440P @ 240hz ( I know this is rather unobtainable in Escape From Tarkov.) I would like to hit the cap in PoE/LA, and potentially other games I find myself delving into.
>**What is your maximum budget before rebates/shipping/taxes?**
* $2500 USD
>**When do you plan on building/buying the PC? Note: beyond a week or two from today means any build you receive will be out of date when you want to buy.**
* I would say within the month, however, if prices do rise, I might look into alternate parts to keep me in my budget. I understand the price of computer parts can be volatile.
>**What, exactly, do you need included in the budget? (ToweOS/monitokeyboard/mouse/etc\)**
* Entire computer with the exception of peripherals. No monitor needed.
>**Which country (and state/province) will you be purchasing the parts in? If you're in US, do you have access to a Microcenter location?**
* United States, North Carolina. No easy access to a Microcenter.
>**If reusing any parts (including monitor(s)/keyboard/mouse/etc), what parts will you be reusing? Brands and models are appreciated.**
* I dont plan on reusing anything from my current build as I plan on handing it down to my daughter.
>**Will you be overclocking? If yes, are you interested in overclocking right away, or down the line? CPU and/or GPU?**
* I would like to overclock immediately, unsure about the GPU as I have never done it with a GPU.
>**Are there any specific features or items you want/need in the build? (ex: SSD, large amount of storage or a RAID setup, CUDA or OpenCL support, etc)**
* I would prefer to utilize the newest motherboard platforms that use DDR5 in an effort to semi future proof the build with the ability to upgrade parts in the future.
>**Do you have any specific case preferences (Size like ITX/microATX/mid-towefull-tower, styles, colors, window or not, LED lighting, etc), or a particular color theme preference for the components?**
* I was hoping to use the Phantek P600s (Grey or Black)
>**Do you need a copy of Windows included in the budget? If you do need one included, do you have a preference?**
* I dont need it included in the budget, thats a planned cost I have already accounted for.
>**If possible I would like to follow a grey/black scheme. Other than that, I am not really beholden to anything specific.
​
I have built many computers before, but I am finding that I have less knowledge than I would like when it comes to pairing parts, and buying what is necessary for my needs. I was hoping that could be worked out here, and greatly appreciate any and all of your help.
​
Thanks so much in advance.

Just got access to Bard and thought I'd share the three drafts answering "what's the best way to play Ohio in world of warships" (not sure where I get the Ohio smokescreen for Draft 2, but let me know where you find it!)
Draft 1:

The Ohio is a very versatile battleship that can be played in a variety of ways. She has excellent guns, good armor, and a powerful heal. She can also be very maneuverable for her size.
Here are some tips on how to play the Ohio effectively:
Use your guns to your advantage. The Ohio's guns are very accurate and can do a lot of damage to enemy ships. Try to stay at a range where your guns can hit your targets, but where you are also safe from enemy fire.
Use your armor to your advantage. The Ohio's armor is very good and can withstand a lot of damage. Use it to protect yourself from enemy fire and to allow you to get in close to deal damage.
Use your heal to your advantage. The Ohio's heal is very powerful and can heal a lot of damage. Use it to heal yourself and your teammates when they are damaged.
Be maneuverable. The Ohio is very maneuverable for her size. Use this to your advantage to get into good positions and to avoid enemy fire.
Be patient. The Ohio is a very powerful ship, but she can be slow to reload. Be patient and wait for the right opportunity to fire your guns.
Work with your team. The Ohio is a team ship and she is most effective when working with other ships. Use your guns to support your teammates and to help them deal damage.
By following these tips, you can play the Ohio effectively and have a lot of success in battle.

Draft 2:

The Ohio is a very powerful battleship, but it can be difficult to play well. Here are a few tips on how to get the most out of her:
Use your guns to your advantage. The Ohio's 457mm guns are very powerful, and they can citadel even the toughest ships. However, they are also very slow, so you need to make sure you are firing at broadside targets.
Use your armor to protect yourself. The Ohio has thick armor, which will help you to survive enemy fire. However, you still need to be careful, as the Ohio is not immune to citadels.
Use your secondaries to help you fight off destroyers. The Ohio's secondaries are very powerful, and they can help you to defend yourself against enemy destroyers.
Use your radar to help you spot enemy ships. The Ohio's radar is very long-range, and it can help you to spot enemy ships even when they are hidden behind islands.
Use your smokescreen to help you escape from danger. The Ohio's smokescreen is very effective, and it can help you to escape from danger when you are being chased by enemy ships.
By following these tips, you can become a very effective player in the Ohio.

​
Draft 3:

The Ohio is a very versatile battleship that can be played in a variety of ways. She is well-armored and has powerful guns, making her a force to be reckoned with in close-quarters combat. However, she is also quite slow, so it is important to position yourself carefully and use your guns to support your allies from a distance.
Here are some tips on how to play Ohio effectively:
Use your guns to support your allies from a distance. The Ohio has powerful guns that can deal significant damage to enemy ships from long range. Use this to your advantage by firing at enemy ships that are engaged with your allies.
Be patient. The Ohio is a slow ship, so it is important to be patient and wait for the right opportunity to strike. Do not rush into battle and try to take on multiple enemy ships at once. Instead, focus on taking down enemy ships one at a time.
Use your secondaries to defend yourself. The Ohio has a strong secondary battery that can help you defend yourself against enemy destroyers and cruisers. Use your secondaries to shoot down enemy aircraft and to deter enemy ships from getting too close.
Be aware of your surroundings. The Ohio is a large ship, so it is important to be aware of your surroundings and to avoid getting into situations where you are outnumbered or outgunned. Use your radar to detect enemy ships and to avoid being ambushed.
Use your heals to keep yourself alive. The Ohio has a strong heal that can help you recover from damage. Use your heals to keep yourself alive and to stay in the fight.
By following these tips, you can maximize your chances of success in the Ohio.

Right before the pandemic began my life and mental health started spiraling and kept crashing until I hit my absolute rock bottom with two hospital visits, one in 2021 with a severe panic attack and one in 2022 where I was admitted following a bad depressive episode. Over the 3 years since this became the biggest struggle in my life I tried all sorts of medications to help me feel better and be functional. Some didn't help at all, some helped for a while and helped get certain symptoms under control but one major problem I experienced after messing with my brain chemistry so much is I felt incredibly numb go pain. My deep depressive episodes that occurred during that time weren't painful or anxious days, weeks and months they were times where I just felt nothing at all and it sucked so bad.
This isn't to knock psychiatric medications, if I didn't get the panic attacks under control I would've been in a terrible place. I was afraid to go outside I was afraid to drive because after experiencing my first panic attack in 2019 and then a few more in 2020 and then ALOT more in 2021 I was so afraid of them happening that I just shut down and did the bare minimum to survive. Meds did help that and maybe at that point it was good for me to be numb.
But after years of learning about myself and my triggers and natural coping medications a few months ago I decided it was time to start doing this on my own. Honestly the withdrawal process from the medications wasn't that bad and after I got through that part I noticed something amazing. I could feel the full range of emotions again and while it hasn't always been fun feeling that again my coping skills have been working and I haven't had any panic attacks or major depressive episodes.
But one issue I've had is that a lot of stuff occurred in those 3+ years I was numbing myself and holy shit I've had a lot of grieving and loss to process that occurred during that time that I never really dealt with. And it has been hitting me full force in waves, but the thing I've realized is. It feels good, no I don't enjoy thinking about my aunt who died at the beginning of the pandemic from dementia but crying and grieving over it 3 years later has really allowed me to process things I just didn't even think about. My guilt over not being able to attend her funeral, the sadness that the last times me and my mom saw her she was angry and mean to us (not her fault of course but still painful). All of those feelings have flowed through me and hurt real bad but I feel so much better feeling them than when I didn't.
One of my friends got addicted to opiods and got arrested and nearly died multiple times during that time frame. He's doing better now but holy shit that was a horrible experience and I didn't really process either, I've been able to work through that even when it's painful.
It's not all bad stuff either, I've been able to appreciate sunny days more or see the beauty in nature. There were a few new births in my family over that time period and at the most recent family get together I was able to play with the kids and fully feel the joy in a toddler's laugh and make a fool of myself and not care. It's been beautiful.
Again I want to reiterate these medications weren't "bad" they helped me while I built up the strength to take care of myself and it's not been totally smooth sailing, instead of having 7 "meh" days a week I'm now having 2-3 good days 1-3 meh days and 1-3 bad days (don't check the math on that). It sometimes sucks feeling things again but I feel alive, and human and that's pretty great.

Welcome to the Empire Powers Season XI Recap for the year 1508, where the events of this week (year) are rounded up into one place and summarized.
Previous recaps: 1500 1501 1502 1503 1504 1505 1506 1507
Be sure to check out this really nice recap of expeditions up to 1507 by alisonmode:
https://www.reddit.com/empirepowers/comments/11v7m5i/meta_expeditions_to_the_new_world_up_to_1507/

Map in January of 1508 [Waiting for the Map in January of 1509]

Major events

• Italy - Italian Wars of 1508

Following last year's success against the French, the Italic League promptly breaks apart. On the 12^th of March, The Declaration of Saint Serafina is made by the Papacy, creating the Duchy of Piacenza e Busseto, granting Parma to Ferrara-Modena, announcing their withdrawal from the league and declaration of war against Florence.
Returning from the failed siege of Asti, the Florentine forces under Fabrizio Colonna are destroyed when they meet their assumed Cesarean ally. They had not at that point heard of the declaration. An invasion of Florence ensues. Without an army opposing this, soon Lucca, Pisa and Siena are liberated and Florence proper fully occupied.
At the same time, Ferrara-Modena is given permission by the Holy Roman Emperor to make true of its claims along the Po, which had been recently discovered within an old piece of parchment.
The Venetians and Austrians are unable to respond to the goings-on in Tuscany due to the French threat. They instead focus on consolidating their hold on Milan, but are surprised by the early arrival of French reinforcements and over the course of the year and several battles are forced to leave.
Genoa too, is the target of French occupation, though the city itself holds for now, safeguarding the east.
Old parchment Milanese restoration Barbarossa takes Elba Resolution post

• Safavid/Georgia - War

The Kings of Georgia refuse to come to terms after the defeats of last year. They instead opt for guerilla warfare, but their efforts are ineffective due to lack of popular support. The Safavid area of occupation grows considerably by the end of the year.
Resolution post

