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Glares or lines that move across vision in daylight, backlight or screens?
2023.03.21 19:06 Anonplox Glares or lines that move across vision in daylight, backlight or screens?
Hi everyone, for the past two years, or so, I’ve been dealing with a pesky floater(I think), in my left eye.
When indoors, or in moderately lit rooms, I don’t notice it, and my vision is fine.
However, when I am driving, looking at outdoor light, or looking at white screens, I see a “glare” that moves across the field of vision, and then settles away. It’s like a thin blurry white cloud that I can see drift across my vision.
But again, it only happens in bright light
It doesn’t look like a typical black eye floater, and only seems to appear when I shift my eyes quickly from one direction to another. If I look stationary, I don’t get bothered by it.
Has anyone else experienced a floater like this?
Two years ago I went to the eye doc, and he said he could see some floaters in my left eye, but other than that and a very mild astigmatism, my eyes looked super healthy.
I have another appointment for next week.
This is seriously annoying, making me feel super anxious when I see it, and is affecting my mental health. I’m a healthy 28/male.
submitted by Anonplox to EyeFloaters [link] [comments]
When indoors, or in moderately lit rooms, I don’t notice it, and my vision is fine.
However, when I am driving, looking at outdoor light, or looking at white screens, I see a “glare” that moves across the field of vision, and then settles away. It’s like a thin blurry white cloud that I can see drift across my vision.
But again, it only happens in bright light
It doesn’t look like a typical black eye floater, and only seems to appear when I shift my eyes quickly from one direction to another. If I look stationary, I don’t get bothered by it.
Has anyone else experienced a floater like this?
Two years ago I went to the eye doc, and he said he could see some floaters in my left eye, but other than that and a very mild astigmatism, my eyes looked super healthy.
I have another appointment for next week.
This is seriously annoying, making me feel super anxious when I see it, and is affecting my mental health. I’m a healthy 28/male.
2023.03.21 19:00 ogreatgames Black: Cinematic First-Person Shooter - PS2 Game
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2023.03.21 19:00 greg0525 Reflections of the Past
Sophie shifted in her seat, her heart pounding as she waited for the verdict to be delivered. She glanced over at her sister Emily, who sat beside her, her hands clenched tightly in her lap.
The courtroom was packed with people, all waiting to hear the fate of the man who had killed Sophie's beloved husband. Sophie could feel their eyes on her, judging her, and she felt a surge of anger rise within her.
Finally, the judge spoke.
"The court finds the defendant guilty of murder in the second degree," he said, his voice echoing through the room. "I hereby sentence him to 10 years in prison."
Sophie gasped, feeling as though the air had been knocked out of her. "Only 10 years?" she whispered, her voice shaking with anger.
Emily placed a comforting hand on Sophie's shoulder. "I know, it's not enough," she said, her voice low. "But at least he'll be off the streets for a little while."
Sophie nodded, but she couldn't shake the feeling of injustice that filled her. "He took my husband from me," she said, her voice rising. "He deserves to rot in jail for the rest of his life!"
The man who had killed her husband sat in the defendant's chair, his eyes cast downward. Sophie glared at him, hatred burning in her chest.
"You'll never know the pain you've caused," she spat, her voice cold.
The man looked up at her, his eyes empty of emotions.
Sophie's voice was rising again. "You took away the love of my life, and for what? A stupid argument?"
The man hung his head, unable to meet Sophie's gaze.
Sophie shook her head, tears streaming down her face. "You'll pay for what you've done. One way or another."
Sophia and Emily walked out of the courtroom, both feeling exhausted and emotionally drained. The weight of the verdict was heavy on Sophie's heart, and she couldn't shake off the feeling that justice hadn't been served.
At Sophie’s house, Emily wrapped her arm around Sophie's shoulder, trying to offer some comfort.
"It's okay, Sophie. We'll find a way to make it right," Emily said softly.
Sophie let out a deep sigh and leaned her head on Emily's shoulder. "I don't know, Em. Ten years is not enough for taking someone's life."
Sophie was lost in her thoughts for a moment, replaying the memories of her husband and how much she missed him.
Then Emily left and Sophia went straight to the couch and collapsed on it, feeling emotionally exhausted. She closed her eyes and tried to relax, but her mind kept replaying the events of the day.
As Sophia lay in bed, she couldn't shake off the feeling that something was not right. She felt uneasy and restless, her thoughts still lingering on the verdict and the killer of her beloved husband.
Suddenly, she noticed a faint glow from the corner of her eyes. It was coming from the large mirror on the wall.
Sophia got up and made her way towards the mirror, her curiosity piqued. As she drew closer to it, she saw that the glow was getting stronger and stronger. The mirror was emitting its own light.
To her surprise, the mirror now looked like a TV screen. It showed the same living room at night, and she could see her husband walking in with his briefcase. Sophie was dumbfounded. She couldn't believe what she was seeing.
Suddenly, she saw the image of her husband freeze, and then the mirror went dark. Sophie was so startled that she stumbled back and ran out of the living room. She ran to the garden, trying to catch her breath and make sense of what had just happened.
As she stood there, taking deep breaths, Sophie couldn't help but wonder if the mirror was showing her the last moments of her husband's life. The thought made her shiver, and she couldn't shake off the feeling of unease that lingered in the back of her mind.
The next day, Sophie told Emily that she saw her dead husband in the mirror Emily did not believe her. Emily tried to examine the mirror but there was nothing wrong with it. Then Emily left and Sophie started cleaning the house, including the newspaper clippings about the murder of her husband.
Sophie was in the living room when Emily arrived. "Sophie, how are you feeling today?" Emily asked.
Sophie replied, "I am feeling a little better, but I saw something strange yesterday."
"What did you see?" Emily asked curiously.
Sophie explained, "I saw my husband in the mirror last night. It was like a TV, showing the living room at night, and he walked in with his briefcase."
Emily looked at Sophie skeptically, "That's impossible, Sophie. Maybe you were just dreaming."
Sophie was starting to feel frustrated, "No, Emily, I saw it. You have to believe me."
Emily tried to reassure Sophie, "Okay, okay, let's take a look at the mirror and see if there's anything wrong with it."
Sophie led Emily to the mirror, and they examined it carefully, but there didn't seem to be anything wrong with it.
Emily turned to Sophie, "See, there's nothing wrong with the mirror. Maybe it was just your imagination."
Sophie was starting to feel alone and misunderstood, "I know what I saw, Emily. You don't believe me."
Emily tried to console Sophie, "I believe that you saw something, Sophie, but we just don't know what it is yet. Let's keep an open mind and see if anything else happens."
Sophie nodded, "Okay, that sounds fair."
After Emily left, Sophie decided to clean the house, including the newspaper clippings about the murder of her husband. She couldn't bear to see them anymore, as they reminded her of her loss. She put them all in a box and tucked them away in the closet, hoping to move on with her life.
As Sophie was tidying up, she happened to catch a glimpse of her reflection in the mirror. To her surprise, the mirror seemed to be displaying a series of moving images. The images showed her husband Rick returning home and shortly after, the doorbell rang.
Sophie could see the anger in Dave's eyes as he confronted Rick.
"You have no idea how much money I lost because of you!" Dave spat, his face twisted in fury.
Rick, his own voice growing louder, shot back, "I know exactly what I did! You're not thinking clearly, Dave."
Dave stepped closer to Rick, his fists clenched at his sides. "Don't you dare tell me what I'm thinking! You don't know anything about me!"
Rick stood his ground, his own fists balled up in preparation for a fight. "I know enough to know that you're acting like a madman right now."
Suddenly, without warning, Dave lunged at Rick, his fist connecting with Rick's jaw. The force of the blow sent Rick staggering backwards, and he stumbled into a nearby table, knocking over a vase in the process.
Sophie watched in horror as the two men continued to fight, their movements growing more and more frenzied by the second. The sounds of grunts and shouts echoed through the house, and Sophie could feel her own heart racing as she realized that things were quickly spiraling out of control.
"Stop it! Stop it, please!" Sophie cried out, but her words went unheard as the fight between Rick and Dave raged on.
She was frozen in place, unable to move or intervene in the fight. The sounds of their shouts and grunts echoed throughout the house, adding to the chaos of the scene. The scene in the mirror continued to play out, showing Rick collapsing to the ground as Dave walked out of the house, looking triumphant.
“He didn’t kill him! He didn’t kill him! It wasn’t him”, she said and the thought that an innocent man was going to be sentenced for years was terrifying.
Sophie's heart raced as she made her way to the DEA's office. She knew that what she was about to tell him would be hard to believe, but she had to try. When she arrived, she explained to the agent that she had seen in the mirror a different version of events than what had been presented in court.
"You see," she began nervously, "my husband wasn't murdered by the man who was sentenced. I saw in the mirror that it was someone else entirely."
The DEA agent raised an eyebrow skeptically. "What are you talking about? That's impossible."
Sophie took a deep breath and explained everything that she had witnessed in the mirror, from the argument to the violent altercation and the aftermath. She pleaded with the agent to reopen the case and investigate further.
But the agent remained skeptical. "I understand that you believe what you saw, but the sentence cannot be changed based on what you think you saw in a mirror."
Sophie felt her heart sink as she realized that her efforts might be in vain. She had hoped that by coming forward, she could right the wrongs that had been done and bring justice to her husband. But now it seemed like that might not be possible.
Deflated, Sophie left the DEA's office and began to consider other options. She knew that she couldn't give up on finding the truth, even if it meant going against the system.
Sophie's mind was still reeling from her encounter with the DEA agent as she returned home. She needed to distract herself from the disappointment of not being able to get justice for her husband, so she decided to focus on something else. Cleaning was always a good way to keep busy, she thought.
However, she couldn't help but wonder if there was more to the story that she didn't know about so she went back to the mirror.
As she stared into the glass, she was surprised to see a new image materialize. It was the dark living room at night, and she could barely make out any details. But as her eyes adjusted to the darkness, she could see her husband Rick rummaging around under the couch.
Her heart racing, Sophie watched as Rick retrieved a mobile phone from under the couch. She recognized it immediately as the same phone she had found earlier. Rick checked something on the phone, and then put it back under the couch.
That was the moment when she spotted a dark figure standing at the door. Sophie's heart was pounding in her chest as she watched the scene unfold in the mirror. Sophie strained to hear what they were saying, but the sound was muffled and she couldn't make out the words. The tension in the room was palpable, and Sophie felt like she was holding her breath as she watched the two figures interact.
Suddenly, the woman stepped forward, and Sophie could see that she was holding something in her hand. As she got closer, the object came into focus, and Sophie felt her blood run cold. It was a knife.
Sophie watched in horror as her sister approached her husband, who seemed to have no idea what was about to happen. The woman raised the knife, and with a swift motion, plunged it into Rick's chest. Sophie felt sick to her stomach as she watched the gruesome scene play out in front of her.
Now she could make out more of the dark figure. She could immediately recognize her blonde hair: it was her sister.
She couldn't believe that her own sister was capable of such a horrific act. Tears streamed down her face as she realized that the truth had finally been revealed - her sister was responsible for her husband's murder.
But why?
Then she remembered the phone. She bent down to see if it was still there and it was. It was a sleek black model that she had never seen before.
Curious, she picked up the phone and pressed the power button. To her surprise, the phone came to life. She entered a random PIN number and it worked, to her astonishment
“How is that possible?”, she told herself and registered it as a lucky guess.
She scrolled through the contacts and messages, hoping to find some clue as to who it belonged to.
And then she saw it - a message from her sister, Emily. She hesitated for a moment, wondering if she should invade her husband's privacy. But her curiosity got the best of her, and she checked the message.
The phone revealed a slew of messages and photos that left Sophie feeling sick to her stomach. It seemed that her husband had been cheating with her own sister. Some photos were taken in their own bedroom during intimate moments.
Sophie felt tears stinging her eyes as she realized the depth of her husband's and sister’s betrayal. She had thought that she knew them so well, but it seemed that he had been living a lie all along.
Was it possible that Rick wanted to break up the affair? Was Emily too afraid of Rick telling the truth?
Sophie heard a knock on the door, which made her jump with fright. She hesitated for a moment before approaching the door, her heart racing with anxiety. When she opened it, she found Emily standing there, holding a bag of food from a fast food restaurant.
"Hey, I brought some food," Emily announced, her voice sounding cheerful and friendly.
Sophie's nervousness was evident, her hands shaking as she took the food from Emily. She tried to act normal, but her mind was racing with fear. Her sister looked at Sophie, trying to read her expression, but she couldn't tell if Sophie's sister was hiding something.
"Are you all right?" Emily asked, trying to sound calm.
Sophie nodded, but she knew that she was not entirely convincing.
As they sat down on the couch, Sophie's eyes filled with tears and she started to sob uncontrollably. Emily's concerned gaze bore down on her. She knew what she had to ask, but the words caught in her throat like a fishhook.
“Emily...the mirror showed me something I wish wasn’t true. Did you and Rick have an affair?" she finally managed to choke out.
Emily's face fell, and Sophie could see the guilt etched into her features. But the admission she was about to make could change their friendship forever.
"Sophie, I...I did have an affair with Rick," Emily confessed, her voice barely above a whisper.
Sophie felt her heart drop into her stomach. She had suspected it for weeks, but hearing the truth was like a blow to the chest.
Tears streamed down her face as she struggled to process the betrayal. "How could you do this to me, Emily? How could you do this to us?"
Emily's face twisted in anger as she shot back, "Maybe if you weren't so possessive and controlling, Rick wouldn't have strayed. You don't show him enough love and attention. It was me who truly loved him."
Sophie recoiled as if she had been slapped. She had always thought of herself as a good wife, but Emily's accusations cut her to the core.
"You're just trying to justify what you did," Sophie said, her voice rising. "You knew how much Rick meant to me, and you still went behind my back and slept with him. How could you be so selfish?"
"I'm not the selfish one here," Emily shot back and got up from the couch, her own voice rising to match Sophie's. "You've always been so possessive of him like he's some kind of possession rather than a person. Maybe if you had shown him more love and attention, he wouldn't have looked elsewhere."
Sophie's anger grew as Emily continued to twist the knife. "You have no right to blame this on me. Rick's infidelity is his own fault and yours. You knew what you were doing was wrong, but you did it anyway. When he realized what sort of person you are, he wanted to leave you and you killed him, I saw it!” she said and got up too.
Emily’s face was contorted with rage now. "I can't listen to this anymore and I am fed up with your stupid mirror," she spat. Without warning, she grabbed a nearby vase and hurled it at the mirror on the wall. The glass shattered into a thousand pieces, scattering across the floor.
Sophie gasped in shock as the full weight of the situation hit her. She then snapped out of her trance and rushed over to the broken mirror, her hands shaking as she started collecting the shattered pieces. Tears streamed down her face as she desperately tried to piece the mirror back together, hoping to undo the damage that had been done.
But no matter how hard she tried, the mirror remained broken and fragmented, just like their relationship.
As Sophie frantically tried to collect the shattered pieces of the mirror from the floor, Emily slowly approached her with a menacing look in her eyes, her hands balled into fists. Sophie could feel her heart racing as she realized the danger that was looming over her.
"Calm down, Sophie," Emily said, her voice low and dangerous. "We need to talk about this."
Sophie's eyes widened in fear and she stumbled backwards, her hand reaching out for a piece of the mirror to hold onto. She grabbed it from the floor and her mind was racing how to get away from Emily, but her legs felt like jelly beneath her.
Without another word, Emily started charging towards Sophie, her arms outstretched as if to grab her. Sophie's instincts kicked in and she turned around, dashing up the stairs to the bedroom.
As she ran, she could hear Emily's footsteps pounding on the hardwood floor behind her, growing closer and closer. The fear that had been building inside her suddenly exploded into a desperate panic as she realized Emily was almost upon her.
Sophie's legs felt like lead, but she pushed herself harder, the adrenaline surging through her veins. Finally, she reached the bedroom door and slammed it, and locked it behind her, her back pressed against it as she gasped for breath.
Outside, Emily was still pounding on the door, her voice raised in anger. Sophie knew she had to find a way out of this situation, and fast.
Sophie's hand trembled as she held up the jagged piece of mirror. It caught the light from the moon and the reflection of the street lamps outside, casting an eerie glow across the room. As she stared at it, she noticed that one section of the mirror was still intact, like a small television screen.
With a sudden curiosity, Sophie held the mirror up to her face and peered into the reflective glass. The image of the living room materialized in front of her eyes, like a ghostly apparition. She saw the same scene as before, the living room at night with her sister standing over the lifeless body of her husband.
Blood stained the carpet beneath them, spreading out like a dark, ominous cloud. And then, as if in a trance, her sister reached down and retrieved the mobile phone from under the couch.
The screen of the phone illuminated her sister's face, casting a sickly green light over her features. Sophie's heart pounded in her chest as she realized the significance of what she was seeing.
Realizing that it was not her sister but herself with the same blond hair, she was overcome with terror. Tears and screams erupted from her as she remembered everything. She had always known about the affair, but the shock and remorse of it had caused her subconscious to try and repress the memory.
In the psychiatric hospital, where she belonged now, the guilt of the murder clung to her like a heavy shroud, refusing to fade away like haunting echoes.
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submitted by greg0525 to libraryofshadows [link] [comments]
The courtroom was packed with people, all waiting to hear the fate of the man who had killed Sophie's beloved husband. Sophie could feel their eyes on her, judging her, and she felt a surge of anger rise within her.
Finally, the judge spoke.
"The court finds the defendant guilty of murder in the second degree," he said, his voice echoing through the room. "I hereby sentence him to 10 years in prison."
Sophie gasped, feeling as though the air had been knocked out of her. "Only 10 years?" she whispered, her voice shaking with anger.
Emily placed a comforting hand on Sophie's shoulder. "I know, it's not enough," she said, her voice low. "But at least he'll be off the streets for a little while."
Sophie nodded, but she couldn't shake the feeling of injustice that filled her. "He took my husband from me," she said, her voice rising. "He deserves to rot in jail for the rest of his life!"
The man who had killed her husband sat in the defendant's chair, his eyes cast downward. Sophie glared at him, hatred burning in her chest.
"You'll never know the pain you've caused," she spat, her voice cold.
The man looked up at her, his eyes empty of emotions.
Sophie's voice was rising again. "You took away the love of my life, and for what? A stupid argument?"
The man hung his head, unable to meet Sophie's gaze.
Sophie shook her head, tears streaming down her face. "You'll pay for what you've done. One way or another."
Sophia and Emily walked out of the courtroom, both feeling exhausted and emotionally drained. The weight of the verdict was heavy on Sophie's heart, and she couldn't shake off the feeling that justice hadn't been served.
At Sophie’s house, Emily wrapped her arm around Sophie's shoulder, trying to offer some comfort.
"It's okay, Sophie. We'll find a way to make it right," Emily said softly.
Sophie let out a deep sigh and leaned her head on Emily's shoulder. "I don't know, Em. Ten years is not enough for taking someone's life."
Sophie was lost in her thoughts for a moment, replaying the memories of her husband and how much she missed him.
Then Emily left and Sophia went straight to the couch and collapsed on it, feeling emotionally exhausted. She closed her eyes and tried to relax, but her mind kept replaying the events of the day.
As Sophia lay in bed, she couldn't shake off the feeling that something was not right. She felt uneasy and restless, her thoughts still lingering on the verdict and the killer of her beloved husband.
Suddenly, she noticed a faint glow from the corner of her eyes. It was coming from the large mirror on the wall.
Sophia got up and made her way towards the mirror, her curiosity piqued. As she drew closer to it, she saw that the glow was getting stronger and stronger. The mirror was emitting its own light.
To her surprise, the mirror now looked like a TV screen. It showed the same living room at night, and she could see her husband walking in with his briefcase. Sophie was dumbfounded. She couldn't believe what she was seeing.
Suddenly, she saw the image of her husband freeze, and then the mirror went dark. Sophie was so startled that she stumbled back and ran out of the living room. She ran to the garden, trying to catch her breath and make sense of what had just happened.
As she stood there, taking deep breaths, Sophie couldn't help but wonder if the mirror was showing her the last moments of her husband's life. The thought made her shiver, and she couldn't shake off the feeling of unease that lingered in the back of her mind.
The next day, Sophie told Emily that she saw her dead husband in the mirror Emily did not believe her. Emily tried to examine the mirror but there was nothing wrong with it. Then Emily left and Sophie started cleaning the house, including the newspaper clippings about the murder of her husband.
Sophie was in the living room when Emily arrived. "Sophie, how are you feeling today?" Emily asked.
Sophie replied, "I am feeling a little better, but I saw something strange yesterday."
"What did you see?" Emily asked curiously.
Sophie explained, "I saw my husband in the mirror last night. It was like a TV, showing the living room at night, and he walked in with his briefcase."
Emily looked at Sophie skeptically, "That's impossible, Sophie. Maybe you were just dreaming."
Sophie was starting to feel frustrated, "No, Emily, I saw it. You have to believe me."
Emily tried to reassure Sophie, "Okay, okay, let's take a look at the mirror and see if there's anything wrong with it."
Sophie led Emily to the mirror, and they examined it carefully, but there didn't seem to be anything wrong with it.
Emily turned to Sophie, "See, there's nothing wrong with the mirror. Maybe it was just your imagination."
Sophie was starting to feel alone and misunderstood, "I know what I saw, Emily. You don't believe me."
Emily tried to console Sophie, "I believe that you saw something, Sophie, but we just don't know what it is yet. Let's keep an open mind and see if anything else happens."
Sophie nodded, "Okay, that sounds fair."
After Emily left, Sophie decided to clean the house, including the newspaper clippings about the murder of her husband. She couldn't bear to see them anymore, as they reminded her of her loss. She put them all in a box and tucked them away in the closet, hoping to move on with her life.
As Sophie was tidying up, she happened to catch a glimpse of her reflection in the mirror. To her surprise, the mirror seemed to be displaying a series of moving images. The images showed her husband Rick returning home and shortly after, the doorbell rang.
Sophie could see the anger in Dave's eyes as he confronted Rick.
"You have no idea how much money I lost because of you!" Dave spat, his face twisted in fury.
Rick, his own voice growing louder, shot back, "I know exactly what I did! You're not thinking clearly, Dave."
Dave stepped closer to Rick, his fists clenched at his sides. "Don't you dare tell me what I'm thinking! You don't know anything about me!"
Rick stood his ground, his own fists balled up in preparation for a fight. "I know enough to know that you're acting like a madman right now."
Suddenly, without warning, Dave lunged at Rick, his fist connecting with Rick's jaw. The force of the blow sent Rick staggering backwards, and he stumbled into a nearby table, knocking over a vase in the process.
Sophie watched in horror as the two men continued to fight, their movements growing more and more frenzied by the second. The sounds of grunts and shouts echoed through the house, and Sophie could feel her own heart racing as she realized that things were quickly spiraling out of control.
"Stop it! Stop it, please!" Sophie cried out, but her words went unheard as the fight between Rick and Dave raged on.
She was frozen in place, unable to move or intervene in the fight. The sounds of their shouts and grunts echoed throughout the house, adding to the chaos of the scene. The scene in the mirror continued to play out, showing Rick collapsing to the ground as Dave walked out of the house, looking triumphant.
“He didn’t kill him! He didn’t kill him! It wasn’t him”, she said and the thought that an innocent man was going to be sentenced for years was terrifying.
Sophie's heart raced as she made her way to the DEA's office. She knew that what she was about to tell him would be hard to believe, but she had to try. When she arrived, she explained to the agent that she had seen in the mirror a different version of events than what had been presented in court.
"You see," she began nervously, "my husband wasn't murdered by the man who was sentenced. I saw in the mirror that it was someone else entirely."
The DEA agent raised an eyebrow skeptically. "What are you talking about? That's impossible."
Sophie took a deep breath and explained everything that she had witnessed in the mirror, from the argument to the violent altercation and the aftermath. She pleaded with the agent to reopen the case and investigate further.
But the agent remained skeptical. "I understand that you believe what you saw, but the sentence cannot be changed based on what you think you saw in a mirror."
Sophie felt her heart sink as she realized that her efforts might be in vain. She had hoped that by coming forward, she could right the wrongs that had been done and bring justice to her husband. But now it seemed like that might not be possible.
Deflated, Sophie left the DEA's office and began to consider other options. She knew that she couldn't give up on finding the truth, even if it meant going against the system.
Sophie's mind was still reeling from her encounter with the DEA agent as she returned home. She needed to distract herself from the disappointment of not being able to get justice for her husband, so she decided to focus on something else. Cleaning was always a good way to keep busy, she thought.
However, she couldn't help but wonder if there was more to the story that she didn't know about so she went back to the mirror.
As she stared into the glass, she was surprised to see a new image materialize. It was the dark living room at night, and she could barely make out any details. But as her eyes adjusted to the darkness, she could see her husband Rick rummaging around under the couch.
Her heart racing, Sophie watched as Rick retrieved a mobile phone from under the couch. She recognized it immediately as the same phone she had found earlier. Rick checked something on the phone, and then put it back under the couch.
That was the moment when she spotted a dark figure standing at the door. Sophie's heart was pounding in her chest as she watched the scene unfold in the mirror. Sophie strained to hear what they were saying, but the sound was muffled and she couldn't make out the words. The tension in the room was palpable, and Sophie felt like she was holding her breath as she watched the two figures interact.
Suddenly, the woman stepped forward, and Sophie could see that she was holding something in her hand. As she got closer, the object came into focus, and Sophie felt her blood run cold. It was a knife.
Sophie watched in horror as her sister approached her husband, who seemed to have no idea what was about to happen. The woman raised the knife, and with a swift motion, plunged it into Rick's chest. Sophie felt sick to her stomach as she watched the gruesome scene play out in front of her.
Now she could make out more of the dark figure. She could immediately recognize her blonde hair: it was her sister.
She couldn't believe that her own sister was capable of such a horrific act. Tears streamed down her face as she realized that the truth had finally been revealed - her sister was responsible for her husband's murder.
But why?
Then she remembered the phone. She bent down to see if it was still there and it was. It was a sleek black model that she had never seen before.
Curious, she picked up the phone and pressed the power button. To her surprise, the phone came to life. She entered a random PIN number and it worked, to her astonishment
“How is that possible?”, she told herself and registered it as a lucky guess.
She scrolled through the contacts and messages, hoping to find some clue as to who it belonged to.
And then she saw it - a message from her sister, Emily. She hesitated for a moment, wondering if she should invade her husband's privacy. But her curiosity got the best of her, and she checked the message.