• Iran - Arrival of the Shaybanids

Muhammad Shaybani, having in years prior conquered his way into empire in Central Asia. This year, he defeats the Aq Qoyunlu of Iran, much like how Ismail had done years ago, and takes control over the region neighboring the Safavid.
Shaybanids arrive

Minor Events

• Montferrat/Genoa - Treaty

Montferrat and Genoa sign a treaty restoring relations. Notably, Genoa de-occupies Montferrat lands.
Treaty

• Scotland - Heir

James V, heir to Scotland, is born.
Heir is born

• Mainz - Call for Diet

Elector Jakob of Mainz, believing the Reichskammergeircht's is in need of reforms, calls on the Emperor to summon a Diet.
Call for Diet

• Hansa - Prosperity

The last few years have been of good fortune for the Hansa, and the profits reflect that.
Prosperity

• France/Lithuania - Repudiation of the alliance

The new Grand Duke of Lithuania and already King of Poland, Sigismund, refuses to uphold the pivotal clauses of the Franco-Lithuanian Treaty. France responds by repudiating the treaty in its entirety.
Repudiation

• HRE - Antisemitism

A fresh batch of antisemitism is cooked up in the Holy Roman Empire.
Antisemitic publishings Jews expelled from Mainz

• Muscovy/Ottomans - Embassies

Muscovy and the Ottomans establish embassies.
Embassies

• East Frisia - Co-duke dies

Uko Cirksena dies, leaving East Frisia to the sole rule of Duke Edzard I.
Death

• Palatinate - Succession

Philipp der Aufrichtige dies. His realm is divided between his sons Ludwig and Frederick, resulting in the creation of the Elector Palatine and Upper Palatine.
Succession

• Mainz - Succession

A new Archbishop of Mainz is elected.
Succession

• Cologne - Succession

Hermann IV von Hesse dies. He is succeeded by Philip II von Daun-Oberstein.
Death Succession

• Mantua - Marriage

Elisabetta Gonzaga and Giovanni Tommaso Pico are wed.
Marriage

• Ferrara & Modena - Heir

Ercole II d’Este, heir to Ferrara, is born.
Heir is born

• Lorraine - Succession

René II de Lorraine dies. He is succeeded in the Empire by his eldest son Antoine, and in France by his second son Claude.
Succession

• Aragon - Tobacco posting

Ferdinand of Aragon becomes a certified Tobacco Consumer.
First impressions Plantations

• Montferrat/Knights Hospitaller - Holdings

The Knights are given a holding in Montferrat.
Holdings

Retro Events

• 1506 - Muscovy/Sweden - War

Muscovy invades Finland in late 1506. Because of this timing Swedish forces can only reach Helsingfors before wintering.
Resolution post

• 1504 to 1507 - Mecklenburg - Conflict over Rostock

The Hansa and Lambert Rode come to terms and collaborate to eventually force Fugger out of the city of Rostock.
Resolution post

• 1507 - Montferrat - Marriage

Bianca Palaeologos-Monferrato and Demetre Bagrationi are wed.
Marriage

Bet record: 17-31, Staked: 53.75u, Profit/Loss: +4.96u, ROI: 9.24%, Parlay Suggestions: 21-6
If you’re not bothered about my ramblings on last week’s opinions, scroll down for UFC San Antonio Breakdowns
(For context, my UFC 286 Preview for that event can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/MMAbetting/comments/11qh6nn/ufc_286_betting_preview_ufc_las_vegas_review/)
​
UFC 286
Bets: 4-3, +5.74u, Parlay Suggestions: 3-1
✅ 3u Gunnar Nelson & Marvin Vettori both to Win (-115)
✅ 2u Jack Shore & Impa Kasangany to Win (-180)
✅ 1u Jack Shore to Win in Round 2 or 3 (+241)
❌ 1.5u Omar Morales to Win (-110)
✅ 1u Leon Edwards to Win (+250)
❌ 1u Juliana Miller & Omran Chaaban to Win (-125)
❌ 0.25u Marvin Vettori, Gunnar Nelson, Jack Shore & Juliana Miller all to Win (+205)
As I said in my initial comments about UFC 286, I think it really under delivered from a fan perspective because of the lack of high level UK prospects. Without a Molly McCann, Darren Till, Paddy Pimblett or a Tom Aspinall, the fans just weren’t as excited or vocal throughout the card.
With that said, I’m always having fun if I’m making money! This was my third winning event in a row, a streak of over 10u profit in March. It was obviously a card of strong favourites but I’m mostly happy with the spots I chose to pull the trigger on. The Nelson/Vettori parlay was nice as both men delivered exactly what I expected them to, and Jack Shore also came through to cash a bigger priced prop bet. It’s really satisfying when your reads on fights turn out to be spot on, and your bets cash with relative ease as a result. Here's some live thoughts on the card + my breakdowns:
- So proud of Leon Edwards man, that was one hell of a performance. The way he levelled up that takedown defence and made his shots count in the clinch. It was one of those complicated fights to score in that he was moving backwards and fighting defensively for the most part, but he certainly landed more shots and had the better moments. Really happy to have gotten 2/1 and 3/1 (boosted) on the dog there.
- Jesus Christ Rafael Fiziev is quick. The combinations he was throwing in the first minute of round three were some of the most terrifying spurts of offence I’ve seen in some time. And then just a minute or so later Justin Gaethje starts winging massive uppercuts and cannot miss with them. That was such a good fight, real back and forth stuff. I feel like Gaethje was lowkey a really good underdog spot all week but it’s hard to give those opinions credence sometimes when the masses are all hyping up Fiziev. At least I identified Fiziev was not a good bet.
- Massive shoutout to Gunnar Nelson for performing exactly like a -400 should, as I expected him to! He got in, landed a takedown, and found the sub soon after. I still wish he would have done that against Takashi Sato, bur he rounded out the parlay with Vettori and made it a winning night for me! Along with Hadley, he was the best parlay option on the card (as I suggested).
- Casey O’Neill didn’t shoot for a takedown. Not the fight anyone was expecting. It’s disappointing when that happens but there’s not really a whole lot you can do. Jennifer Maia is a really underrated striker so god knows why Casey chose that path. When you consider the way Jake Hadley approached his fight and compare it with O’Neill…that’s the difference between good fight IQ and bad. I actually said in my analysis “I trust O’Neill’s dedication to her gameplan here” which is hilarious. Don’t think I can be blamed for not seeing it coming though haha.
- All week I was a little bit confused by all the love for Roman Dolidze, as I got on Marvin Vettori pretty early and didn’t really see a whole lot of reasoning that I understood. To be perfectly honest, Dolidze had more success than I expected him to, and any fighter other than Vettori would probably have wilted and got stopped. With that said, that’s exactly why I bet Marvin, so I don’t necessarily think it was a bad read at all. A solid parlay leg.
- Jack Shore vs Makwan Amirkhani played out exactly as I expected it to. Amirkhani’s a good grappler, so I wasn’t surprised nor worried when he clearly won round 1. In fact, I was more confident in winning my bets as soon as the horn sounded, and it showed. I don’t really understand how a professional fighter can have such a glaring cardio issue and not address it or adjust his style. I hope they keep Makwan around, those Round 2/3 props will always be good. Happy to finally win one of those bigger priced prop bets. I’ve historically been pretty good with props but somehow been on a dry patch since I started posting here.
- Chris Duncan v Morales was a frustrating one. Morales will look back on that one and be pissed off at himself, because he should absolutely be winning that. Chris Duncan really isn’t very good and I am already looking forward to fading him in the future. Hope they try and build him up because there’ll be a good fade waiting to happen. Annoying fight to lose but fair play to Duncan for identifying the path to victory. Glad I went with a smaller stake for a volatile fight.
- A shame what happened to Dusko Todorovic. Christian Leroy Duncan is a really exciting striker so I was looking forward to seeing more of him, but you never want to see that happen. I hope we don’t have to wait until the next England card for C L Duncan’s next fight, but I also hope they give him a bit of a lay-up for to allow for a proper “debut”.
- Nicely done from Jake Hadley, making use of his striking advantage and not getting sucked into a grappling affair. Always annoys me when someone has a distinct advantage but doesn’t use it because it’s not their plan A. He was the best parlay piece of the card. Good for Hadley and I’m excited to see what else he has to offer. Wish I’d gone with him instead of backing Juliana Miller.
- I was keeping half an eye on Herbert/Klein and Wood/Carolina whilst at work. Doesn’t look like I missed a whole lot and haven't bothered to rewatch.
- Juliana Miller with an awful performance. Veronica Macedo looked much improved but it didn’t take a whole lot to defeat an opponent with no plan B. I didn’t anticipate Macedo being the stronger fighter of the two, which changed a whole lot. Poor decision from me to back an inexperienced fighter at -400 like that. Grim. Inexperience really showed.
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UFC San Antonio
I'm really excited for the main event of this one, very glad they put this fight together. Unfortunately the headliner is a massive cut above the rest of the card in terms of popularity and calibre, but we’ve had worse cards this year, I don’t mind it. Usually I’d rejoice over the fact we aren’t in the Apex…but we are in Texas, where judging has been historically AWFUL. There isn’t a whole lot we can really do with that information though, except consider how much of a fighter’s win probability is based around them finding a finish. Fighters who are likely to win without the judges getting involved will be the less volatile spots this week.
From a betting perspective, it’s a very weak card. The bookies have done a really good job of pricing the punters out of any value, as my conclusions to most fights see me lining it pretty close to the books, where there ends up being no real numerical edge on either side! Nonetheless, I’ve broken down most of the bouts on the card below:
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Cory Sandhagen v Marlon Vera
Marlon Vera has always been one of my favourite fighters. Backing him to win inside the distance when he was a prelim fighter was a spot I always looked out for back in the day, so it’s great to see him climb so high in the rankings. I always support and ride with the fighters that make me money over the years, and Vera has been one of the best of them.
Unfortunately, Vera’s always relied on his power and finishing ability to really carry him through fights, as there are a lot of instances where he’s down on the overall scorecards, before finding a finish. His wins over Dominic Cruz and Frankie Edgar are the two best examples recently, but his issue of being a slow starter also made this applicable in wins over Davey Grant, Nohelin Hernandez and Guido Cannetti. Also similarly, he was being thoroughly outboxed by Rob Font in their main event encounter last year, but the Ecuadorian was stealing rounds with knockdowns in a very similar way.
Considering I expect this fight against Cory Sandhagen to be a closely contested one, Vera’s inability to win minutes and start strong could end up becoming a problem here. The pivotal question in this fight is whether or not Vera can hurt or finish Sandhagen, as I certainly lean towards favouring Cory if this fight goes the distance and Vera hasn’t scored multiple knockdowns.
Vera is one of the most dangerous guys P4P on the roster, with KO and Submission potential across all five rounds – but Sandhagen has been pretty damn durable in his MMA career. Aljamain Sterling was the only man of 19 able to finish Cory, and it came in under 90 seconds. Sandhagen’s performance there was such a disappointment that I’m convinced there was something else going on that hindered him that night. Petr Yan also dropped Sandhagen with a spinning back fist combo, but that seemed very much like Cory getting caught unaware – and he looked like he recover instantly.
Given the calibre that Sandhagen has fought against in the last four years – I think we have to give him the benefit of the doubt in assuming he can stay safe here. If that is the case I expect him to win rounds with superior output and a faster pace – especially considering he’s got a high likelihood of being one round up after five minutes.
I’m not super confident in that take though as it’s hardly on the level of Garbrandt vs Jones or something! So it’s a fight I’m definitely lining as quite close. Sandhagen deserves to be deemed the favourite for the above reasons, but I wouldn’t be too surprised if Vera’s dangerousness was enough to tip the balance in his favour, or if he was able to win a round by just point striking anyway.
I saw a stat this week that said there have been 10 rounds in 2023 where a knockdown is landed but the round still ended and was scored. Of those scorecards, the fighter landing the knockdown won 8 of 10 times. Whilst it’s highly implied that a knockdown means you’re more likely to win the round based off how the following minutes take place, that does still imply the judges are leaning towards awarding damage over minute winning (I personally hate the way MMA judging has gone these days but it is what it is). Just something to consider when you think about Chito’s path to victory.
At the end of the day, it’s an intriguing fight, and not one I think anyone should be rushing to the betting window for due to the small margins in the various skill discrepancies.
How I line this fight: Cory Sandhagen -150 (60%), Marlon Vera +150 (40%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Holly Holm v Yana Santos
Holly Holm is one of those fighters who makes your memory play tricks on you. I instinctively feel like I have a good read on her style and overall calibre, but then when I watch tape she’s always a much more underwhelming version of that fighter I have in my head. She just doesn’t really put her stamp on rounds – spending too much time in the clinch and does not have high enough volume. 3.24 significant strikes landed per 15 minutes is a shockingly low number, especially considering it’s Women’s MMA and Holm has a lot of in cage time. To make matters worse, Holm averages 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes and is now 41 years old.
Whilst there’s a lot of data to crunch on Holm, there’s actually a surprisingly smaller sample size on Yana Santos. Considering Kunitskaya (previous surname) has been a known name in Women’s MMA for some time, it’s pretty crazy to think she only has 7 UFC appearances to her name – most of which are against a lesser calibre than Holly Holm. She’s also coming off a two year lay-off having had a child with Thiago Santos, which adds further uncertainty to an already tepid read.
As I’m sure you may have noticed by now, this breakdown is much more stat-based than I typically offer (though Women’s MMA is a lot more accessible for stats), because I honestly cannot bring myself to re-watch Holly Holm’s career and I’m instead relying on what the numbers are telling me. Perhaps that’s a bit lazy, but this is the 8th week of UFC cards in a row and I am feeling very burnt out! I just don’t think either woman has a particularly commanding style, and there’s a hell of a lot of intangibles floating around this fight (old age, post-child birth, lay-offs, levels of competition, Texas judging etc), so it’s a very easy pass.
How I line this fight: I won’t line a fight I haven’t taped, but I do not recommend Holm at this price.
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Nate Landwehr v Austin Lingo
It’s a shame Alex Caceres had to pull out of the originally scheduled bout against Nate Landwehr, but good to see they managed to find Austin Lingo a fight so soon after the Ricardo Ramos one fell through a couple of weeks ago (still annoyed I didn’t get to cash some easy money there). From a fan perspective, this bout is probably the most entertaining of the three available!
Both dudes are hardnosed strikers that like to fight gritty and wear out their opponents. Neither are particularly gifted from a technique perspective, but you’d be hard pressed to find fighters that can out work these two. Pitting them against one another is going to lead to an exhausting fight.
Landwehr is the much more experienced of the two and has clearly had more career success implementing the brawling style, but I think this is just one of those matchups that’s going to be fought quite closely, given how it should play out. Landwehr relies on sheer busyness and drowning his opponents to win rounds but, if he can’t necessarily do that to Lingo, do you really have a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to be the clear round winner? The guy gets hit by 5.56 significant strikes per minute. Considering we are in Texas and there is added volatility to the judging, any fighter that can land 5.56 S.Strikes is live to win a round or two!
Landwehr’s key to winning this fight is going to be in his wrestling, as that’s where he will clearly assert himself. But can he even get it there though? Lingo’s debut performance against Youseff Zalal was a big red flag in terms of his takedown defence, but he looks to have improved it in his following two bouts. However, those came against a lower level of competition so could well be flattering Lingo’s overall ability. His takedown defence stats are quite skewed, and he’s coming off an 18 month layoff which muddies the water even more.
I think the edge in experience and overall competence at the hard-nosed styles means that Landwehr deserves to be favoured here, but I think the pricetag is a bit ridiculous. He should get the win, but I would be very surprised if he does it with the dominance of a -275. The lay off for Lingo means that he can have anywhere from a very low floor to a reasonably high ceiling. Both men are durable and will have moments in this fight, so this is one of the fights where I’m expecting some wild shit from Texas judges. If you’re convinced about betting Landwehr at -300 here, you’re crazy. Lingo the value side, but mostly based off intangibles and hypotheticals, which doesn’t fill me with enough confidence to pull the trigger.
How I line this fight: Nate Landwehr -200 (67%), Austin Lingo +200 (34%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Andrea Lee v Maycee Barber
This one should be pretty fun! It’s speed and agility vs power and force.
Andrea Lee is a complicated fighter to get a full read on, as her performances have really varied throughout her career. She’s well rounded enough to outstrike most equally levelled opponents on the feet, and her grappling isn’t too bad either. Takedown defence needs a bit of work though.
The biggest issue with Lee is those back-to-back losses to Lauren Murphy and Roxanne Modafferi. It’s just inexcusable to lose both of those of those fights when you’re the calibre that Andrea Lee is. I know you can argue she got robbed against Murphy (it’s probably the key example of Texas judging being so bad), but she let the fight become quite close. And yes, Barber lost to Modafferi, but that was all determined by an injury and anyone who tells you otherwise is a hater or hasn’t watched it.
I’ve always thought Barber was overrated in terms of skills, but her physicality and strength are a bit of a gamechanger in the Women’s divisions. She’s well-rounded, but statistically has lesser output than Andrea Lee…which is always concerning. I expect this one to be quite competitive, where Andrea Lee could easily stay safe on the outside and jab her way to a win, as long as she gets on her bike and utilises good footwork. Maycee will plod forward and look to land the power shot, but that’s not a particularly high percentage outcome to rely on in Women’s MMA. If she can get her hands on her and utilise the clinch, I think it’s all one way traffic from there though. Maycee is reliable to do that, at least.
I can understand Barber being the favourite based off the finishing upside, imposing striking with good metrics and ability to land takedowns…but I’m just still not wholly convinced by her ability as a mixed martial artist outside of the way she implements brute force. It might be enough here, but I just don’t like her at this short of a price. Lee has a clear path to victory that, whilst I’m not convinced she can execute it, should be taken seriously.
How I line this fight: Andrea Lee +163 (38%), Maycee Barber -163 (62%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Alex Perez v Manel Kape
It’s just impossible to know what we’re getting from Alex Perez at this stage, isn’t it? I like Manel Kape and rate him relatively highly, but I have always maintained that Perez on his best day could well be a champion at Flyweight. I bet him in most of his fights in the buildup to the title bout against Figgy – and I bet him there as well. Unfortunately Figgy was still in his explosive prime so it didn’t work out, but I expected Perez to become somewhat of a title eliminator gatekeeper from then on. Since that loss two and a half years ago his career has taken a peculiar turn – eight fight cancellations and a 91 second loss to Alexandre Pantoja.
There are just so many question marks surrounding Alex Perez at the moment, and that makes it impossible to know what to expect in this fight. If he was at his best, I’d consider him a slight favourite here, but who knows. Kape’s weakness is clearly defensive wrestling, and he can sometimes be low volume enough on the feet that he makes fights closer than they need to be. Perez has a good enough style to make that work and win here…providing we get him at his best.
I didn’t dive into much tape for this one as I knew I wasn’t going to bet it at all. If you think Kape beats Perez based off the footage available then you’re getting a decent price!
How I line this fight: Didn’t tape, won’t line it.
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Chidi Njokuani v Albert Duraev