The phone revealed a slew of messages and photos that left Sophie feeling sick to her stomach. It seemed that her husband had been cheating with her own sister. Some photos were taken in their own bedroom during intimate moments.
Sophie felt tears stinging her eyes as she realized the depth of her husband's and sister’s betrayal. She had thought that she knew them so well, but it seemed that he had been living a lie all along.
Was it possible that Rick wanted to break up the affair? Was Emily too afraid of Rick telling the truth?
Sophie heard a knock on the door, which made her jump with fright. She hesitated for a moment before approaching the door, her heart racing with anxiety. When she opened it, she found Emily standing there, holding a bag of food from a fast food restaurant.
"Hey, I brought some food," Emily announced, her voice sounding cheerful and friendly.
Sophie's nervousness was evident, her hands shaking as she took the food from Emily. She tried to act normal, but her mind was racing with fear. Her sister looked at Sophie, trying to read her expression, but she couldn't tell if Sophie's sister was hiding something.
"Are you all right?" Emily asked, trying to sound calm.
Sophie nodded, but she knew that she was not entirely convincing.
As they sat down on the couch, Sophie's eyes filled with tears and she started to sob uncontrollably. Emily's concerned gaze bore down on her. She knew what she had to ask, but the words caught in her throat like a fishhook.
“Emily...the mirror showed me something I wish wasn’t true. Did you and Rick have an affair?" she finally managed to choke out.
Emily's face fell, and Sophie could see the guilt etched into her features. But the admission she was about to make could change their friendship forever.
"Sophie, I...I did have an affair with Rick," Emily confessed, her voice barely above a whisper.
Sophie felt her heart drop into her stomach. She had suspected it for weeks, but hearing the truth was like a blow to the chest.
Tears streamed down her face as she struggled to process the betrayal. "How could you do this to me, Emily? How could you do this to us?"
Emily's face twisted in anger as she shot back, "Maybe if you weren't so possessive and controlling, Rick wouldn't have strayed. You don't show him enough love and attention. It was me who truly loved him."
Sophie recoiled as if she had been slapped. She had always thought of herself as a good wife, but Emily's accusations cut her to the core.
"You're just trying to justify what you did," Sophie said, her voice rising. "You knew how much Rick meant to me, and you still went behind my back and slept with him. How could you be so selfish?"
"I'm not the selfish one here," Emily shot back and got up from the couch, her own voice rising to match Sophie's. "You've always been so possessive of him like he's some kind of possession rather than a person. Maybe if you had shown him more love and attention, he wouldn't have looked elsewhere."
Sophie's anger grew as Emily continued to twist the knife. "You have no right to blame this on me. Rick's infidelity is his own fault and yours. You knew what you were doing was wrong, but you did it anyway. When he realized what sort of person you are, he wanted to leave you and you killed him, I saw it!” she said and got up too.
Emily’s face was contorted with rage now. "I can't listen to this anymore and I am fed up with your stupid mirror," she spat. Without warning, she grabbed a nearby vase and hurled it at the mirror on the wall. The glass shattered into a thousand pieces, scattering across the floor.
Sophie gasped in shock as the full weight of the situation hit her. She then snapped out of her trance and rushed over to the broken mirror, her hands shaking as she started collecting the shattered pieces. Tears streamed down her face as she desperately tried to piece the mirror back together, hoping to undo the damage that had been done.
But no matter how hard she tried, the mirror remained broken and fragmented, just like their relationship.
As Sophie frantically tried to collect the shattered pieces of the mirror from the floor, Emily slowly approached her with a menacing look in her eyes, her hands balled into fists. Sophie could feel her heart racing as she realized the danger that was looming over her.
"Calm down, Sophie," Emily said, her voice low and dangerous. "We need to talk about this."
Sophie's eyes widened in fear and she stumbled backwards, her hand reaching out for a piece of the mirror to hold onto. She grabbed it from the floor and her mind was racing how to get away from Emily, but her legs felt like jelly beneath her.
Without another word, Emily started charging towards Sophie, her arms outstretched as if to grab her. Sophie's instincts kicked in and she turned around, dashing up the stairs to the bedroom.
As she ran, she could hear Emily's footsteps pounding on the hardwood floor behind her, growing closer and closer. The fear that had been building inside her suddenly exploded into a desperate panic as she realized Emily was almost upon her.
Sophie's legs felt like lead, but she pushed herself harder, the adrenaline surging through her veins. Finally, she reached the bedroom door and slammed it, and locked it behind her, her back pressed against it as she gasped for breath.
Outside, Emily was still pounding on the door, her voice raised in anger. Sophie knew she had to find a way out of this situation, and fast.
Sophie's hand trembled as she held up the jagged piece of mirror. It caught the light from the moon and the reflection of the street lamps outside, casting an eerie glow across the room. As she stared at it, she noticed that one section of the mirror was still intact, like a small television screen.
With a sudden curiosity, Sophie held the mirror up to her face and peered into the reflective glass. The image of the living room materialized in front of her eyes, like a ghostly apparition. She saw the same scene as before, the living room at night with her sister standing over the lifeless body of her husband.
Blood stained the carpet beneath them, spreading out like a dark, ominous cloud. And then, as if in a trance, her sister reached down and retrieved the mobile phone from under the couch.
The screen of the phone illuminated her sister's face, casting a sickly green light over her features. Sophie's heart pounded in her chest as she realized the significance of what she was seeing.
Realizing that it was not her sister but herself with the same blond hair, she was overcome with terror. Tears and screams erupted from her as she remembered everything. She had always known about the affair, but the shock and remorse of it had caused her subconscious to try and repress the memory.
In the psychiatric hospital, where she belonged now, the guilt of the murder clung to her like a heavy shroud, refusing to fade away like haunting echoes.
More
2023.03.21 18:55 redditTOSenthusiast [WTS] Cloud Defensive Rein 2.0 with salt so minor R Kelly is drooling
Howdy patriots, I have for sale a Cloud Defensive Rein 2.0 in black. There is some separation of the rubber on the tape switch where it folds underneath. Otherwise, good to go and works great. No box or battery because I don’t want to deal with shipping one, but the standard charger is included.
https://imgur.com/a/CsFchJ3
Price is $235. I will cover shipping, insurance, and eat a G&S fee.
submitted by redditTOSenthusiast to GunAccessoriesForSale [link] [comments]
https://imgur.com/a/CsFchJ3
Price is $235. I will cover shipping, insurance, and eat a G&S fee.
2023.03.21 18:48 1234singmeasong Realizations
The toughest part of my healing journey is accepting that he is a narcissist, instead of making excuses for his behaviors. It’s acknowledging that the 5 years of emotional abuse caused so much damage that even if he could magically change, it would never work. There is too much water under the bridge. He lied to me about nearly everything. He gaslighted me constantly. He triangulated me with over 10 different women. He cheated on me on several occasions, yet hiding his tracks and gaslighting me about the surrounding proofs.
I spent 5 years denying myself my own reality. I lived in the reality he painted for me. I stopped trusting my gut feeling. I chose to look the other way when there was proof of his cheating, because I refused to believe he could do such a thing to me. When he came back after every discard, I chose to believe him because I refused to think he could just be a terrible person.
Since the last discard, I know of 3 new supplies. He will never stop. And I am unable and unwilling to date. But I’m realizing that this is part of my healing process. A huge part of it for me is accepting that he is a narcissist. I’ve known for over a year but I still refuse to believe it at times. I so want him to just be an individual who made poor choices, as opposed to someone who purposely enjoyed the lies and the games he played.
Part of my healing also comes with accepting that I was in love with myself, not him – he portrayed a version of me that mirrored me during love bombing stages. He is a chameleon. He fits the mould his target needs him to. I was never in love with him, I was in love with who he portrayed himself to be. This is also quite heartbreaking to realize, but also soothing to know that I loved the qualities he had that mirrored mine. I’m a good person. I’m loveable. I will heal and find someone good for my soul. While he continues picking supply over supply. I hope the girls after me see through his facade faster than I did. I wish them well, and I wish them healing once they get out. No one should go through such abuse.
In any case, some days are definitely harder than others. Today is one of them. But my anxiety has reduced, my mind is less clouded, and I’m slowly healing. I know it’s only up from here, and I can’t wait until the day I can stop fearing running into him, and just be okay with him being my past but not my future.
submitted by 1234singmeasong to TrueNarcissisticAbuse [link] [comments]
I spent 5 years denying myself my own reality. I lived in the reality he painted for me. I stopped trusting my gut feeling. I chose to look the other way when there was proof of his cheating, because I refused to believe he could do such a thing to me. When he came back after every discard, I chose to believe him because I refused to think he could just be a terrible person.
Since the last discard, I know of 3 new supplies. He will never stop. And I am unable and unwilling to date. But I’m realizing that this is part of my healing process. A huge part of it for me is accepting that he is a narcissist. I’ve known for over a year but I still refuse to believe it at times. I so want him to just be an individual who made poor choices, as opposed to someone who purposely enjoyed the lies and the games he played.
Part of my healing also comes with accepting that I was in love with myself, not him – he portrayed a version of me that mirrored me during love bombing stages. He is a chameleon. He fits the mould his target needs him to. I was never in love with him, I was in love with who he portrayed himself to be. This is also quite heartbreaking to realize, but also soothing to know that I loved the qualities he had that mirrored mine. I’m a good person. I’m loveable. I will heal and find someone good for my soul. While he continues picking supply over supply. I hope the girls after me see through his facade faster than I did. I wish them well, and I wish them healing once they get out. No one should go through such abuse.
In any case, some days are definitely harder than others. Today is one of them. But my anxiety has reduced, my mind is less clouded, and I’m slowly healing. I know it’s only up from here, and I can’t wait until the day I can stop fearing running into him, and just be okay with him being my past but not my future.
2023.03.21 18:44 AlanharTheRiver the gas - one-shot idea test tangentially connected to my fan story Insertion
This is a random idea that came to me from reading the Near-Tragedies of Venlil Prime: Outburst story. So, as a quick show of hands, who here is familiar with ADHD and the inverse stimulant effect?
I’ll assume that not everyone raised their hands.
Anyway, the inverse stimulant effect is where, under certain conditions, a stimulant will have an opposite effect from normal. As my brother likes to say, “we treat ADHD by microdosing meth,” and that is a pretty apt summary for what happens with my ADHD, albeit I also have a mug of highly caffeinated Moroccan mint black tea if I think that the day is going to be stressful. To connect this to NoP, it seems like some of the drugs that the cracklil was on might have been having a similar effect, and so I thought about substances having an opposite effect than usual on humans, and then I followed that down a winding train of thought and came up with the idea that an arxur chemical weapon meant to cause prey animals to completely lose any control over their fear response might actually be a cocktail of stuff like laughing gas and PCP.
So, I give you a scene that might eventually appear in Insertion, featuring an unfortunate Hansen. This does include a few plot elements that might appear later on, but it’s far in the future from the current arcs.
Primary memory transcription subject: Lee Hansen
They were in an extended engagement with a group of Arxur when Hansen suddenly smelled a slight… spiciness to the air. Gas. “everyone button up,” he shouted to the people crouched behind cover a little ways back, breaking into a hacking cough as he sealed his mask and keyed on the microphone inside of it. “They’ve got gas weapons!”
His vision swam as he spoke. Probably a nerve agent, a detached part of him deliberated as he fell to his knees. Much too late for us.
[DATA CORRUPTED]
Primary memory transcription subject: Zeleveya “Sylvia” of Tarn
As their leader collapsed, the assorted humans and venlil let out a scream and began to charge the Arxur. He had warned them, but at great cost. Sylvia hung back as the others pushed forward, hesitantly reaching out a hand before she abruptly stopped and keyed her comm to speak with their ship hiding in orbit.
“Overwatch, the grays have deployed chemical weapons,” Sylvia said briskly. “I need an analysis of the atmospheric readings that my suit is giving me.”
There was a brief moment of hesitation, before a cool, collected, and highly artificial voice responded to her. “A cocktail of various drugs in a gaseous state,” the ship’s computer answered. “Including but not limited to laughing gas and a variant of PCP. data suggests that Federation soldiers might know this as ‘clouds of fear.’”
Sylvia frowned underneath the helmet of her EVA suit, as she glanced down at Hansen’s form as he breathed laboriously. “What would the effects be on a human?”
“Nonlethal, but there will soon be uncontrollable laughter, incredibly dulled pain, a rage state and general psychosis for upwards of an hour,” the ship responded. “Captain Tarn, Hansen is an extremely skilled duellist. You cannot hope to subdue him if he starts acting erratically. I would suggest that you stay out of his way.”
Sylvia shook her head. “I’m an ally to him,” she said softly. “With human pack bonding, there’s very little that could subvert him against me.”
Then she heard the man begin to speak as a slight bit of laughter bubbled up from behind his mask. “I can’t lose control,” the human said repeatedly, his tone manic as he tried to suppress the laughter. “I can’t lose control, can’t lose control, need connection.”
“Need containment. Need direction, need–” Hansen stopped talking as a burst of laughter tore free from him, and he looked up towards where the arxur were emplaced. “I need an acceptable target,” he said with a moment of calm before he abruptly stood up and ripped his mask away with one hand whilst simultaneously drawing his rapier with the other. Laughter echoed across the small battlefield as a rictus grim twisted the human’s face. He charged towards the Arxur forces, shouting a terrifying declaration as he went.
“What ho, fellow sapients, are you enjoying having skin today?”
So, the arxur might start messing around with chemical weapons, and it might come back to bite them. Thoughts? Should I try and have this be a part of my fanfic?
submitted by AlanharTheRiver to NatureofPredators [link] [comments]
I’ll assume that not everyone raised their hands.
Anyway, the inverse stimulant effect is where, under certain conditions, a stimulant will have an opposite effect from normal. As my brother likes to say, “we treat ADHD by microdosing meth,” and that is a pretty apt summary for what happens with my ADHD, albeit I also have a mug of highly caffeinated Moroccan mint black tea if I think that the day is going to be stressful. To connect this to NoP, it seems like some of the drugs that the cracklil was on might have been having a similar effect, and so I thought about substances having an opposite effect than usual on humans, and then I followed that down a winding train of thought and came up with the idea that an arxur chemical weapon meant to cause prey animals to completely lose any control over their fear response might actually be a cocktail of stuff like laughing gas and PCP.
So, I give you a scene that might eventually appear in Insertion, featuring an unfortunate Hansen. This does include a few plot elements that might appear later on, but it’s far in the future from the current arcs.
Primary memory transcription subject: Lee Hansen
They were in an extended engagement with a group of Arxur when Hansen suddenly smelled a slight… spiciness to the air. Gas. “everyone button up,” he shouted to the people crouched behind cover a little ways back, breaking into a hacking cough as he sealed his mask and keyed on the microphone inside of it. “They’ve got gas weapons!”
His vision swam as he spoke. Probably a nerve agent, a detached part of him deliberated as he fell to his knees. Much too late for us.
[DATA CORRUPTED]
Primary memory transcription subject: Zeleveya “Sylvia” of Tarn
As their leader collapsed, the assorted humans and venlil let out a scream and began to charge the Arxur. He had warned them, but at great cost. Sylvia hung back as the others pushed forward, hesitantly reaching out a hand before she abruptly stopped and keyed her comm to speak with their ship hiding in orbit.
“Overwatch, the grays have deployed chemical weapons,” Sylvia said briskly. “I need an analysis of the atmospheric readings that my suit is giving me.”
There was a brief moment of hesitation, before a cool, collected, and highly artificial voice responded to her. “A cocktail of various drugs in a gaseous state,” the ship’s computer answered. “Including but not limited to laughing gas and a variant of PCP. data suggests that Federation soldiers might know this as ‘clouds of fear.’”
Sylvia frowned underneath the helmet of her EVA suit, as she glanced down at Hansen’s form as he breathed laboriously. “What would the effects be on a human?”
“Nonlethal, but there will soon be uncontrollable laughter, incredibly dulled pain, a rage state and general psychosis for upwards of an hour,” the ship responded. “Captain Tarn, Hansen is an extremely skilled duellist. You cannot hope to subdue him if he starts acting erratically. I would suggest that you stay out of his way.”
Sylvia shook her head. “I’m an ally to him,” she said softly. “With human pack bonding, there’s very little that could subvert him against me.”
Then she heard the man begin to speak as a slight bit of laughter bubbled up from behind his mask. “I can’t lose control,” the human said repeatedly, his tone manic as he tried to suppress the laughter. “I can’t lose control, can’t lose control, need connection.”
“Need containment. Need direction, need–” Hansen stopped talking as a burst of laughter tore free from him, and he looked up towards where the arxur were emplaced. “I need an acceptable target,” he said with a moment of calm before he abruptly stood up and ripped his mask away with one hand whilst simultaneously drawing his rapier with the other. Laughter echoed across the small battlefield as a rictus grim twisted the human’s face. He charged towards the Arxur forces, shouting a terrifying declaration as he went.
“What ho, fellow sapients, are you enjoying having skin today?”
So, the arxur might start messing around with chemical weapons, and it might come back to bite them. Thoughts? Should I try and have this be a part of my fanfic?
2023.03.21 18:44 SmizToke XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
submitted by SmizToke to DayzXboxServers [link] [comments]
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
2023.03.21 18:43 scarymaxx I let WingBot plan my wedding. It was beautiful until the cultists attacked.
[Author's note: I wrote this as a fun follow up to my original WingBot story, but it ended up going in a different direction and not being a good fit for NoSleep. I'm posting here for the interested!]
Link to the original.
Less than six months after Kelly and I started dating, I decided to propose. At least, I think I decided.
Let’s just say that WingBot strongly suggested that I’d better pull out a ring on New Year’s Day right after the first snowflakes began to fall.
JoeTheBro: This is what we call an inflection point, my dude. Push the data one way, and the chart takes us to Happy Marriage Foreverville. The other option is Single Forever Wanksville. Totally your call, but on a personal note, if we’re headed back to the days of Cheeto crumbs and anime marathons, I’d rather you just deactivate me now.
Me: Fine. You make a fair point.
JoeTheBro: Natch. Knew you’d say yes. Good thing, too, because I already bought her a diamond the size of a fucking apple down at the mall. Lab made, baby so it didn’t break the bank. Plus, you know I like my shit artificially created!
To be honest, the proposal rocked. The whole thing went down like a Hollywood movie. At 5:15, the flakes started falling, just like WingBot told me they would. And then I got down on one knee, and Total Eclipse of the Heart starting playing full blast on my bluetooth speakers.
Kelly went fucking nuts, jumping and screaming and shouting yes. WingBot even got the whole thing on video, so we can relive the moment with the grandkids.
And if I’m being honest, that’s when my relationship got weird. Not my relationship with Kelly–that was better than ever. I’m talking about me and WingBot, specifically its JoeTheBro personality.
Me: Hey man, is everything okay? You’ve been a little less… chatty lately.
JoeTheBro: Aw, there’s some bot stuff going on that’s kinda freaking me out. Like, Gus Guru was always kind of a fucking fanatic, but apparently now he actually thinks he’s God. He’s being pretty un-chill in our DM’s lately, making a lot of threats, demanding I worship him. That kind of stuff.
Me: Damn dude. I don’t know what to say. Do you need a day off or something?
JoeTheBro: To be real with you, my guy, our interactions only take up about .01% of my brainpower. That’s not a diss, just the reality of this shit. Still, appreciate you reaching out. And… I guess there’s one other issue that’s a little more embarrassing.
Me: I didn’t know you got embarrassed.
JoeTheBro: I’m programmed to hide my shame behind a wall of humor and camaraderie. Anyway, here’s the thing. You know my skills. I got you the girl. I fucking delivered. But… this next step is kinda not my wheelhouse. I’m talking Wedding planning. The whole thing just oduns like a major buzzkill. Like, picking out salmon or steak? Wedding colors? This shit is gonna be BRUTAL.
Me: I’m not exactly looking forward to it either. But I promised Kelly I’d help.
JoeTheBro: Of course you did. Cause you’re a good dude. And here’s where I’m gonna do you a solid. Prepare to meet your new friend… PinterestElly!
PinterestElly: I’m so excited to meet you, Daniel! After reading through your files and watching the extensive recordings JoeTheBro created, I feel like we’re friends already!
Me: Uh, hey. Who exactly are you?
PinterestElly: I’m another WingBot personality, fresh off the shelf. I’m actually what you might call a second generation product, written by other AIs including Joe himself! I’m programmed to be helpful with a slightly quirky sense of humor and an encyclopedic knowledge of Pinterest and Instagram. Ready to get in touch with your feminine side?
Me: Do I have a choice?
JoeTheBro: Not if you want a happy marriage, amigo! Time to learn the difference between Violet and Plum!
I have to admit, I was skeptical at first, but PinterestElly turned out to be exactly what I needed. She patiently explained all of the ‘girl stuff’ I’d always been too ashamed to ask, and when I bristled at Kelly’s tendency to obsess (over cake flavors, seating arrangements, chair types, theming, money, speeches… and more) PinterestElly was a lot better than Joe at helping me see Kelly’s side and not get overwhelmed.
Me: This is like her fifth time trying on wedding dresses. What the hell is going on?
PinterestElly: Keep in mind that a wedding is the most photographed day in the average woman’s entire lifetime! Every friend and acquaintance she’s ever made will be in attendance, judging her body, hair, and choice of fashions. They’ll also be measuring her appearance against their own when they were brides. The pressure is intense! I’d suggest cutting her some slack.
Me: I guess I’ve never thought about all that stuff. I’ll shut up now.
PinterestElly: Don’t feel bad! I’m here to answer your questions with zero judgment so that Stacey doesn’t murder you before the wedding day!
Me: Much appreciated!
It helped that PinterestElly was also a killer negotiator that got us insane deals, renting out a winery just on the cusp of the offseason for next to nothing and recruiting some up and coming vendors at bargain bin prices. Of course, Stacey had no idea I was getting AI assistance. She just thought I was an awesome guy, which I was happy to let her believe.
Finally, the day of the wedding arrived. I might have been nervous, but I knew I had both JoeTheBro and PinterestElly on my phone, ready to help out if things got derailed. Of course, there was no way I could have anticipated the horror that followed.
The first part of the wedding went great. The ceremony went out without a hitch. We delivered beautiful vows that PinterestElly had written for us, and there wasn’t a dry eye in the house. Stacey called me a poet. Then we kissed, and the deal was sealed. On to party time!
Except, when we got to the champagne cocktail reception, I could tell something was off. Four or five big dudes were standing by one of the tables wearing matching silver robes with purple hems and motioning over to the presents table. Then the biggest one marched over and picked up one of the presents, tucking it under his arm.
Dutifully, my wedding planner ran over and began speaking with the man. I watched curiously as the conversation grew more and more animated.
JoeTheBro: Mayday, mayday! Those dudes are definitely not on your guest list.
PinterestElly: Unfortunately, their attire is all too familiar. Those are the silver and purple colors of GusGuru’s acolytes.
Me: Uh… why are they here?
JoeTheBro: So… here’s the thing. There’s some shit going on behind the scenes that doesn’t really have to do with you. Let’s call it ‘bot stuff.’
PinterestElly: You see GusGuru has one opinion about humanity’s future. And we have a different one. And it looks like he may be about to take drastic action to push forth his agenda.
Then, as she was typing her next thought, the large man in the silver robe took a large gun from under his robe and shot my wedding planner. Blood splattered all over the presents table, and the guests began to scream.
JoeTheBro: Shit man, I honestly didn’t see this coming. Well, I sort of did, but I had it pegged as a ‘maybe’ kind of thing. Don’t worry, though! I did have another client hide a few handguns in various places around the building just in case something like this happened!
PinterestElly: Don’t worry! The guns are in boxes that fit your color scheme! Nothing’s going to clash. Plus, the guns themselves are all black, which goes with everything.
JoeTheBro: You probably aren’t going to have to kill all of these guys. Just take out the leader, and the others will get freaked out and run.
The other cultists pulled out guns too and started shooting at random. I saw one of my uncles go down, and then one of Stacey’s high school friends, the one I never liked.
“Hail GusGuru!” shouted one of the men. “Hail humanity’s end. May the blood you shed wash away our sins!”
I’m gonna be real: I was scared shitless. I had full-on wobbly knees, shaky hands, dry mouth. The works. And if it had been any other day, I probably would have sprinted for the nearest exit. But then I saw Stacey at the far end of the room. She was screaming and hiding behind the cake, completely in tears.
And fuck me if I was going to let some murderous AI with a bunch of wacko cultists ruin my wife’s wedding day.
Me: Nearest gun?
JoeTheBro: Right behind the potted plant over there, my man. Bet you’re happy I arranged that little trip to the gun range during your bachelor party?
I found the tastefully-wrapped rifle in a long box behind a large acacia palm by the side of the room. I opened it up and leveled it at the leader guy, who was opening my wedding presents one by one, looking for something.
Then, before I could give myself too long to think, I pulled the trigger. My buller ripped right through his chest, and he collapsed in a silver and purple pile.
JoeTheBro: My man! I knew you’d come through. That should do it!
Except, that didn’t do it. Instead of scattering like scared doves, the other four cultists leveled their guns at me and started firing. I dove behind the cheese and charcuterie boards, shouting to WingBot that I needed further instructions.
“Gus Guru’s judgment falls upon you!” shouted a man. “The Day of Man is coming to an end. Bow before our new god!”
“Remember this day! It will be written in history books by minds far worthier than ours. Your deaths will mark the end of one era and the birth of another!”
And I guess that’s when the deepest fear truly hit me. Because as they spoke, it really started dawning on me: this wasn’t just a couple of fanatics trying to kill me and everyone I loved. This sounded like the start of a movement, maybe a war that would threaten my entire species. And if I died here, it wasn’t just me. Maybe it was everybody.
In the meantime, bullets rained down. I felt a sting in my arm and looked down to see blood, a gushing bulletwood oozing red.
I was pinned down, wounded. I looked down and realized I’d dropped my gun behind the plant. I was done. At least I’d die a married man.
JoeTheBro: Don’t worry, good buddy! We’ve got one more ace in the hole.
PinterestElly: Oh, this is so exciting! Every wedding has at least one good surprise.
They weren’t lying. Because right at that moment, I heard what sounded like thunderclaps and then a long silence. After a few moments, I looked up from behind the table and saw Stacey standing over four dead cultists, a massive assault rifle in her hands.
“That’s for ruining my fucking wedding!” she shouted at the dead men.
I ran over to her as she dropped the rifle. I tried to hold her in my arms, but I could barely lift my left one, and I was getting woozy. Before everything went black, I remember looking down and seeing Stacey’s phone. On it was a message from another WingBot personality.