It’s crazy how much Albert Duraev’s stock has fallen, all in one loss to Joaquin Buckley. Before that bout he looked sensational on the Contender Series, and followed it up with a dominant win over Roman Kopylov as a -450 favourite. He absolutely does his best work in the grappling and showed that he doesn’t have much of a plan B if he can’t land takedowns or settle his opponent on their back. I’m also not too convinced by his cardio, and any opponent that will make him work hard to secure top position can weaponise his questionable endurance in the later rounds.
Buckley’s such a physical and stocky guy though, I think he’s naturally going to be a tough opponent to take down when you’ve got a bit more of a wirey frame like Duraev does. Chidi Njokuani isn’t so muscular and stocky, so I think it’s fair to assume that Duraev’s going to be more of a threat with the takedowns than he was against Buckley.
The problem is, Chidi showed some really impressive get ups after the initial takedown and doesn’t usually settle on the bottom whilst he’s fresh. Dusko Todorovic isn’t the best grappler in the world by any stretch, but Chidi was doing all the right things to prevent hit back from lying flat on the mat, and if he has similar success against Duraev he’s cruising.
The finish to the Robocop fight was a bit of a concern, but that fight heated up to a ridiculously fast pace in round 1 that I think Chidi cardio dumped, got rocked, and kind of quit on the bottom against Rodrigues. The same could happen again, but it would rely on Duraev pushing the pace aggressively with his striking, which isn’t something he often does.
Overall, I think Njokuani definitely deserves to be a favourite here as he is much more dangerous on the feet and has shown us already that he can successfully answer the questions that Duraev will ask. The Russian also does not have much of a plan B and doesn’t always do a whole lot with his top control except set up submissions. Considering Njokuani is a BJJ Black Belt, and the judges probably won’t appreciate those kind of optics from Duraev, I’m not massively convinced by his chances here.
I’m interested to see what kind of price they’re giving for Njokuani ITD in this fight, as I’m quite convinced by his finishing ability since he moved up to Middleweight, and Duraev is very hittable if he gets stuck on the feet. If I can get + money on it I think I’d have a small wager.
How I line this fight: Chidi Njokuani -175 (64%), Albert Duraev +175 (36%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u Chidi Njokuani & CJ Vergara Both to Win (+122)
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Steven Peterson v Lucas Alexander
I complain pretty much every week about the UFC’s current fighter calibre having massively declined recently, and nothing proves my point like Steven Peterson finally becoming a betting favourite for the first time in 8 UFC bouts. The guy has been the perfect litmus test to determine whether any fighter is UFC level, and those he has beaten were notoriously bad at the time and didn’t last long at the top level (Chase Hooper excluded because he had some “name value”).
He’s got some similarities to Austin Lingo in that he is some generic white guy with bad tattoos, that doesn’t have any real skill but is gritty and dedicated to the fight. If you can’t put him away, you’re going to have keep your shit together or he might surprise you by sheer output and ruggedness. No fighter that is credited mostly for their ability to take a punch and walk forward deserves to be a -175 favourite, but they also don’t always deserve to be massive underdogs either (see breakdown of Landwehr vs Lingo). The thing that baffles me the most though is that Peterson isn’t much of a finisher (6 of his last 7 went the distance), meaning the books are putting a fair bit of stock into his ability to win a decision.
So…Lucas Alexander. His UFC debut was a quick loss via RNC, but it came off a slip from a kick and the rest was kind of a formality at that point once Brito got the back as a result. Personally I don’t really put much/any stock into that loss as I don’t think it showed us anything about him apart from his defensive grappling isn’t elite? Ask yourself this…if this was Lucas Alexander’s UFC debut, would the line still be the same? It depends on what the regional tape looks like, but I’m quite sure it wouldn’t!
Therefore, we have to go back to the regional scene to actually get a glimpse of Alexander…and there is a lot more to be intrigued by than you might think. He’s a better technical striker than Peterson! He’s got great fluidity and movement, throws a varied arsenal of kicks and combos (lots of leg kicks, which will halt that forward pressure), and switches stances quite often. I’m not too sure how he’ll deal with being crowded by Peterson and his intense style, but I fully expect him to get the better of the majority of the striking exchanges whilst they’re at distance.
To win this fight cleanly, the grappling is the answer for Peterson…but Alexander’s defensive wrestling and get ups aren’t bad at all from what I’ve seen! I’ve seen evidence of him using the cage to get back to his feet and reversing position in the clinch, as well as maintaining position in top control. Apparently he’s a black belt as well, but I try not to immediately assume that makes you a good grappler (he does have 3 submission losses tbf). I did see a few submission attempts and successful reversals from bottom against Jeremias Fernandez, and was impressed with how he handled being on the bottom. The two regional scene submission losses both came in 2018, and honestly he looks like he’s improved his wrestling/grappling a lot since then so I’m not massively concerned by them.
Peterson has averaged just 1.61 TDs landed per 15 minutes, which isn’t a massively high number and doesn’t really fill you with a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to stick to a grappling based gameplan in this fight, especially when we know how much he enjoys brawling. If he does come with that kind of gameplan then I guess I expect him to be favoured (still hard to say how good/bad Alexander’s grappling is), but if he opts to strike I think he’s at a disadvantage.
For me, this fight is clearly a pick’em, or at least leans slightly towards Peterson as the favourite. I do expect Alexander to perform better than his +150 price tag suggests, as I think he’s got the potential to keep out of danger with the grappling and actually outscore Peterson on the feet. This fight probably goes the distance and, given the hesitance I have about Texas judges, I’d much rather be on the + money side there as well. Alexander is still being regarded as a “UFC debut” fighter in my eyes so I won’t be staking much here…but if you’re betting Peterson at -180 I think you’re crazy.
How I line this fight: Steven Peterson -120 (54%), Lucas Alexander +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: 1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better…waiting to see if the juice continues)
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Trevin Giles v Preston Parsons
Preston Parsons looked really good in his win over Evan Elder last year, with the latter going on to impress everyone with his latest performance against Nazim Sadykhov a few weeks ago. Parsons has a really suffocating wrestling/grappling style, forcing his opponents to work and threatening with a variety of submissions. He can be a little “submission over position” but he’s got an arsenal of really good sweeps from bottom. His striking also looked decent in the loss to Daniel Rodriguez, throwing shots at angles and landing pretty cleanly on D-Rod a few times.
He faces Trevin Giles, who has had a pretty eventful UFC career so far. Giles suffered back to back R3 losses to Zak Cummings and Gerald Meerschaert in fights he was clearly winning, where lapses in concentration saw him snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. He then went on to be the benefactor of one of the worst decisions in MMA history when he beat James Krause by decision. Giles hasn’t really gone on to do a whole lot in his UFC career since, but a well-aged win over Roman Dolidze stands out as the highlight.
Giles has decent striking himself, but he is such a low volume fighter that I think he’s going to struggle to win rounds against Preston ‘Pressure’ Parsons if he doesn’t do damage. The younger fighter will be happy to push the pace in this one, varying up his striking with a few takedown entries and just overwhelming Giles, who likes to fight patiently and methodically on the feet. Giles looks clean when he’s involved in a staring match on the feet, but when the tempo turns up and things get a bit wild he kind of loses all composure and technique (see losses to Morales and Du Plessis recently). Giles is also a decent enough grappler, but he’s prone to reversals on the mat (which Parsons will definitely try to execute), and can accept bottom position if his initial guard sub or two get shut down.
I’m struggling to really see why this one is being lined as a pick’em here, as Giles doesn’t hold a whole lot of advantages that I think he’ll be able to implement. He’s clearly a good striker, but the low volume should prevent him from really being able to show that off properly, and he won’t be the fighter looking to put his stamp on rounds when he’s fighting at a tempo way higher than he wants. He’s more experienced, but we’ve also seen lots of examples of poor fight IQ consistently creeping into Giles’ game and he hasn’t addressed the flaws of his style.
I’d line Parsons as a small to moderate favourite in this fight, and I’ll be betting him for a couple of units as a result.
How I line this fight: Trevin Giles +150 (40%), Preston Parsons -150 (60%)
Bet or Pass: 3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
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CJ Vergara v Daniel Da Silva
To me, this seems like one of those fights where the UFC are acknowledging Vergara has paid his dues, and are giving him a bit of a softball as a result.
No one really knew what to make of Vergara when he got to the UFC – a KO win on the Contender Series in 41 seconds is usually a red flag more than anything! They lined him up with Ode Osbourne for his debut, where he was a +170 underdog. He put a really impressive display in that fight, with many thinking he actually won against a guy that is quite well respected at Flyweight.
Next, he was a +270 underdog to Kleydson Rodrigues, who was making his debut as a highly, highly touted prospect. Everyone and their mothers was on Rodrigues in that fight, yet Vergara fought a really smart and dedicated gameplan and won a close split decision. I had a big bet on Kleydson in his fight a few weeks ago, and rewatching the Vergara fight had me respecting him all over again. Given what we saw Kleydson do to Shannon Ross (not that the latter is a world beater) did nothing but improve Vergara’s stock.
Then, for his third UFC bout, he gets Tatsuro Taira! Probably one of the top 5 hottest unranked prospects in the sport right now. That was the first time we saw Vergara actually look like the +220 underdog that the books had him as, but given the hype around Taira that’s actually a respectable number to be graded at! There really isn’t a long list of fighters who are willing to fight Taira at the moment, so the matchmakers have probably scheduled this fight as a thank you for Vergara being a company man.
They’ve given him Daniel da Silva (Lacerda) as a reward. DdS is a pretty wild fighter, with 15 bouts all ending inside the distance (and none even reaching round 3). That kind of kill-or-be-killed style is certainly fun to watch, but it doesn’t really work out as well as you’d think when you hit the big shows. Don’t get me wrong, he looks pretty decent in round 1, but Vergara is a durable guy that has shown good IQ in the cage so far. He should find a way to stay safe in that opening round, probably by landing a takedown and coasting in top control like Jeff Molina did (also, shoutout Jeff Molina for handling the social media chaos with grace last week!), or by pushing that ferocious striking pace and keeping da Silva on the backfoot.
Even so, da Silva is a liability to himself in Round 1 as well, as we saw in losses to Francisco Figueiredo and Victor Altamirano. Getting kneebar’d by Figgy’s subpar brother is a pretty bad look, and he had absolutely no answer for Altamirano’s ground striking as soon as he was on his back. His commitment to the guard sub is insane, and it’s probably going to be responsible for yet another loss here against Vergara.
I think we’re getting a decent price on Vergara here. The blueprint has been written on Da Silva and, whilst Vergara will have to be careful for the opening few minutes, I think CJ’s got him covered here. I jumped in on the -275 as a parlay piece, as I think there’s an argument Vergara should probably be a bigger favourite here?
Also, as a side note from watching Molina vs Da Silva – Damn James Krause was a good coach. What a waste!
How I line this fight: CJ Vergara -300 (75%), Daniel Da Silva +300 (25%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
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Vinicius Salvador v Victor Altamirano
I loved Vinicius Salvador’s DWCS performance against Shannon Ross and I’m really excited to see him make his debut, but I’m not massively sure about how good he is as an overall fighter. His style instantly makes him a fan favourite, but using nothing but head movement to defend, and having that cocky style that throws ridiculous highlight reel kicks isn’t really a positive trait when you’re looking to put your hard earned money on a fighter. It looks cool and can sometimes impress the judges…but it’s a risky game and can easily see you getting caught clean or making mistakes. There’s a reason Michel Pereira doesn’t fight like a lunatic anymore.
Salvador hits hard and absolutely has knockout power, having finished 13 of his 14 wins by KO (the other was a submission). He’s also lost inside the distance in three of his 4 losses, and Shannon Ross did have him hurt for a second or two in the DWCS fight. He’s a chaotic fighter, and I’m really annoyed we got robbed of the chance to see him fight Daniel Da Silva a few months ago. It would have been fireworks.
This might sound stupid as a genuine piece of logic and reasoning, but I have always fully believed the notion that Mexican fighters have the best chins and next level toughness. It’s kind of a dumb narrative for me to hang my hat on, but I am always hesitant to side with a knockout-based fighter if it’s a Mexican opponent they’re trying to put to sleep. We saw Altamirano eat a few clean and heavy shots from Daniel Da Silva in his last bout, which makes me think I might have to side with my illogical narrative once again.
With that said, I still think Salvador deserves to be favoured by a small margin here. Victor Altamirano just isn’t very good. His win over DdS was kind of a high variance random knee, and he was clearly losing that fight up to that point. He was competitive in the win against Carlos Hernandez, but I feel like that fight didn’t do much to show off the skills of either guy and it really solidified that they are equally matched as entry level UFC fighters. It was like an intense sparring session, where neither guy had any real sting on their shots and only looked to point score, with a bit of cage pushing thrown in for good measure.
The power discrepancy between Altamirano and Salvador is too big to ignore here. Salvador is going to come out hot and look to take Victor’s head off, and I just don’t think Altamirano is going to be able to earn back the respect of Salvador here. The striking should be one-way traffic whilst they’re fresh, simply because Salvador’s going be doing damage with almost every shot that he lands. As the fight wears on though, I expect Altamirano have a lot more success in the later minutes, as he settles into the fight and has grown confident he can withstand the power (as well as some of the sting coming off Salvador’s shots).
Altamirano doesn’t look like wrestling/grappling is his preferred skillset, but I think he would do well to lean on it a bit here. I haven’t been able to really find any tape on Salvador’s defensive wrestling/grappling, but I have to assume that a fighter with as little technical discipline as him is probably not the greatest grappler in the world.
I see Vinicius Salvador as something similar to the Brazilian equivalent of Trevor Peak. It's easy to get ahead of yourself and try to fade a guy with brute force and no technique, but it’s important to realise that the judges don’t score technique and as long as Salvador is landing something, he’ll earning favour with the judges and threatening to score a finish too.
I don’t think Altamirano is the guy to capitalise on those defensive lapses of Salvador, so I think the Brazilian is the rightful favourite. However, there’s not enough value on the line to justify a bet here, and Salvador could easily be the maker of his own downfall with his reckless style, and that’s not the kind of guy I like to back.
Very excited to see this one play out. I will probably throw Salvador into a couple of my untracked degenerate parlays, but officially it’s a no-bet for me.
How I line this fight: Vinicius Salvador -120 (54%), Victor Altamirano +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
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Tamires Vidal v Hailey Cowan
The UFC are being very generous to Hailey Cowan, aren’t they!? After trying and failing to set her up with one of the worst fighters on the roster, Ailin Perez, they’re trying again to offer her a bit of a soft entry into the UFC.
The problem is that Cowan is just simply not very good, so I think she’s going to struggle against anyone that’s borderline UFC calibre. Tamires Vidal sits on the fringe, and she seems to be the much more dangerous of the two and actually has some process to her striking, so I think Cowan deserves to be the underdog once again.
The betting line here has been on a real journey already. Books opened Cowan as a +200 underdog, and it looks to have been jumped on by some opportunistic value bettors – and rightly so! I just hope the steam has come in because they think the line was wide, not because they have any real faith in Cowan!
I’m intrigued to see how far the overcorrection goes, as this one really should land around a pick’em. The books won’t mind tipping the balance towards Cowan if it means they’ve got equal money on each side, as this isn’t going to be a high stakes fight so they’ll prioritise keeping the book green.
I have to remind myself of the calibre I’m dealing with here though…both women are low level and high variance is at play! If all the money on Cowan continues to come and Vidal’s price gets bigger, then a true value bettor should pounce on any decent size + money…but you really do have to accept that you’re getting into bed with variance here.
How I line this fight: Tamires Vidal -110 (52%), Hailey Cowan +110 (48%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
​
Bets (Placed bets in bold, others are pending as line may improve)
3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
0.25u Njokuani, Parsons & Vergara All to Win (+330)
1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better)
Parlay Do’s: Njokuani, Parsons, Vergara
Parlay Don’ts: Sandhagen, Holm, Landwehr, Barber, Peterson, Cowan
​
UFC 287 (Breakdown next week but don’t expect line to hold)
2u Michael Chiesa to Win (-150)
Best of luck with your bets!