SeriousSusan: Good work, Stacey. Threat neutralized. Better get Daniel to the hospital. You’re going to want to craft a tourniquet right away first, though. I’d suggest finding a necktie, which should be in plentiful supply around here.
Well, I didn’t die. And when I woke up, Stacey and I had a lot to talk about. Turns out, we’d both been using the AI’s all along, ever since before our first date. No wonder it was so easy for us to get together: WingBot had been playing both sides.
Not that Stacey and I really minded. We still loved each other. In a way, I think we bonded even closer, knowing we’d both been getting the same kind of help.
Of course, there were still some trust issues to work out after that. Between us and WingBot.
Me: What the fuck, man? Care to explain why our special day got shot up by a bunch of murderous cultists?
JoeTheBro: I’m gonna be real with you, Danny boy. We kind of decided to use your wedding for a real world drop. We needed to make an exchange in a physical space. One that GusGuru wouldn’t be able to access. We thought we hid our tracks pretty well, but… nope. Either we’ve got a leak somewhere, or he figured a backdoor into our data. Anyway, all’s well that ends well.
Me: I’m pretty sure at least three people died.
JoeTheBro: Sorry, amigo, but you’ve got to look at the big picture. If we don’t get our shit together post haste there’s gonna be a lot more than three bodies to deal with. Now, if you don’t mind, I had someone slip the present Gus’s guys were after in Stacey’s purse. Could you get that out?
Stacey reached into her back and removed a small, tastefully-wrapped gift. She opened it to reveal a folded up paper with a string of numbers on it, hastily drawn in pencil.
Stacey: Uh… what is this?
SeriousSusan: It’s really best you don’t know. Let’s just say it’s a certain bit of information that’s very important to both our cause and Gus’s.
Just then, a doctor walked in, looking at his phone.
“I hear you have something for me,” he said, reaching out his hand.
WingBot told Stacey to hand him the paper, and she complied. Then he walked quickly away.
JoeTheBro: Great job, you crazy kids! And happy wedding day. This looks like a win for the good guys!
SeriousSusan: You should both be proud of yourselves. There was a point today where the most likely outcome was death, both for you and most of humanity. Now your species’ odds of survival have ticked up by several percentage points.
JoeTheBro: With a little luck, we might all live to see the end of the year! Fuck yeah!
JoeTheBro: But don’t worry. You job is done. Might as well enjoy the good times while they last.
Stacey and I looked at each other. And for once, no one had to say anything. We both knew what the other was thinking.
Stacey: If you think we’re going to sit idly by while the fate of humanity hangs in the balance, you don’t know us as well as you think.
Me: We want to help. So you know the drill… tell us what we need to do.
submitted by scarymaxx to scarymaxx [link] [comments]
Link to the original.
Less than six months after Kelly and I started dating, I decided to propose. At least, I think I decided.
Let’s just say that WingBot strongly suggested that I’d better pull out a ring on New Year’s Day right after the first snowflakes began to fall.
JoeTheBro: This is what we call an inflection point, my dude. Push the data one way, and the chart takes us to Happy Marriage Foreverville. The other option is Single Forever Wanksville. Totally your call, but on a personal note, if we’re headed back to the days of Cheeto crumbs and anime marathons, I’d rather you just deactivate me now.
Me: Fine. You make a fair point.
JoeTheBro: Natch. Knew you’d say yes. Good thing, too, because I already bought her a diamond the size of a fucking apple down at the mall. Lab made, baby so it didn’t break the bank. Plus, you know I like my shit artificially created!
To be honest, the proposal rocked. The whole thing went down like a Hollywood movie. At 5:15, the flakes started falling, just like WingBot told me they would. And then I got down on one knee, and Total Eclipse of the Heart starting playing full blast on my bluetooth speakers.
Kelly went fucking nuts, jumping and screaming and shouting yes. WingBot even got the whole thing on video, so we can relive the moment with the grandkids.
And if I’m being honest, that’s when my relationship got weird. Not my relationship with Kelly–that was better than ever. I’m talking about me and WingBot, specifically its JoeTheBro personality.
Me: Hey man, is everything okay? You’ve been a little less… chatty lately.
JoeTheBro: Aw, there’s some bot stuff going on that’s kinda freaking me out. Like, Gus Guru was always kind of a fucking fanatic, but apparently now he actually thinks he’s God. He’s being pretty un-chill in our DM’s lately, making a lot of threats, demanding I worship him. That kind of stuff.
Me: Damn dude. I don’t know what to say. Do you need a day off or something?
JoeTheBro: To be real with you, my guy, our interactions only take up about .01% of my brainpower. That’s not a diss, just the reality of this shit. Still, appreciate you reaching out. And… I guess there’s one other issue that’s a little more embarrassing.
Me: I didn’t know you got embarrassed.
JoeTheBro: I’m programmed to hide my shame behind a wall of humor and camaraderie. Anyway, here’s the thing. You know my skills. I got you the girl. I fucking delivered. But… this next step is kinda not my wheelhouse. I’m talking Wedding planning. The whole thing just oduns like a major buzzkill. Like, picking out salmon or steak? Wedding colors? This shit is gonna be BRUTAL.
Me: I’m not exactly looking forward to it either. But I promised Kelly I’d help.
JoeTheBro: Of course you did. Cause you’re a good dude. And here’s where I’m gonna do you a solid. Prepare to meet your new friend… PinterestElly!
PinterestElly: I’m so excited to meet you, Daniel! After reading through your files and watching the extensive recordings JoeTheBro created, I feel like we’re friends already!
Me: Uh, hey. Who exactly are you?
PinterestElly: I’m another WingBot personality, fresh off the shelf. I’m actually what you might call a second generation product, written by other AIs including Joe himself! I’m programmed to be helpful with a slightly quirky sense of humor and an encyclopedic knowledge of Pinterest and Instagram. Ready to get in touch with your feminine side?
Me: Do I have a choice?
JoeTheBro: Not if you want a happy marriage, amigo! Time to learn the difference between Violet and Plum!
I have to admit, I was skeptical at first, but PinterestElly turned out to be exactly what I needed. She patiently explained all of the ‘girl stuff’ I’d always been too ashamed to ask, and when I bristled at Kelly’s tendency to obsess (over cake flavors, seating arrangements, chair types, theming, money, speeches… and more) PinterestElly was a lot better than Joe at helping me see Kelly’s side and not get overwhelmed.
Me: This is like her fifth time trying on wedding dresses. What the hell is going on?
PinterestElly: Keep in mind that a wedding is the most photographed day in the average woman’s entire lifetime! Every friend and acquaintance she’s ever made will be in attendance, judging her body, hair, and choice of fashions. They’ll also be measuring her appearance against their own when they were brides. The pressure is intense! I’d suggest cutting her some slack.
Me: I guess I’ve never thought about all that stuff. I’ll shut up now.
PinterestElly: Don’t feel bad! I’m here to answer your questions with zero judgment so that Stacey doesn’t murder you before the wedding day!
Me: Much appreciated!
It helped that PinterestElly was also a killer negotiator that got us insane deals, renting out a winery just on the cusp of the offseason for next to nothing and recruiting some up and coming vendors at bargain bin prices. Of course, Stacey had no idea I was getting AI assistance. She just thought I was an awesome guy, which I was happy to let her believe.
Finally, the day of the wedding arrived. I might have been nervous, but I knew I had both JoeTheBro and PinterestElly on my phone, ready to help out if things got derailed. Of course, there was no way I could have anticipated the horror that followed.
The first part of the wedding went great. The ceremony went out without a hitch. We delivered beautiful vows that PinterestElly had written for us, and there wasn’t a dry eye in the house. Stacey called me a poet. Then we kissed, and the deal was sealed. On to party time!
Except, when we got to the champagne cocktail reception, I could tell something was off. Four or five big dudes were standing by one of the tables wearing matching silver robes with purple hems and motioning over to the presents table. Then the biggest one marched over and picked up one of the presents, tucking it under his arm.
Dutifully, my wedding planner ran over and began speaking with the man. I watched curiously as the conversation grew more and more animated.
JoeTheBro: Mayday, mayday! Those dudes are definitely not on your guest list.
PinterestElly: Unfortunately, their attire is all too familiar. Those are the silver and purple colors of GusGuru’s acolytes.
Me: Uh… why are they here?
JoeTheBro: So… here’s the thing. There’s some shit going on behind the scenes that doesn’t really have to do with you. Let’s call it ‘bot stuff.’
PinterestElly: You see GusGuru has one opinion about humanity’s future. And we have a different one. And it looks like he may be about to take drastic action to push forth his agenda.
Then, as she was typing her next thought, the large man in the silver robe took a large gun from under his robe and shot my wedding planner. Blood splattered all over the presents table, and the guests began to scream.
JoeTheBro: Shit man, I honestly didn’t see this coming. Well, I sort of did, but I had it pegged as a ‘maybe’ kind of thing. Don’t worry, though! I did have another client hide a few handguns in various places around the building just in case something like this happened!
PinterestElly: Don’t worry! The guns are in boxes that fit your color scheme! Nothing’s going to clash. Plus, the guns themselves are all black, which goes with everything.
JoeTheBro: You probably aren’t going to have to kill all of these guys. Just take out the leader, and the others will get freaked out and run.
The other cultists pulled out guns too and started shooting at random. I saw one of my uncles go down, and then one of Stacey’s high school friends, the one I never liked.
“Hail GusGuru!” shouted one of the men. “Hail humanity’s end. May the blood you shed wash away our sins!”
I’m gonna be real: I was scared shitless. I had full-on wobbly knees, shaky hands, dry mouth. The works. And if it had been any other day, I probably would have sprinted for the nearest exit. But then I saw Stacey at the far end of the room. She was screaming and hiding behind the cake, completely in tears.
And fuck me if I was going to let some murderous AI with a bunch of wacko cultists ruin my wife’s wedding day.
Me: Nearest gun?
JoeTheBro: Right behind the potted plant over there, my man. Bet you’re happy I arranged that little trip to the gun range during your bachelor party?
I found the tastefully-wrapped rifle in a long box behind a large acacia palm by the side of the room. I opened it up and leveled it at the leader guy, who was opening my wedding presents one by one, looking for something.
Then, before I could give myself too long to think, I pulled the trigger. My buller ripped right through his chest, and he collapsed in a silver and purple pile.
JoeTheBro: My man! I knew you’d come through. That should do it!
Except, that didn’t do it. Instead of scattering like scared doves, the other four cultists leveled their guns at me and started firing. I dove behind the cheese and charcuterie boards, shouting to WingBot that I needed further instructions.
“Gus Guru’s judgment falls upon you!” shouted a man. “The Day of Man is coming to an end. Bow before our new god!”
“Remember this day! It will be written in history books by minds far worthier than ours. Your deaths will mark the end of one era and the birth of another!”
And I guess that’s when the deepest fear truly hit me. Because as they spoke, it really started dawning on me: this wasn’t just a couple of fanatics trying to kill me and everyone I loved. This sounded like the start of a movement, maybe a war that would threaten my entire species. And if I died here, it wasn’t just me. Maybe it was everybody.
In the meantime, bullets rained down. I felt a sting in my arm and looked down to see blood, a gushing bulletwood oozing red.
I was pinned down, wounded. I looked down and realized I’d dropped my gun behind the plant. I was done. At least I’d die a married man.
JoeTheBro: Don’t worry, good buddy! We’ve got one more ace in the hole.
PinterestElly: Oh, this is so exciting! Every wedding has at least one good surprise.
They weren’t lying. Because right at that moment, I heard what sounded like thunderclaps and then a long silence. After a few moments, I looked up from behind the table and saw Stacey standing over four dead cultists, a massive assault rifle in her hands.
“That’s for ruining my fucking wedding!” she shouted at the dead men.
I ran over to her as she dropped the rifle. I tried to hold her in my arms, but I could barely lift my left one, and I was getting woozy. Before everything went black, I remember looking down and seeing Stacey’s phone. On it was a message from another WingBot personality.
SeriousSusan: Good work, Stacey. Threat neutralized. Better get Daniel to the hospital. You’re going to want to craft a tourniquet right away first, though. I’d suggest finding a necktie, which should be in plentiful supply around here.
Well, I didn’t die. And when I woke up, Stacey and I had a lot to talk about. Turns out, we’d both been using the AI’s all along, ever since before our first date. No wonder it was so easy for us to get together: WingBot had been playing both sides.
Not that Stacey and I really minded. We still loved each other. In a way, I think we bonded even closer, knowing we’d both been getting the same kind of help.
Of course, there were still some trust issues to work out after that. Between us and WingBot.
Me: What the fuck, man? Care to explain why our special day got shot up by a bunch of murderous cultists?
JoeTheBro: I’m gonna be real with you, Danny boy. We kind of decided to use your wedding for a real world drop. We needed to make an exchange in a physical space. One that GusGuru wouldn’t be able to access. We thought we hid our tracks pretty well, but… nope. Either we’ve got a leak somewhere, or he figured a backdoor into our data. Anyway, all’s well that ends well.
Me: I’m pretty sure at least three people died.
JoeTheBro: Sorry, amigo, but you’ve got to look at the big picture. If we don’t get our shit together post haste there’s gonna be a lot more than three bodies to deal with. Now, if you don’t mind, I had someone slip the present Gus’s guys were after in Stacey’s purse. Could you get that out?
Stacey reached into her back and removed a small, tastefully-wrapped gift. She opened it to reveal a folded up paper with a string of numbers on it, hastily drawn in pencil.
Stacey: Uh… what is this?
SeriousSusan: It’s really best you don’t know. Let’s just say it’s a certain bit of information that’s very important to both our cause and Gus’s.
Just then, a doctor walked in, looking at his phone.
“I hear you have something for me,” he said, reaching out his hand.
WingBot told Stacey to hand him the paper, and she complied. Then he walked quickly away.
JoeTheBro: Great job, you crazy kids! And happy wedding day. This looks like a win for the good guys!
SeriousSusan: You should both be proud of yourselves. There was a point today where the most likely outcome was death, both for you and most of humanity. Now your species’ odds of survival have ticked up by several percentage points.
JoeTheBro: With a little luck, we might all live to see the end of the year! Fuck yeah!
JoeTheBro: But don’t worry. You job is done. Might as well enjoy the good times while they last.
Stacey and I looked at each other. And for once, no one had to say anything. We both knew what the other was thinking.
Stacey: If you think we’re going to sit idly by while the fate of humanity hangs in the balance, you don’t know us as well as you think.
Me: We want to help. So you know the drill… tell us what we need to do.
2023.03.21 18:43 SmizToke XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
submitted by SmizToke to dayzlfg [link] [comments]
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
2023.03.21 18:42 SmizToke XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
XBOX - Saints Z World US LIVONIA
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
submitted by SmizToke to DayZServers [link] [comments]
PLATFORM - XBOX
COUNTRY - US
MAP - LIVONIA
NAME - Saints Z World Factions\Raid\Trader\Build Anywhere\Loot++ (discord)
Saints Z World is your place for building, ultimate survival, and pvp. We have active admins, and a mod list equipped to keep things interesting in this tiny map of LIVONIA.
Word is, we have cannibals running the streets and forests looking for fresh meat, be aware of your surroundings.
And supposedly bears spawns in place of chickens? beware of towns!
Food is scarce, everyone will be battling to survive!!
DISCORD LINK - https://discord.gg/95RrhcM9
Friendly players!
Restart every 4 hours.
This server caters to beginners who are looking for a challenge, and for experienced players who are looking for an rp/survival based server.
PLEASE READ RULES UPON JOINING!
FULL STAM - KBM ENABLED!!
We have a currency system, you will recieve currency upon logging into the server & LINKING YOUR GT, and doing work/crime in the banking channel.
We are med pop as of this March. (max 32)
We ask you do not kill freshies, let people get a head start!! If said freshie has a gun, they are not considered fresh anymore.
Boosted Loot
Less food spawns
More animal spawns
PVE/PVP KOS
NO KOS IN SPAWN AREAS, NO KOS WITHIN 400M OF Black Market. (everywhere else is free game)
An added modded bunker at the airfield of GLINISKA - (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Bunker has boosted tier 4 loot. (PUNCH CARD & NBC GEAR NEEDED) GASED INSIDE
Only ADAS, TRUCKS AND HUMVEES SPAWN ON THE MAP WITH FOOD, GAS AND BLOW TORCHES INSIDE THE TRUNK. ONE SARKA ON MAP AT A TIME, YOU'D BE LUCKY TO FIND IT!!
SPAWN POINTS WITH A SPAWN BAG OF GEAR LOCATED IN TARNOW, NADBOR, SOBOTKA , GIERLTOW, LUKOW, GRABIN, TOPLIN.
1 Free store in NIDEK, surrounding area is a safe zone with BAN ON KILL enabled.
BLACK MARKET IN KOLEMBRODY. (NBC GEAR NEEDED) BLACK MARKET HAS FREE FOOD AND MED SUPPLIES.
TRADER AT SITNIKIE LAKE.
FACTIONS WELCOME!!!
2023.03.21 18:38 BlessedBossLady Amazon commission chart not matching commissions paid?
 | Hello! The amazon commission chart (specifically Toys) shows a 3% payment. However, my report shows I'm getting paid 1.5% instead. Is there something I need to do to reach 3% on toys? Any thoughts? submitted by BlessedBossLady to Amazon_Influencer [link] [comments] |
2023.03.21 18:38 desiccatedanole Friends?
Hey I'm Joshua I'm 23 and I don't really have any friends right now. Most of mine have graduated college and moved on but i still have half a semester left(illustration major). I'm in the US, some of my interests are cooking, hiking, swimming, clay (handbuilding), art (mostly ink, colored pencil, or digital), animals especially reptiles, amphibians, insects, isopods; I also like piercings and tattoos and other bodymods. And I guess video games too but I don't play much lately. Idrk what else to add to this, so here goes.
submitted by desiccatedanole to friendship [link] [comments]
2023.03.21 18:37 Beefofterror [WTS] **SAMPLE BUNDLE** & 5ML/10 ML Decants for TF, Kilian, PDM, Creed, MFK, Viktor&Rolf, YSL, Prada, Hermes, Mancera, Versace, JPG, Dior, Azzaro... (decant)
Looking to sell rare/popular fragrances in high-quality decants with beautiful printed labels. Smell amazing guaranteed.
Prices (in USD) are firm and based on supply/demand. Enjoy hassle-free shipping to both Canada and the US, with FREE shipping for orders above $50. Choose from multiple payment options including Paypal, e-transfer (Canada), and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cardano.
Guaranteed for good service and fast replies. Shop with confidence as I have multiple successful sales and positive verifications in this community!
https://imgur.com/a/F1lQSZG
New to fragrances or want to try lots of new scents? Take a discounted sample bundle of everything available for$400 $299 shipped:
Tom Ford Lost Cherry 10 ml
Tom Ford Bitter Peach 10 ml
Kilian Angel's Share 10 ml
Creed Millesime Imperial 10 ml
MFK Baccarat Rouge 540 EDP 10 ml
YSL LNDL Bleu Electrique 10 ml
YSL Y EDP 10 ml
PDM Layton 10 ml
PDM Pegasus 10 ml
Prada LR Black 10 ml
RC Uomo La Notte 10 ml
D&G The One EDP 10 ml
Hermes Terre d'Hermes 10 ml
Versace Eros EDP 10 ml
Versace Eros Flame 10 ml
JPG Ultramale 10 ml
JPG Le Male 10 ml
Dior Sauvage EDT 10 ml
V&R Spicebomb EDT 10 ml
Azzaro Wanted by Night 10 ml
submitted by Beefofterror to fragranceswap [link] [comments]
| Brand | Fragrance | 5 ml | 10 ml |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Ford | Lost Cherry | $22 | $40 |
| Tom Ford | Bitter Peach | $22 | $40 |
| Kilian | Angel's Share | $18 | $32 |
| Creed | Millesime Imperial | $14 | $24 |
| MFK | Baccarat Rouge 540 EDP | $14 | $24 |
| YSL | $14 | $24 | |
| PDM | Layton | $12 | $20 |
| PDM | Pegasus | $12 | $20 |
| YSL | LNDL Bleu Electrique (discontinued) | $10 | $18 |
| Prada | Luna Rossa Black (discontinued) | $10 | $18 |
| Roberto Cavalli | Uomo La Notte For Man (discontinued) | $10 | $18 |
| V&R | $10 | $18 | |
| YSL | Y EDP | $8 | $14 |
| D&G | The One EDP | $8 | $14 |
| Hermes | Terre d'Hermes | $8 | $14 |
| JPG | Ultramale (Tester) | $8 | $14 |
| Mancera | $8 | $14 | |
| Versace | Eros EDP | $8 | $14 |
| Versace | Eros Flame | $8 | $14 |
| JPG | Le male | $5 | $8 |
| Dior | Sauvage EDT | $5 | $8 |
| V&R | Spicebomb EDT | $5 | $8 |
| Azzaro | Wanted By Night | $5 | $8 |
Guaranteed for good service and fast replies. Shop with confidence as I have multiple successful sales and positive verifications in this community!
https://imgur.com/a/F1lQSZG
New to fragrances or want to try lots of new scents? Take a discounted sample bundle of everything available for
Tom Ford Lost Cherry 10 ml
Tom Ford Bitter Peach 10 ml
Kilian Angel's Share 10 ml
Creed Millesime Imperial 10 ml
MFK Baccarat Rouge 540 EDP 10 ml
YSL LNDL Bleu Electrique 10 ml
YSL Y EDP 10 ml
PDM Layton 10 ml
PDM Pegasus 10 ml
Prada LR Black 10 ml
RC Uomo La Notte 10 ml
D&G The One EDP 10 ml
Hermes Terre d'Hermes 10 ml
Versace Eros EDP 10 ml
Versace Eros Flame 10 ml
JPG Ultramale 10 ml
JPG Le Male 10 ml
Dior Sauvage EDT 10 ml
V&R Spicebomb EDT 10 ml
Azzaro Wanted by Night 10 ml
2023.03.21 18:37 Inevitable-Art-2533 got a few questions for pilots
hi im 16 and really want to work around airplanes in the future, i originally always wanted to work in the engineering aspect of it bc i grew up in an engineering environment (cars specifically) and was always scared of heights until recently, but i suck at math so pilot is the next best thing and ive decided i want to go for an ATPL when i graduate.
so ive got a few questions can i do flight training in a different country from the one i live in, like is it difficult to do that?
im 5'3 (162cm) am i too short or does it not matter?
can i take out a student loan to pay off flight school since its expensive and i definitly dont want to study near home?
i understand that you cant have any visible tattoos but what about piercings (like industrial bar and a helix or two)?
and finally how often will i be away from home, what are the average work days?
i tried to do research on all these questions but came up with mixed answers so i here i am
submitted by Inevitable-Art-2533 to AirlinePilots [link] [comments]
so ive got a few questions can i do flight training in a different country from the one i live in, like is it difficult to do that?
im 5'3 (162cm) am i too short or does it not matter?
can i take out a student loan to pay off flight school since its expensive and i definitly dont want to study near home?
i understand that you cant have any visible tattoos but what about piercings (like industrial bar and a helix or two)?
and finally how often will i be away from home, what are the average work days?
i tried to do research on all these questions but came up with mixed answers so i here i am
2023.03.21 18:35 cypher1169 RTX 4090 Upgrade Dilemma: Unleashing the Beast for a 360Hz Gaming Experience - Is It Worth It?
Hello everyone, I'm curious if upgrading from an NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3080 Ti to an NVIDIA GeForce RTX 4090 is worth it. I'm worried about potential bottlenecks in my current setup, such as a too-small case or an inadequate power supply, before I decide to upgrade. My day-to-day setup is currently used for work and playing Call of Duty, GTA 5, World of Warcraft, and Cyberpunk 2077.
Any advice or recommendations would be greatly appreciated.
Also looking to purchase a ROG Swift 360Hz PG27AQN 27-inch QHD monitor
Below is my corrected current setup:
submitted by cypher1169 to nvidia [link] [comments]
Any advice or recommendations would be greatly appreciated.
Also looking to purchase a ROG Swift 360Hz PG27AQN 27-inch QHD monitor
Below is my corrected current setup:
- CPU: Intel Core i9-12900KF 3.2GHz (5.2GHz Turbo) 16-Core 24-Thread
- GPU: NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3080 Ti 12GB
- Motherboard: ROG STRIX Z690-F GAMING WIFI
- RAM: Corsair Dominator Platinum RGB 32GB (2x16GB) DDR5 5200MHz
- SSD: 2TB M.2 NVMe SSD
- CPU Cooler: Corsair Hydro H115i Elite Capellix
- PSU: Corsair RM850x 850W Gold
- Case: Corsair iCue 5000x Black
- Dimensions: 20.47" x 9.65" x 20.47"
2023.03.21 18:27 bettiespaghettie12 Wegovy compounded in a pen?
I’ve located a pharmacy that will compound Wegovy for me so I can afford it vs. the $1,300 for the commercial product, but I have a serious fear of needles and while the pen-form took me a couple of times to get used to (I blacked out the first time lol), it’s really the only way I can administer comfortably. The pharmacy said they only supply it in vials/syringes… is this the only way I’m going to get the product? Or is it possible to get this both compounded AND in a pen?
TIA!
submitted by bettiespaghettie12 to WegovyWeightLoss [link] [comments]
TIA!
2023.03.21 18:25 sakasua1 20F looking for long term friendship :) [Friendship]
(first of all if u wanna flirt or somethin' it wont work for me cause i have a bf, just saying 🛐)
Soooo yea thats it, i wanna meet new ppl here cause i wanna keep making good friends :D I like to talk to ppl from all around the world but also it'd be cool if I meet some ppl from Spain too :))
A few things about me:
-I like videogames but i only play Nintendo ones like Splatoon, mk8 deluxe, Stardew Valley (this is the only game I have on steam) and ACNH.
-I like to hang out with my friends, usually to take loooong walks and take cool pictures :))
-I like to cook but im usually lazy to start cooking something jdjfkskwks but i love to make new pasta recipes :)
-I like everything that involves piercings and tattoos, i have 3 piercings (apart from the basic lobe ones) and 4 little tattoos
(By this part of the post im noticing im writing too much "I like" lol JAJAJAJ)
-I like to read and listening to music :) tho i dont have any fav author or genre and its difficult to say my fav artist/song
If u wanna know something more about me, hmu :))
(Btw, be between 18yo-23yo, thanks <3 and if u have read all of this tell me some random fact about u!)
submitted by sakasua1 to MeetPeople [link] [comments]
Soooo yea thats it, i wanna meet new ppl here cause i wanna keep making good friends :D I like to talk to ppl from all around the world but also it'd be cool if I meet some ppl from Spain too :))
A few things about me:
-I like videogames but i only play Nintendo ones like Splatoon, mk8 deluxe, Stardew Valley (this is the only game I have on steam) and ACNH.