22 Blue in 2022: 'THE LIST'

Build Supermajorities of Democrats in the US House and US Senate

Here’s “22 Blue in 2022: ‘A Quick List’”:

1. Florida 2. Ohio 3. Kansas 4. North Carolina 5. Kentucky 6. Arizona7. South Carolina 8. Georgia 9. Texas 10. Michigan 11. Nevada 12. Pennsylvania13. Missouri 14. Wisconsin 15. Iowa 16. Arkansas 17. Oklahoma 18. Indiana19. Colorado 20. Alabama 21. South Dakota 22. North Dakota

The 2022 Midterm Election is the most important midterm of our lifetime.Democrats must behave as if our lives depend on this midterm, because our future depends on the outcome.
”We the people” must deny the Republican party political power at every level of government for decades to come “in order to create a more perfect union.” With 48 States having some statewide contest(s), November 8th, 2022 is our best chance the Democrats will get to do that for the rest of this decade, at least.
”The List” encourages the election of a Democratic Supermajority in the US Senate in 2022. This is the best chance we will have to create a Democratic Supermajority in both Chambers of Congress for the remainder of this decade. This midterm could be a devastating loss for the democrats if good patriots ignore this election. If Americans of good conscience band together instead, we could could begin the exile of the Republican party from power, not for years, but for decades to come.
“The List” is a set of suggestions about where to focus collective activism today.
The election of Democratic Supermajorities to both chambers of the US Congress is the best outcome we can strive towards in the 2022 Midterm Election for many reasons. Among them: breaking the decade of gridlock in Congress, supporting President Biden’s agenda, and his re-election in 2024. My personal favorite is that this could commence the decades-long political banishment of the GOP from power, which the Republican Party so richly deserves.
The Republican party has proved itself treasonous on many levels. They are traitors to Humanity by supporting Trump. Traitors to the Nation for supporting Putin. Traitors to the government and betrayers of the constitution through their apologies for the 1/6/21 insurrection. To safeguard our country and the world, we must block the Republicans from power at the ballot box, at all levels of government, for at least a generation.
Political game playing may be inevitable among humans. Change the numbers, and then change the rules, if not the game. Cynical refusal to play at this time in history cedes power to NAZIs manipulated by Active Measures. That is a surrender to crypto fascism, not radical thinking, mere cynicism, or hipsterism.
In 2022, Patriots must unify to crush the Republican Party at the ballot box. We can defeat them in every State, at every level. We need the biggest turnout at the voting booth of any Midterm ever. We need to raise more money for candidates and organizations than we did during the entire 2020 campaign season if we are to accomplish this. We need to do this in the next six months.
This is what a “Blue Tsunami” REALLY looks like.
Electing a Democratic Supermajority in Congress is our hope for the future and retribution for America’s enemies. “22 Blue in 2022” is a roadmap to the beginning of that journey. “22 Blue in 2022” is our war plan. ”22 Blue in 2022” is our electoral battle cry. “22 Blue in 2022” is a way forward out of gridlock, a way to non-violently thwart those who would poison the body politic with their hate.
If we don’t try this hard in 2022, Trump will go unpunished and metastasize by 2024.
Resist In Power, my sisters, my brothers, and my others.
Resist Together, and elect a Congressional Supermajority in 2022!
See The “FULL 22 Bue in 2022 List”, With Dozens more links to the organizations and candidates that you can support to help Create a Democratic Congressional Supermajority in 2022!
National Democratic Organizations
Democratic National Committee (DNC): https://democrats.org/Donate Directly to the DNC: DNC DIRECT DONATIONS
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC): https://www.dscc.org/Donate Directly to the DSCC: DSCC DIRECT DONATIONS
2022 Senate Republican Target Races: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/2022senatetargets
​
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC): www.dccc.orgDonate Directly to the DCCC: DCCC DIRECT DONATIONS
Democratic Governors Association (DGA): https://democraticgovernors.org/Donate Directly to the DGA: DGA DIRECT DONATIONS
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Let's here that Israel is totally dependent support, and not specifically military, that is. Let's give an example, if the USA stops protecting Israeli military nuclear program from international overview, or pursue its official policy of Middle East nuclear weapon free zone, Israel regional power and prestige will instantly be diminished. That's said, Israel has been working to make its relations with USA deeper, not only military, but economical, social, popularity among the population, relations with the two-party system...
However, as has been noticed, Israel has already lost good amount of support among democratic voters. This has been for its natural reasons, but also because Likud decided to choose Republicans over Democrats, and Evangelical base over American Jews.
However, what are the risks now for that policy. Especially, that Likud isn't in total control of the government, and has been losing popularity to ministers and MKs from the religions and far right parties. The risk is that the far right/religious sects not only they don't like reform or liberal Jews, but also Christians and Messianic Jews. And for historical and current issues they don't vocal Christian missionaries operating in Israel. That has been very apparent of the drastic increase in attacks by Jewish individuals against Christians and Christian houses or worship. And now, there is a proposal with the Ashkenazi Ultra Orthodox party to panelize Christian missionary activities.
So my questions are: 1. Will Likud be able to limit the anti-Christian missionary activities in his coalition? 2. If Likud fails, and this and similar legislation pass, do you think Israel will lose significant support in US conservative Christian establishment and communities? 3. What leg do you think Israel would stand on then?

Housekeeping:

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Child Labor

Arkansas

Earlier this month, newly-elected Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) signed a bill into law that rolls back child labor protections across the state. H.B. 1410, the “Youth Hiring Act of 2023,” eliminates the requirement that children under 16 years of age obtain a work certificate from the state before starting a job.
"The Governor believes protecting kids is most important,” Sanders’ spokesperson Alexa Henning said in a statement, “but this permit was an arbitrary burden on parents to get permission from the government for their child to get a job."
While proponents insist that the new law isn’t a threat to children’s safety and simply gives parents more power over their child’s upbringing, opponents warn that the legislation puts vulnerable children at risk of exploitation:

"When we think about kids working who are 14, we think about who this might protect, it's not the 14-year-old who's working at the ice cream parlor in your hometown, whose parents have given them permission to work. We're worried about the children who are at risk of being exploited and who are being exploited today," Laura Kellams, the northwest Arkansas director of the Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families, a group that advocates for children's rights in the state, said earlier this month during a committee hearing on the bill.

The situation isn’t hypothetical—just last month Packers Sanitation Services Inc. was fined $1.5 million for employing 10 minors at meatpacking plants in Arkansas, as well as across nine other states. While the Department of Labor did not check their immigration status, all of the children spoke Spanish as their primary language.

The Labor Department said children, ranging from 13 to 17 years old, spent overnight shifts cleaning equipment such as head splitters, back saws and brisket saws, and were exposed to dangerous chemicals such as ammonia. The risks inside meatpacking plants also include diseases from exposure to feces and blood, according to the Occupational Safety and Health Administration.

Iowa

Iowa state Sen. Jason Schultz (R) introduced S.F. 167 in January to expand the occupations 14- and 15-year olds are allowed to work to include certain jobs in meatpacking plants. As OSHA outlines, work in meatpacking plants exposes individuals to hazardous chemicals and dangerous machinery.
S.F. 167 also extends the hours that minors can legally work and allows 16- and 17-year-olds to serve alcohol with the permission of a parent.
The Senate Committee considering the legislation has approved the bill and sent it to the full chamber for debate.

Missouri

Missouri state Sen. Andrew Koenig (R) introduced S.B. 175 to remove the requirement that minors obtain a work permit in order to obtain a job. The Senate Education and Workforce Committee passed the bill in February and it now awaits the full chamber’s consideration.
Proponents of S.B. 175 argue that removing the work permit requirement furthers the goals of “limited government” and makes it easier for minors to obtain important life skills through employment.

Minnesota

Minnesota state Sen. Rich Draheim (R) introduced S.F. 375 to allow 16- and 17-year olds to work in the construction industry.
Construction workers suffer nearly twice as many fatalities per year than agriculture and forestry workers. Additionally, over 165,000 construction workers are injured on the job each year.

Cutting food benefits

SNAP benefits

As emergency food benefits introduced during the pandemic come to an end this month, cutting recipients’ Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program funds by up to hundreds of dollars, federal Republican lawmakers are seeking to limit the program even more.
H.R. 1581, called the America Works Act, would end a waiver program that allows states to bypass work requirements to receive SNAP benefits. The bill would also expand the age range of those who are required to work in order to receive food assistance, raising the age from 49 to 65 years old, and imposes the work requirement on parents of children older than 7. Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD) sponsored the legislation along with 24 other Republicans.
Rep. Johnson on his bill:

I was that kid on food stamps—I know firsthand how government assistance can both help and hurt. Education, training, and work provide dignity and economic opportunity. Too many Americans are on the sidelines while we are facing a record labor shortage. We have the jobs, but we don’t have the people to fill them. There is no one-size-fits-all solution to this problem, but there are policy areas where government is hurting, rather than helping Americans re-enter the workforce…
The America Works Act also changes age eligibility for SNAP waivers. Currently, if you are over 49 years old, you can receive SNAP benefits with no need for a waiver. As I approach 49 years old, I know I still have decades left of work ahead of me. My bill changes the maximum age rate of an ABAWD to be 65 years old, consistent with retirement and Medicare age.
Finally, the America Works Act limits the provision that exempts ABAWDs from work requirements if they have any dependent children to if they have any dependent children under the age of seven years old. By seven years old a child is in school nearly 35 hours a week. If a child can go to school nearly full-time, a parent with no other children under the age of seven can work 20 hours per week.

Free school lunches

Minnesota Governor Tim Walsh (D) signed into law a bill last week to provide free breakfasts and lunches to students at schools in the state. The legislation, H.F. 5, was sponsored entirely by Democrats; only 2 of 56 Republicans in the state House voted in favor.
One of the Republicans who opposed the bill was state Sen. Steve Drazkowski, who went viral last week for saying that because he has “yet to meet a person in Minnesota that is hungry,” food insecurity must not exist. In fact, 1 in 6 children in Minnesota experience food insecurity and, under previous law, a quarter of them did not qualify for free or reduced cost meals at school.

Hello, below is a brief overview of my tenure within Recruitment:
Staffing Agency: Feb 2018 – Nov 2018
Staffing Agency: Nov 2018 – Nov 2019
Corporate Cybersecurity Firm: Dec 2019 – July 2021
Promotion: Aug 2020
Insurance Firm: July – Mar 2022
Global Accounting/Finance Firm: Apr 2022 – Feb 2023
The above companies and respective years is a time line of my career. To give some background, I started out in Recruitment at a staffing agency upon graduating college. Like many others, it kind of just happened rather than me truly seeking it out. Regarding my first agency experience, they had an MSP (middle man between agency and client) and as many of you may know, if your AM doesn’t have a real relationship with client then your candidates typically don’t get chosen. So, I was actually recruited to another agency that touted having personal relationships with their clients so I left. This was a good experience for me because this is when I realized that I am actually a really good recruiter. I continued staffing telecommunication professionals as well as Finance and a little IT. As mentioned, I soared in this environment but after a year I realized that I wanted more out of my 40 hours than just recruiting. I know that there is a lot of value in agency recruitment but I realized that I am a little more analytical than sales so I get bored with the hunt for candidates all day/every day. I also didn’t see much of a career trajectory for me.
Anyways, I left agency and went into Corporate Recruitment/Talent Acquisition because I felt that there was a chance to do other tasks as well as actually consult with hiring managers, collaborate with other teams in a company and DEI initiatives. I also saw this as an opportunity to move into a more HR role if I saw fit. I did really well at my first corporate recruitment gig and even received a promotion within the first 8 months. With that being said I was forced to search for other opportunities because I did not receive a pay increase with this promotion as the company blamed COVID. I ended up staying for 1 year and 8 months before pulling the plug. I joined an insurance firm as there TA consultant where I recruited for experienced hires as well as manage the intern recruitment program. My tenure here was 8 months as this company was just not the right fit for me; lack of diversity and insurance is a really boring industry in general. Side note: apart of my job WAS to increase diversity of course. Anyways, this led me to my dream company which was one of the Big 4. I truly enjoyed the people as well as the work because it really allowed me to flex my consulting skills but also provided the chance to learn a lot. Unfortunately, I was a part of a mass lay off this March and I am back in the market leaving me with a total of 11 months with my last company.
I know that I am still young in my career and that maybe I shouldn’t worry too much about tenure because I am trying to find what works for me but I can’t help but feel a little nervous about it. I recently was asked “what do I feel has been stopping me from progressing within my career?” My reply was that I have actually progressed within my career but some circumstances were out of my control. I even provided examples on where I progressed i.e. promotions and awards.
My question: Can I omit some of my experience and/or exaggerate one of my staffing agencies? For example, merge my two agency companies together as one experience? Essentially deleting one of the companies to make it seem my agency experience was only at one company but just a longer time period. I generally merge the two companies together anyways as I feel like my first experience wasn’t much of an experience. I just want to get my foot in the door during interviews as I do really well with interviews so I just don’t want this to be the piece that takes me out.

Basically I believe the following things (about people in a general sense, I don't mean these apply to every man and woman):
I believe that it's thought that sexism towards women is so much more common than sexism towards men, across the world (especially in Muslim countries) and throughout history, even fairly recent history. (But my parents and sister told me it is more common but not so much more and that sexism is not about hating women nor seeing them as lesser inferior beings, that it's about men having had the roles of power and control, because they were stronger so exerted strength to get them, etc. But that women were also thought to have a just as important role, in the home.) They said violence towards women is not about hatred towards women but instead about power, control, men being physically stronger and testosterone. And that the men who commit domestic violence are also the types to get into physical fights with men in pubs, etc.
I believe it's thought that women like men as a gender more than men like women as a gender due to this. Because people think sexism means mistreating, hating, etc. And that it's thought women treat men better and with more respect.
I believe it's thought that women like men in a more well rounded way than men like women, because of sexism and because because people think men objectify women and "only want one thing" from women, and also that if you took sex away... men would prefer men in all other ways (they think women are unfunny, etc and they think that men are superior, etc.)
I believe it's thought that sexism towards men is only a thing as backlash against sexism towards women. So women who hate men hate them for how men treat women.
I believe traditional roles are not seen as equal but different and are instead seen as representing a belief that women are incapable and to serve men. I believe also that it's thought that women are defined by their relationships to men.
I believe that when men do typically female hobbies and jobs women propel them to success and praise them for the bare minimum (which they wouldn't do for a woman with the same skills), like drag queens and gay male makeup artists. But women doing typically male jobs or hobbies are held to higher standards, have to prove themselves more, are not given the same support and are even verbally abused or threatened online. (Female gamers, female Mps, in sport, female celebs, etc.) And that there are boy's clubs that are hostile towards women in male dominated workplaces, but not girl's clubs that are hostile towards men in female dominated workplaces. I believe that having female main characters, idols, etc is not something many men want nor can relate to, while male main characters, idols are fine for women.
I believe it's thought that women (especially teen girls) hate each other, get jealous, compete and have internalised misogny, but that men have stronger bonds, friendships and camaraderie. (Even though my psychologist told me that it's instead believed that women mostly support each other.)
My parents and sister told me I was wrong about all of these things and that most people don't think these things, my sister identifies as a feminist herself. But online and on Reddit everybody has the same views as me. Why the contrast? What are your opinions? (Also when I asked my psychologist, she had the same opinions as my family.)