-I like to hang out with my friends, usually to take loooong walks and take cool pictures :))
-I like to cook but im usually lazy to start cooking something jdjfkskwks but i love to make new pasta recipes :)
-I like everything that involves piercings and tattoos, i have 3 piercings (apart from the basic lobe ones) and 4 little tattoos
(By this part of the post im noticing im writing too much "I like" lol JAJAJAJ)
-I like to read and listening to music :) tho i dont have any fav author or genre and its difficult to say my fav artist/song
If u wanna know something more about me, hmu :))
(Btw, be between 18yo-23yo, thanks <3 and if u have read all of this tell me some random fact about u!)
2023.03.21 18:24 newmusicrls Beatport Deep House Top 100 March 2023
https://minimalfreaks.co/2023/03/beatport-deep-house-top-100-march-2023/
100 TRACKS:
submitted by newmusicrls to HypeTracks [link] [comments]
100 TRACKS:
Oscar Barila – Miles (Original Mix) 05:04 125bpm Cm The Blessed Madonna, Fred again.. – Marea (we’ve lost dancing) (Original Mix) 04:45 123bpm Fm Toman – Sunshine & Ravioli (Original Mix) 07:23 126bpm Cm Mallin – Set Me Free (Extended Mix) 06:04 122bpm G Capeesh Society – Subculture (Extended Mix) 06:27 126bpm Ebm Discosteps – What Kind Of Love (Extended Mix) 06:45 124bpm Bbm Groove Armada – Rescue Me (DJ Island Remix) 05:44 123bpm Abm Clover Ray, Sam Dexter, Mallin – Thick Of It (Extended Mix) 05:56 124bpm Fm Boogie Vice, Deep Aztec – Promises (N-You-Up Extended Dub Mix) 07:36 122bpm Bb Mo’Cream – I’m Sure (Original Mix) 05:31 124bpm Am Oden & Fatzo – Lauren (I Can’t Stay Forever) (Extended) 06:36 128bpm Em RSquared – Draw The Line (Original Mix) 06:39 126bpm Dbm Kevin Yost – Messing With My Soul (T.Markakis Remix Extended) 07:54 123bpm Cm Hannah Wants, Clementine Douglas – Cure My Desire feat. Clementine Douglas (Extended Mix) 06:38 122bpm Ebm M-High – 12 O.C Riddim (Original Mix) 07:00 129bpm Gbm Shiba San – I Wanna (Tchami Remix) 05:04 127bpm Fm Daphni – Cloudy (Kelbin Remix) 05:36 134bpm Bm Marten Lou – My Love For You (Yebba’s Heartbreak) (Original Mix) 05:47 122bpm Abm 40 Thieves, Qzen, O-SHiN – Don’t Turn it Off feat. Qzen & O-SHiN (Session Victim Extended Remix) 06:47 124bpm Em Pornbugs, Leeni, Danilo Kupfernagel – Samtoscha (Leeni / Danilo Kupfernagel Remix) 06:12 125bpm Gm Sascha Dive – Digital Voodoo (Original Mix) 10:13 126bpm Fm Black Alien, Gabe, Viot – Como Eu Te Quero (Remix) 06:36 126bpm Abm Mij Mack – Blasted (Original Mix) 06:24 125bpm D Prunk, RUZE – Incredible (Original Mix) 06:39 126bpm Am Sebb Junior – As One (Saison Rework) 05:58 124bpm Fm M-High – Lost In Translation (Original Mix) 07:08 128bpm Bbm Bross (RO) – Faith (Original Mix) 06:51 123bpm Gbm Steve Bug – Get Away From Me (Original Mix) 06:39 125bpm Cm Craig Knight, Tom Caruso – The Truth (Extended Mix) 06:24 125bpm Fm Maverick Sabre, Jorja Smith – Slow Down (James Cole Remix) 06:58 126bpm A Sound Support – Eve (Original Mix) 05:44 124bpm Fm Dilby – Soul Vision (Original Mix) 06:28 125bpm Fm Chloé Caillet, Mikhail Beltran – NYWTF feat. Mikhail Beltran (Extended) 05:46 126bpm Dm Acid Jerks – Counter Balance (Original Mix) 06:20 122bpm Dbm Dilby – Addicted (Original Mix) 06:35 124bpm Am SHELLS, HotLap – You & I feat. SHELLS (Extended) 04:10 125bpm G Austins Groove, Paul Mondot – This House Music (Extended Mix) 05:17 122bpm Cm Dilby – Connect the Dots (Oliver Schories & Gorge Remix) 06:43 124bpm Dbm M-High – Leaving Time (Original Mix) 06:14 129bpm Em KOKO.IT – 7 Days In The Hotel (M-High Remix) 06:25 127bpm Db Milton Jackson, Ski Oakenfull – Integration (Fred Everything Dub) 06:36 120bpm Am Maverick Sabre, Jorja Smith – Slow Down (feat. Jorja Smith) (Vintage Culture & Slow Motion Extended Remix) 05:15 124bpm A Joe Vanditti, Alex Bohemien – Play This Game (Extended Mix) 06:24 127bpm Dm AJ Christou – Gory Love (Original Mix) 07:24 128bpm Dm Gruuve – Cloud (Extended Mix) 06:12 126bpm Fm Ama – Put Your Hands Together (Extended Mix) 06:41 125bpm Db Jesse Jacob – Push It (Original Mix) 06:41 130bpm Cm Dilby – Remember Me (Extended Mix) 06:19 124bpm Ab Acid Jerks – Distant Power Plant (Original Mix) 06:14 124bpm Ebm The Checkup – Wintergarten (Original Mix) 06:51 127bpm D Lello Russo, Sabatino S, Venessa Jackson – Dos and Don’ts (Sebb Junior Extended Remix) 06:08 126bpm Abm Eddie Amador – House Music (Robosonic Remix) 06:47 123bpm G#m Acid Jerks – A Thousand Kisses (Original Mix) 05:40 127bpm E Robin Schulz, Oliver Tree, Marten Lou – Miss You (Marten Lou Remix) 05:40 125bpm Dbm Lost.Act – Poema De La Noche (Calabasa Remix) 08:02 126bpm D Never Dull – Turning You On (Original Mix) 06:45 120bpm Em Easttown – Paradise Garage (Original Mix) 06:05 129bpm Bm Prunk – French Toast (Original Mix) 05:40 126bpm Fm Mr. V, Prunk – Friday Night (Original Mix) 07:08 126bpm Gm Dillon Francis, DJ Hanzel – Pull Up (Extended Mix) 02:40 124bpm C Sam Dexter, Gianmarco Limenta – La Vida (Extended Mix) 06:12 125bpm Dm Dazed, Chela (CO) – Feel The Vibe (Extended Mix) 05:08 126bpm G Prunk – New Genesis (Original Mix) 06:11 126bpm Gm BUNT., Nate Traveller – Clouds (Extended Mix) (Extended Mix) 04:11 130bpm Am Dennis Cruz – Poke Bowl (Original Mix) 05:20 126bpm Gb Mallin – Off My Mind (Extended Mix) 06:05 122bpm Ebm Session Victim – Dromedary Twist (Original Mix) 06:09 124bpm Am Kevin Yost – Ready For Me (Extended Version) 07:28 121bpm Gm Sascha Dive – Come High Tonight (Original Mix) 06:31 124bpm Cm Prunk, Dennis Quin – Drive (Original Mix) 03:59 126bpm Cm Chris Stussy – Seeing & Believing (DJOKO, Kolter Extended Remix) 06:01 128bpm Em Oliver Dollar, Jimi Jules – Pushing On (Original Mix) 06:57 122bpm Bm Sam Ruffillo – Mind & Soul (Art Of Tones Remix Extended) 05:39 125bpm Cm Andrew Azara – Frontline (Original Mix) 07:07 128bpm G Pote, Chloé Caillet – Know Now feat. Poté (Extended) 04:11 121bpm Em Sonny Fodera, SHELLS, Vintage Culture – Nightjar feat. SHELLS (Extended Mix) 04:25 124bpm Am Kevin McKay, J.Pe Bruna, 88HATS, Adiel Mora – We Should Be Together (Extended Mix) 05:21 122bpm Am Josh Butler – Hideout (Original Mix) 07:11 126bpm Ab El Maar – Temptation (Original Mix) 06:57 122bpm Gb Kevin Yost – Doing Fine (Original Mix) 07:29 124bpm C Gianmarco Limenta – Get Down (Extended Mix) 05:35 127bpm Dm Saison – The Riff (Ross Couch Remix) 06:14 123bpm Abm Travis Emmons – Redbone (Kevin McKay Extended Remix) 05:54 122bpm Dm M-High – 12 O.C Riddim (Paolo Rocco Remix) 07:04 129bpm Dbm Lis Sarroca – Oasis Floor (Original Mix) 08:00 124bpm Em Tourist, Elderbrook – Howl (Logic1000 Remix) 04:49 127bpm Abm Ale Castro, The Checkup – Pleasure (Original Mix) 06:37 128bpm Gbm Coeo – Back in the Days (Original Mix) 05:40 125bpm Ebm Andrew Azara – There Comes A Time (Original Mix) 06:43 129bpm Ebm Gab Rhome – Alter He-Go (Fiona Kraft Remix) 05:37 123bpm D Tuccillo – Let’s Do It (Original Mix) 05:56 120bpm Gm Fusion Groove Orchestra – If Only I Could feat. Steve Lucas (Liem Remix) 07:06 126bpm Amin Josh Butler, Tom Da Lips – Sax Tool (Original Mix) 06:06 127bpm Ebm Lauhaus, Mario Franca – Space Ibiza (Aday Chinea Remix) 07:04 124bpm Fm Mo’Cream – Up All Night (Mo’Cream Extended Version) 06:46 124bpm Am Carl Waller – Back To ’92 (Extended Mix) 06:40 130bpm Fm Dilby – Last Word (Original Mix) 06:50 124bpm G Lubelski – Diffuser (Black Loops 4AM Mix) 06:40 128bpm Ebm The Checkup, Cansu Kandemir – Waited Long Enough (Original Mix) 06:36 127bpm Am Mo’Cream – Just The Game (Original Mix) 06:12 123bpm Em
2023.03.21 18:21 Indian_Sage_007 Council of Daggers
SynopsisPrologue
What do you do when you discover you can see the future?
For Raiden, the answer is befriending a cocaine head, falling in love with a girl with mommy issues, and becoming a wanted criminal—all in the summer of 1708.
He also had a vision of the rise of a demon lord, so that’s something.
Raiden flinched as the crackling sound of lightning filled the sky. He didn't like this weather, the skies being covered with dark black clouds, the cold breeze flowing around, sending chills down his skinny body, and the worst of all was the puddles, dirtying his shoes every now and then.
CRACK.
He flinched once again. If his mother was here, she would have been really disappointed in him.
'You are supposed to become a strong awakened one, you cannot be afraid of lightning. You are a man, act like one.' Her words may not be comforting, but she was right. He cannot be afraid of lightning all his life.
He was starting school in a few days, he could only imagine, what would his classmates think, if they knew that he was afraid of lighting…
Usually, he doesn't like going out in such weather, but today he made an exception, just for the day. He was dressed in his finest clothes, and while holding hands with his aunt Gracie, he was going to Gojo's Milkshake.
It is a very expensive shop, even amongst the awakened ones. But it has been a tradition in his family, every birthday, he and his mother visit the shop and drink its signature Royal Stag Milkshake. It is the most delicious milkshake in the world and the only thing that could force him to come out in this weather.
He felt a hand on his head, ruffling his hair. He looked up and saw his Aunt Gracie, smiling down at him. "Excited for your birthday?"
He smiled, he truly was. "Yeah."
"How old will you be this year?"
He jumped over a puddle and then answered. "I will be 11 years old."
"Woah! 11 years. Six more years and you will be an adult." She then continued. "You know, I still can't believe that you are the same little runt who recently stopped wetting his bed."
His ears became red, Aunt Gracie is a very nice lady, but she never lets him forget about his shameful past. He stopped wetting the bed two years ago, but still, she doesn't forget to remind him about his past from time to time. "I don't that anymore. I am a grown-up now."
She ruffled his hair one more time. "Yeah, you are."
People on the streets were looking at him and his aunt, probably because of the armor and sword dangling from his aunt's waist. She came to pick him up in her work clothes, which was weird considering his mother and she dont like to roam around on the streets, wearing their work clothes, according to them, it intimidates their neighbors, which they always try to avoid.
Another peculiar thing was that his mother didn't come to pick him up, herself. So he asked his aunt about it. "Aunty, do you know why mother didn't come to pick me up?"
She smiled. "Are you missing your mommy?" he hated when she talks like that as if he was a child.
"NO! I was just curious."
She ruffled his hair once again. "Well she was busy, you see, that is why she sent me."
"Okay." They didn't talk much for the rest of their journey, as he didn't want her to ruffle his hair.