Back First Next
As promised Chapter 2. See you Friday. Also thank you all for the positive reinforcement and being generally encouraging, that is a fresh change of breathe I did not expect.
​
Memory Transcription: Captain Neil Campbell, United Nations ‘Black Watch’ Company #4
Date [standardized human time]: December 3, 2136
Air raid sirens went out and announcements blared with a recorded message from Mayor Zim, “Everyone, please remain calm. The UN forces are here and escorting us to shelter. I repeat, remain calm. Captain Neil has requested all those who can fight, please see him.”
The military shuttle that was supposed to contain the 180 black watch members was lifting off, packed to beyond the safety limits with those who had drawn the short straws, most giving up their place on the ship for their children instead. Very few adults were on board, just enough to cover keeping the children calm and policed.
When none of his men had volunteered, Neil had forcefully selected one. Corporal MacTavish, called Soap as a callsign. “MacTavish, you’ve got one mission, keep them calm, get them to the fleet, and then get them out of the system. They may be the last Tilfish alive. Also tell them where we are and we have the town's civilians with us.” He passed MacTavish a dozen data discs and flash drives. “I am holding you personally responsible for them. You are to ensure this gets up there too. It’s the entire Tilfish public library and all the government documents we could download. At least some of their culture will survive as well. Make sure those children know who they are.”
MacTavish saluted Neil as he turned to get onto the ship last, passing Neil his longarm and every bit of ammunition, grenades, and supplies he had down to his side arm and two magazines he kept for it. “You’ll need these sir.” Neil nodded and passed them to the nearest trooper escorting him.
Moments later, Neil was riding in a recon rover, packed with 4 of his black watch, Zim, and several Tilfish who were either elderly or children. The vehicle’s loud speakers continued to repeat automatically as Neil’s soldier lined the road, directing people forward. They urged them to move quickly but calmly while the vehicle sped for the caldera. “Save your energy, you will need it. Your lives are more valuable than your possessions. Move quickly and stay quiet, every second counts now.”
His troopers offered snacks they had packed, some took them. Trail mix bars, chocolate bars, coffee, water, whatever they happen to have on their person. The point was to prove that the Tilfish were not cattle and that the soldiers had no intention to harm them. Every little bit helped keep them calm and prevent a stampede.
When they arrived at their outpost, Neil stepped into his command tent which was being rapidly torn down now. Only four Tilfish came to Neil to Neil’s call, less than he’d hoped. Four of Four Thousand, they are the bravest four I will ever know. He smiled at that thought.
They were cowering to stand before him as he sized each one up. His glare was hardened from years in the Watch. Ages of fighting simulations and actually being present on The Cradle, earth, and a couple of human brush wars before that.
“I need you four to act as guides for my soldiers, they will protect you with their lives. You will be armed and expected to assist in the defense as well.” He explained firmly after nearly a minute of uncomfortable glares.
“We…we… what are we holding against? Our own people?” one of the Tilfish asked hesitantly and looking terrified at the predator.
“No, I’m not going to sugar coat it. The Arxur are coming, likely will be here within the hour. That transport was the last leaving the spaceport without being intercepted. Our only option is to shelter in place.” He spoke with a kind of hopeless certainty.
The Tilfish all cowered before him as Mayor Zim started to quake standing besides Neil, but Neil was unflinching. “I am asking you to help us make sure as many Tilfish get into the depths of the mountains as we can. I will not lie, our survival is not expected but those tunnels are deep enough that they might just survive until rescue can be sent.”
He looked at the herd walking towards the mountains at a brisk pace, the legs of the insectoids going quickly. “Now listen, I’m going to be sending out aggravation squads to delay incoming Arxur. You two going to be send with them. Our engineers are booby trapping as well as reinforcing the cave depths. Every little bit to assist in making sure the Arxur do not get into the tunnel and that those tunnels survive an orbital bombardment hit.”
One of the Tilfish shook his head, and has an expression of distress with his thorax and legs shifting, "No, nothing survives anti-matter bombs, it's hopeless."
Neil shook his head, "We have several bunker shelters survive near misses and a few survive direct hits on earth and they were barely a few hundred meters below the surface. Those tunnels lead nearly four kilometers down. I sent three engineers with every bit of quick-crete we have and the longer we buy time, the better odds the rest of your down get."
He leaned down onto the electronic display and pointed at the map, eager to change their focus and give them something to not fear. “I presume because you only live a few dozen kilometers from here you know the terrain and know it well?”
The Tilfish were hesitate to move or speak, shaking as if children about to piss themselves because the boogieman was coming out of the closet.
Neil nodded to himself, They’re raw recruits, rookies at best and terrified draftee’s would be in better shape than them. Time to make this clear to them and force them to fight those instincts. He exhaled a breath and deflated himself, letting his intensity wear off for a moment. “What are you names?”
“Jerlio.” The first smaller Tilfish spoke, he was barely taller than Neil’s waist and stood eye level with his belly button.
The second one, larger than the first coming up to Neil’s lower ribs, “H…h….h…Herci.” His speaking is uneasy and shows terror.
The third looked like twins with their spots and faces, if there was a difference Neil couldn’t make it out. “This is Hazeinia and I’m Tia.” They the one on the left spoke. Neil had started to recognize the two sexes of the Tilfish, he wasn’t sure if they had genders but that didn't matter now.
Their movements had them shuffling as if looking for an escape from their situation. Neil knew that for their people just to be standing here before him, meeting his gaze was a lot. He had to take measures into his own hands right now.
“Stand to!” He barked, his voice wasn’t shouting but it was harsh; undeniable, and made all five Tilfish in the room freeze in place. “Listen and listen well, dig this into your minds right now. The four of you have shown uncharacteristic courage just to step up for your people. Now I need you to show courage in spite of your fear. You fight not for your own lives anymore, you fight for those who cannot, those who we are desperately trying to save.”
He took a step forward, and gazed down upon both them, then knelt down to one knee, meeting them at eye level. The Tilfish started to shy away when he reached out a hand and grasped gently but firmly upon two of their feelers. The insectoid fur tickled him while the texture of the carapace was foreign and creepy to him. He steeled himself and brought the most calm he could forward.and his gaze relaxed slightly. “Let me explain something to you, all of you.”
“Humans are not fearless,” His eyes had tears in it, he knew his men would be dying soon and there was little he could do about it. “Every moment we are facing combat; we are terrified. We are scared that we will not take another breath, we fear deeply.” he looked at each of them. “Even if your stomach is tied in knots, you smell the blood and gunpowder, you want to run to save yourself.” He turned to the two he was holding the feelers of. “You can feel the clamminess on my hands, I know your antennae can detect the heightening of my heart rate, and you can see the corners of my eyes as I force the tears back and gain focus.” He took a moment to push through and made a show of gulping in a way to swallow down his fear.
“The difference is that I am asking for you to gather your courage.” His hand got tighter around their feelers not so it hurt but to show a change in demeanor. “It is easy to be brave when you are surrounded by friends, when you outnumber your foes, when you are bigger than them. No, I ask you five to do this, not because it is easy but because it is hard. I need any man, woman, and bug on that line. Nearly four thousand of you have run into those tunnels with forty of my men to keep them calm and moving deeper and deeper.”
He guided the four outside of the command tent into the forested caldera and motioned around to the positions on the reverse slope of the mountain sides, “40 more are under manning Air to Ground missiles, the new interceptor systems, manual fire close in 40mm chainguns, and the three Orbital firing cannons we have. Yet despite the difficulty they have made 40 seem like 400 with how many guns we have working and running.”
“The remaining ninety-nine of my troopers are rigging mines, camouflage firing positions with overlapping fire, explosives, and every other conceivable defense we have. They will be finished soon but we need to delay the enemy just to get our defenses exactly right.”
He turned to them, “Two of you will serve as guides for my soldiers. I’m going to send out a ten size squad. They are going to recon for the Arxur, setup ambushes and make them pay. Once they are spent, they will send you back to report.”
He turned to Jerlio and placed a hand on what he believed to be his shoulder, “I need soldiers and of the Ten Thousand Tilfish we had, the five bravest I’ve ever known are here. We fight back to back, to the end. Not for ourselves but for those Four Thousand in the caves, understood?” He turned to Herci as he spoke.
Each of the Tilfish nodded in turn except for Zim, “What of me? What am I do to?”
“Zim you have the greatest job of all. I need a radio director not only to coordinate our men and relay messages but to broadcast to the fleet for as long as possible. You’ve got 2 hours to study and learn our code book, if you make mistakes it’s okay, repeat it in plain language if needed.” He motioned to the entrance to the cave his people had run into. “The radio is there, work it until it stops functioning, if the Arxur are upon you, there is a pistol on the table and an explosive under it. Detonate the explosive as your last action.”
Zim recoiled, “I… I did not volunteer for a last stand, I don’t understand?”
Neil looked at him hardened and took a step towards Zim, “You voted for our annihilation, and yet here we are, allies. Now you are going to prove those people, your people, who put their faith in you, were right to do so. I’m going to station a trooper there with you if I have to with orders to shoot you if you flee; am I understood!”
It wasn’t a question, Neil had gone from gentle to absolute terrifying fury in merely a few moments. With a slow nod, Zim in agreement. Neil shook his head, “Say it, say Yes Sir to me, Private Zim.”
Zim suddenly straightened as Neil leaned in to look into his eyes, so close that they could feel each other’s breath. Zim was terrified, under the glare of a predator it took several seconds to find his courage. “Yes…. sir…”
Neil snarled, barring his teeth, he would put the fear of the divine into this Tilfish politician, “I can’t hear you, say it, like you mean it.”
Zim nodded and hesitated then realized the ritual he had seen from the humans earlier when Neil was disappointed in one of them. He turned his mandibles to be the best approximation of a salute. “Yes sir!”
“You’re in the Watch now, the Black Watch. Our motto is Nemo me impune lacessit. It means, No One Provokes Me with Impunity. Now get moving, there is an equipment sergeant nearby and once I’ve selected my troopers you will go with them. Zim get to that radio and start studying that code book until you are certain you can reference it. Every one of our lives and the lives of those ten thousand depend upon it.”
He looked from one of them to the other, giving each Tilfish a confident grin, ensuring he did not show his teeth but only curling up his lips. “Dismissed!”
The Tilfish scrambled towards their ordered positions where troopers went to meet them. Neil picked up his radio and tuned it to, he had one final duty to perform before the battle was to begin. “All Black Watch members, stop for a moment and listen. I’ll give you a moment to finish your tasks.” Neil took a moment as he pulled a cigarette out of his pocket, he didn’t actually smoke but carried them to share with those that did. At this point however, what was one more bad habit. He lit it and took a puff similar to how he did on a joint in college. He exhaled and pushed the radio button again. “What I am about to ask you all to do should be considered unconscionable just two days ago. We are disobeying our orders, we were supposed to be on that transport. I understand this may upset some of you but we have a duty." Neil took a breath as he wasn't completely sure if all of his troopers would obey him and go with this idea or not. He spoke his next words slowly and with gravity. "Four Thousand civilians; they are in those tunnels along with 40 of your brothers and sisters. We are their only hope.”
He paused to take another draw of the cigarette, he could understand now why some soldiers had this habit, really calmed his nerves for the next part. “If any man or woman doesn’t feel this is right, there is room for you in those tunnels, speak up and you will be relieved and sent. No questions asked; no shame given, I understand not wanting to die for a species that a week ago was trying to annihilate our existence.”
He waited and when no one spoke up, he pushed the radio again. “Anyone? Sergeants, report in.”
“Platoon A, no one is moving sir.”
“Platoon B, we’re here and we’re staying, all of us apparently.”
“Platoon C, guns are manned and ready, this is where they die and we stand.”
Platoon D didn’t report in, they must be too deep underground now for radio transmissions. That was good enough for him, at least they would survive if the first bomb got through. The follow ups they would need to keep going down. He hoped their air would hold out.
“Alright, the enemy is coming. The fleet cannot hold and is working to withdraw. We will have no artillery, air, armor, or naval support. We are on our own. What I am asking you to do is going to get you all killed. Make peace with any deity you believe in. Get any addiction you need satisfied, eat something, drink some water, and finish your preparations. Schmidt is coming with James, they are going to lead Platoon B squad 3 and Platoon A squad 4 on a little recon in force mission. They have their orders, and you have your’s.” He took another draw of his cigarette. “I will see you on the other side. Nemo Me Impune Lacessit.”
The radio resounded for the next several moments with all of his 139 remaining soldiers sounding off the Black Watch motto.
The Captain stepped out of his tent, he picked up a rifle, the one MacTavoish handed him. He checked the magazine, breech, and sights then chambered a round and turned off his safety. Slowly he walked towards his own position.
A shuttle was coming down, damaged badly but this wasn't a civilian shuttle or an escape shutttle. It was an armored assault shuttle. "What Now?"

Basically I believe the following things (about people in a general sense, I don't mean these apply to every man and woman):
I believe that it's thought that sexism towards women is so much more common than sexism towards men, across the world (especially in Muslim countries) and throughout history, even fairly recent history. (But my parents and sister told me it is more common but not so much more and that sexism is not about hating women nor seeing them as lesser inferior beings, that it's about men having had the roles of power and control, because they were stronger so exerted strength to get them, etc. But that women were also thought to have a just as important role, in the home.) They said violence towards women is not about hatred towards women but instead about power, control, men being physically stronger and testosterone. And that the men who commit domestic violence are also the types to get into physical fights with men in pubs, etc.
I believe it's thought that women like men as a gender more than men like women as a gender due to this. Because people think sexism means mistreating, hating, etc. And that it's thought women treat men better and with more respect.
I believe it's thought that women like men in a more well rounded way than men like women, because of sexism and because because people think men objectify women and "only want one thing" from women, and also that if you took sex away... men would prefer men in all other ways (they think women are unfunny, etc and they think that men are superior, etc.)
I believe it's thought that sexism towards men is only a thing as backlash against sexism towards women. So women who hate men hate them for how men treat women.
I believe traditional roles are not seen as equal but different and are instead seen as representing a belief that women are incapable and to serve men. I believe also that it's thought that women are defined by their relationships to men.
I believe that when men do typically female hobbies and jobs women propel them to success and praise them for the bare minimum (which they wouldn't do for a woman with the same skills), like drag queens and gay male makeup artists. But women doing typically male jobs or hobbies are held to higher standards, have to prove themselves more, are not given the same support and are even verbally abused or threatened online. (Female gamers, female Mps, in sport, female celebs, etc.) And that there are boy's clubs that are hostile towards women in male dominated workplaces, but not girl's clubs that are hostile towards men in female dominated workplaces. I believe that having female main characters, idols, etc is not something many men want nor can relate to, while male main characters, idols are fine for women.
I believe it's thought that women (especially teen girls) hate each other, get jealous, compete and have internalised misogny, but that men have stronger bonds, friendships and camaraderie. (Even though my psychologist told me that it's instead believed that women mostly support each other.)
My parents and sister told me I was wrong about all of these things and that most people don't think these things, my sister identifies as a feminist herself. But online and on Reddit everybody has the same views as me. Why the contrast? What are your opinions? (Also when I asked my psychologist, she had the same opinions as my family.)

Clinical cases of Candida auris, an emerging fungus considered an urgent threat, nearly doubled in 2021, according to new data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
There was also a tripling of the number of cases resistant to echinocandins, the first-line treatment for Candida auris infections.
The research, published Monday in the Annals of Internal Medicine, evaluated cases of Candida auris reported to the CDC from 2016 – the year in which cases were first reported in the US – to 2021.
The study authors found that clinical cases increased each year, rising from 53 in 2016 to 330 in 2018 and then skyrocketing from 476 in 2019 to 1,471 in 2021.
Cases of Candida auris also expanded geographically. Although it was initially confined mostly to the New York City and Chicago areas, Candida auris is now present in more than half of US states. Between 2019 and 2021, 17 states identified their first cases.
“Fungal pathogens are a major threat to public health as they are becoming increasingly common and resistant to treatment with only four classes of antifungal medicines currently available,” WHO says.
Dr. Scott Roberts, an infectious-disease specialist at the Yale School of Medicine who was not involved with the new study, warns that the increased prevalence and drug resistance of Candida auris is a serious health threat.
“I think this problem is not going to go away. I think it’s really only going to increase over time,” he said.
Unlike other fungi that are typically acquired from the environment, Candida auris is easily spread from person to person, Roberts said.
Healthy people don’t usually get sick from Candida auris, according to the CDC. Rather, it’s more likely to affect people who have serious medical problems and require long stays in health care facilities, people with weakened immune systems and people with medical devices going into their bodies, such as breathing tubes or catheters.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/20/health/fungus-candida-auris-increase

Hasanabi and Ethan Klein were both invited to a fancy gala by a mysterious benefactor. They had never met before, but they felt an instant connection when they saw each other across the room. Hasanabi was wearing a sharp tuxedo and Ethan Klein was rocking a purple suit with a matching fedora.
​
They decided to ditch the boring event and go for a walk in the moonlit garden. They talked about politics, culture, and their favorite memes. They laughed at each other's jokes and felt a spark of chemistry.
​
They found a secluded spot under a gazebo and leaned in for a kiss. But before their lips could touch, they heard a loud explosion. They looked up and saw that the gala had been blown up by none other than Andrew Tate, who had escaped from prison and was seeking revenge on them for exposing his scams.
​
They quickly ran back to the scene of the crime, hoping to find survivors. They saw that most of the guests had managed to escape, but some were still trapped under the rubble. They worked together to free them, using their strength and wit.
​
They also confronted Andrew Tate, who was trying to flee in a helicopter. They threw rocks at him and shouted insults until he lost control and crashed into a nearby lake.
​
They celebrated their victory by hugging each other and finally kissing passionately. They realized that they had fallen in love during this crazy adventure. They decided to start a podcast together called The Leftovers, where they would talk about everything that happened that night and more.

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Turmeric Rhizome
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I already have viewed the information on various sites including https://www.irs.gov/irm/part21/irm_21-006-006r and on https://support.taxslayer.com/hc/en-us/articles/4410835849997-Repayment-Under-Claim-of-Right-IRC-1341
My repayment was over $3,000.
I've started doing my taxes for the last few years and they were never that complex for me, however I'm totally confused about the claim of right as I have never done this before. I received unemployment in 2021 as I was out of work. In 2022, I was told I was overpaid by $3,600 so I wrote EDD a check for $3,600.
Typically I use FREETAXUSA as my tax preparation program as I find it easier than TaxSlayer and TaxAct (I use all 3 to compare stuff).
On the deductions part I see Claim of Right Repayment Credit: If, in 2022, you repaid more than $3,000 of income included in a prior year under a claim of right, you may be able to take a credit for the repayment on your 2022 tax return.
To calculate the credit: Recalculate your tax from the prior year without including the income that was repaid in 2022. Subtract your recalculated prior year tax from the tax shown on your prior year tax return. This is the amount of your repayment credit. Enter your repayment credit _________
On my 2021 1040 form I have listed $6,908 as total tax on line 24. My total tax for 2022 is $10,869 (I had no health expenses I paid out of pocket for and I cashed out an EE bond that was worth quite a bit). That is not including the $3,600 repayment.
From what how do I figure out what my repayment credit is? My numbers make no sense so I know I'm doing it wrong despite seeing the formulas.
Is it $10,869-$3,600= $7,269 and then you do $7,269-$6,908=$361 and the $361 is my credit?

Basically I believe the following things (about people in a general sense, I don't mean these apply to every man and woman):
I believe that it's thought that sexism towards women is so much more common than sexism towards men, across the world (especially in Muslim countries) and throughout history, even fairly recent history. (But my parents and sister told me it is more common but not so much more and that sexism is not about hating women nor seeing them as lesser inferior beings, that it's about men having had the roles of power and control, because they were stronger so exerted strength to get them, etc. But that women were also thought to have a just as important role, in the home.) They said violence towards women is not about hatred towards women but instead about power, control, men being physically stronger and testosterone. And that the men who commit domestic violence are also the types to get into physical fights with men in pubs, etc.
I believe it's thought that women like men as a gender more than men like women as a gender due to this. Because people think sexism means mistreating, hating, etc. And that it's thought women treat men better and with more respect.
I believe it's thought that women like men in a more well rounded way than men like women, because of sexism and because because people think men objectify women and "only want one thing" from women, and also that if you took sex away... men would prefer men in all other ways (they think women are unfunny, etc and they think that men are superior, etc.)
I believe it's thought that sexism towards men is only a thing as backlash against sexism towards women. So women who hate men hate them for how men treat women.
I believe traditional roles are not seen as equal but different and are instead seen as representing a belief that women are incapable and to serve men. I believe also that it's thought that women are defined by their relationships to men.
I believe that when men do typically female hobbies and jobs women propel them to success and praise them for the bare minimum (which they wouldn't do for a woman with the same skills), like drag queens and gay male makeup artists. But women doing typically male jobs or hobbies are held to higher standards, have to prove themselves more, are not given the same support and are even verbally abused or threatened online. (Female gamers, female Mps, in sport, female celebs, etc.) And that there are boy's clubs that are hostile towards women in male dominated workplaces, but not girl's clubs that are hostile towards men in female dominated workplaces. I believe that having female main characters, idols, etc is not something many men want nor can relate to, while male main characters, idols are fine for women.
I believe it's thought that women (especially teen girls) hate each other, get jealous, compete and have internalised misogny, but that men have stronger bonds, friendships and camaraderie. (Even though my psychologist told me that it's instead believed that women mostly support each other.)
My parents and sister told me I was wrong about all of these things and that most people don't think these things, my sister identifies as a feminist herself. But online and on Reddit everybody has the same views as me. Why the contrast? What are your opinions? (Also when I asked my psychologist, she had the same opinions as my family.)