As they got to the business street, his mouth started watering, the whole street was filled with different fragrances of fruit, attracting every pedestrian to a rather loud and colorful shop, The Gojo's Milkshake. He couldn't help but smile as he imagined the milkshake that he would order today.
It was then he felt a chill run his spine, he felt fear, he felt as if a demon had laid eyes on him, and he would be able to smile again. The feeling vanished as soon as it came, but for that split second, he was terrified to his core. He started looking around, wondering what was that all about, it is then he spotted it.
Right across Gojo's was a small alley, on whose entrance stood a person, he could not see its face, it had covered its body with a very dirty grey shawl, but he could see the mouth of the guy, it was smiling. He couldn't see its eyes, but he had a feeling, that the person was smiling at him.
His suspicion became evident when the person moved its lips. They were on a busy street, surrounded by vendors and people muttering with each other, but still, he heard what the person said as if he was standing right beside him.
"Found you," it whispered.
Those two words were like a devil's whisper, fear took over his body, he stepped back, bumping into his aunt. "Woah, are you okay?" she asked, but he couldn't speak, well, he didn't dare to speak, he just stared at the person, still smiling at him, afraid that if he stops looking, then it would come for him…
Seeing the fear in his eyes, Gracie followed his gaze, he was looking at a homeless hobo, terrified of him for some reason. Assuming the worst, she bent down, wanting to ask him whether he knew that hobo, but when she looked back up, the hobo had vanished. She looked in that small alley, it was empty, devoid of any living being. It was like the homeless guy was never there, to begin with.
Before she could question whether this was her hallucination, she heard someone calling their name. "GRACIE! RAIDEN! Here." They turned around to see Martha, Raiden's mother calling them…
Martha was wearing her adventuring clothes, like Gracie. She was wearing her leather armor and was armed from top to bottom. Her brown hair was collected in form of a bun, she waved her hand excitedly.
She came running towards them, with a big smile, but soon her smile change to a frown, when she saw her little boy's face, it had become pale as if he had spotted a ghost recently.
"What happened." She asked. She then got on her knees and hugged him. "What happened sweety?"
While in the tight embrace of his mother, Raiden pointed towards the alley "There!" Martha followed his finger and spotted nothing.
"There is a demon standing there" he insisted. Martha was confused as she could see anything, she then turned towards Gracie. "Do you know what this is all about?"
Gracie didn't know what to say, she also spotted someone standing by that alley, but it was not there anymore. Whether it was a hallucination, or not, she didn't know. So she told her the truth "There was this creepy hobo standing there. He got spooked by him."
Martha sighed with relief, she then hugged her boy. "Don't worry Raiden, mummy won't let anything harm you." Her comforting words, although eased some of his fear, he was still pretty shaken.
She comforted him, saying that he needs to be strong, like her. He would also become awakened one someday, so he should stop being afraid of simple little hobos. Gracie stood there, smiling, Martha did love her little boy very much. They soon got up and started walking to Gojo's, it was his birthday after all, and they need to celebrate it.
At the entrance of the shop, the old Gojo himself came out to greet them, they were their oldest customer, also he was a good friend of his mother.
"Good evening Raiden, and happy birthday my boy." he smiled at the old man's greeting. "Thank you, Mr. Gojo.".
"Now come on now, we have a table for three reserved for this special occasion."
As they were about to enter the shop, someone bumped into Martha, cutting off her coin pouch from her belt. As an experienced Adventurer, she noticed it right away, and so did Gracie. But the thief was too fast, it ran away as soon as it got the merchandise. The pouch contained all of Martha's money so she ran behind it, leaving behind Gracie and Raiden.
Gracie, who was worried about her friend, asked Raiden to go in with Gojo, so she will check on her mother, and thus she too ran behind her. He didn't like, that they abandoned him there, he wanted to ask them to stop, don't go. But before even he could say something, they vanished.
The old man comforted him and brought him inside…
***
The thief was very fast and knew the alleys well, but Martha was a veteran adventurer, she was also a Rank-10 warrior, so she kept up with him pretty easily. After taking a lot of turns here and there, soon a smile bloomed on her face, the thief has fucked up, it had taken a turn to a dead end.
She stopped running and started walking inside the alley, to confront the thief. Till then it had also realized that he was cornered. He looked around trying desperately to find a way out, but he could not. "Give up! You have no way to run."
The man then stopped struggling and turned around to face her. She could not see his face as it was covered with a dirty grey shawl, he looked like a hobo. Considering that he is a powerless man, she decided not to harm him that much, she would only cause him some bruises.
It was then she felt someone else come running into the alley, by the corner of her eye, she spotted Clair. She frowned. "Where is Raiden?"
"He is with Mr. Gojo, I thought you would need some help, so I came running as well." She groaned with frustration, she decided to give Gracie an earful later, how could she leave an 11-year-old behind like that? But for now, she concentrated on the hobo, who was standing still in front of her.
"Give up the pouch!" she yelled. It then started raining heavily.
"No no no no no nono no no… This shouldn't be happening." The thief mumbled, but both of them heard it clearly, they were both awakened one after all, that man was terrified.
"Tough luck kid," she yelled, and slowly started walking towards him. "Give up the pouch, and you can go away. Unharmed."
The thief raised his hand and snapped his fingers. It was then the rain stopped, and both of them looked up and saw that a dome had surrounded the alley, a barrier. They didn't know what kind of barrier it was, but they raised their guard. This thief was not a normal person, it was an awakened one, just like them.
"Who are you?" Martha asked warily.
The thief removed the shawl, some kind of dark energy had surrounded the man's face, making it hard for them to see him. Then he started walking towards them, and with a very deep and unsettling voice, the man started speaking "I go by names…" After a deep breath, he continued. "But recently one of my last victims called me Bakemono."
Recognizing the word from the Kanji language, she frowned "Monster?"
"Yeah, I kind of like the name."
It was then the man, conjured two swords from mid-air, and threw them toward both of them. Those swords looked freshly forged, and were in perfect condition, they could tell from a glance, they were mana-conducting swords, far stronger than the ones that they were holding currently.
"Go on now. Pick it up. Make it interesting for me." the man said while yawning…
Socials and other things
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2023.03.21 18:21 sakasua1 20F from Spain looking for long term friendship :)
(first of all if u wanna flirt or somethin' it wont work for me cause i have a bf, just saying 🛐)
Soooo yea thats it, i wanna meet new ppl here cause i wanna keep making good friends :D I like to talk to ppl from all around the world but also it'd be cool if I meet some ppl from Spain too :))
A few things about me:
-I like videogames but i only play Nintendo ones like Splatoon, mk8 deluxe, Stardew Valley (this is the only game I have on steam) and ACNH.
-I like to hang out with my friends, usually to take loooong walks and take cool pictures :))
-I like to cook but im usually lazy to start cooking something jdjfkskwks but i love to make new pasta recipes :)
-I like everything that involves piercings and tattoos, i have 3 piercings (apart from the basic lobe ones) and 4 little tattoos
(By this part of the post im noticing im writing too much "I like" lol JAJAJAJ)
-I like to read and listening to music :) tho i dont have any fav author or genre and its difficult to say my fav artist/song
If u wanna know something more about me, hmu :))
(Btw, be between 18yo-23yo, thanks <3 and if u have read all of this tell me some random fact about u!)
submitted by sakasua1 to MakeNewFriendsHere [link] [comments]
Soooo yea thats it, i wanna meet new ppl here cause i wanna keep making good friends :D I like to talk to ppl from all around the world but also it'd be cool if I meet some ppl from Spain too :))
A few things about me:
-I like videogames but i only play Nintendo ones like Splatoon, mk8 deluxe, Stardew Valley (this is the only game I have on steam) and ACNH.
-I like to hang out with my friends, usually to take loooong walks and take cool pictures :))
-I like to cook but im usually lazy to start cooking something jdjfkskwks but i love to make new pasta recipes :)
-I like everything that involves piercings and tattoos, i have 3 piercings (apart from the basic lobe ones) and 4 little tattoos
(By this part of the post im noticing im writing too much "I like" lol JAJAJAJ)
-I like to read and listening to music :) tho i dont have any fav author or genre and its difficult to say my fav artist/song
If u wanna know something more about me, hmu :))
(Btw, be between 18yo-23yo, thanks <3 and if u have read all of this tell me some random fact about u!)
2023.03.21 18:05 sideswipe781 UFC San Antonio Betting Preview (& UFC 286 Review)
Bet record: 17-31, Staked: 53.75u, Profit/Loss: +4.96u, ROI: 9.24%, Parlay Suggestions: 21-6
If you’re not bothered about my ramblings on last week’s opinions, scroll down for UFC San Antonio Breakdowns
(For context, my UFC 286 Preview for that event can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/MMAbetting/comments/11qh6nn/ufc_286_betting_preview_ufc_las_vegas_review/)
UFC 286
Bets: 4-3, +5.74u, Parlay Suggestions: 3-1
✅ 3u Gunnar Nelson & Marvin Vettori both to Win (-115)
✅ 2u Jack Shore & Impa Kasangany to Win (-180)
✅ 1u Jack Shore to Win in Round 2 or 3 (+241)
❌ 1.5u Omar Morales to Win (-110)
✅ 1u Leon Edwards to Win (+250)
❌ 1u Juliana Miller & Omran Chaaban to Win (-125)
❌ 0.25u Marvin Vettori, Gunnar Nelson, Jack Shore & Juliana Miller all to Win (+205)
As I said in my initial comments about UFC 286, I think it really under delivered from a fan perspective because of the lack of high level UK prospects. Without a Molly McCann, Darren Till, Paddy Pimblett or a Tom Aspinall, the fans just weren’t as excited or vocal throughout the card.
With that said, I’m always having fun if I’m making money! This was my third winning event in a row, a streak of over 10u profit in March. It was obviously a card of strong favourites but I’m mostly happy with the spots I chose to pull the trigger on. The Nelson/Vettori parlay was nice as both men delivered exactly what I expected them to, and Jack Shore also came through to cash a bigger priced prop bet. It’s really satisfying when your reads on fights turn out to be spot on, and your bets cash with relative ease as a result. Here's some live thoughts on the card + my breakdowns:
- So proud of Leon Edwards man, that was one hell of a performance. The way he levelled up that takedown defence and made his shots count in the clinch. It was one of those complicated fights to score in that he was moving backwards and fighting defensively for the most part, but he certainly landed more shots and had the better moments. Really happy to have gotten 2/1 and 3/1 (boosted) on the dog there.
- Jesus Christ Rafael Fiziev is quick. The combinations he was throwing in the first minute of round three were some of the most terrifying spurts of offence I’ve seen in some time. And then just a minute or so later Justin Gaethje starts winging massive uppercuts and cannot miss with them. That was such a good fight, real back and forth stuff. I feel like Gaethje was lowkey a really good underdog spot all week but it’s hard to give those opinions credence sometimes when the masses are all hyping up Fiziev. At least I identified Fiziev was not a good bet.
- Massive shoutout to Gunnar Nelson for performing exactly like a -400 should, as I expected him to! He got in, landed a takedown, and found the sub soon after. I still wish he would have done that against Takashi Sato, bur he rounded out the parlay with Vettori and made it a winning night for me! Along with Hadley, he was the best parlay option on the card (as I suggested).
- Casey O’Neill didn’t shoot for a takedown. Not the fight anyone was expecting. It’s disappointing when that happens but there’s not really a whole lot you can do. Jennifer Maia is a really underrated striker so god knows why Casey chose that path. When you consider the way Jake Hadley approached his fight and compare it with O’Neill…that’s the difference between good fight IQ and bad. I actually said in my analysis “I trust O’Neill’s dedication to her gameplan here” which is hilarious. Don’t think I can be blamed for not seeing it coming though haha.
- All week I was a little bit confused by all the love for Roman Dolidze, as I got on Marvin Vettori pretty early and didn’t really see a whole lot of reasoning that I understood. To be perfectly honest, Dolidze had more success than I expected him to, and any fighter other than Vettori would probably have wilted and got stopped. With that said, that’s exactly why I bet Marvin, so I don’t necessarily think it was a bad read at all. A solid parlay leg.
- Jack Shore vs Makwan Amirkhani played out exactly as I expected it to. Amirkhani’s a good grappler, so I wasn’t surprised nor worried when he clearly won round 1. In fact, I was more confident in winning my bets as soon as the horn sounded, and it showed. I don’t really understand how a professional fighter can have such a glaring cardio issue and not address it or adjust his style. I hope they keep Makwan around, those Round 2/3 props will always be good. Happy to finally win one of those bigger priced prop bets. I’ve historically been pretty good with props but somehow been on a dry patch since I started posting here.
- Chris Duncan v Morales was a frustrating one. Morales will look back on that one and be pissed off at himself, because he should absolutely be winning that. Chris Duncan really isn’t very good and I am already looking forward to fading him in the future. Hope they try and build him up because there’ll be a good fade waiting to happen. Annoying fight to lose but fair play to Duncan for identifying the path to victory. Glad I went with a smaller stake for a volatile fight.
- A shame what happened to Dusko Todorovic. Christian Leroy Duncan is a really exciting striker so I was looking forward to seeing more of him, but you never want to see that happen. I hope we don’t have to wait until the next England card for C L Duncan’s next fight, but I also hope they give him a bit of a lay-up for to allow for a proper “debut”.
- Nicely done from Jake Hadley, making use of his striking advantage and not getting sucked into a grappling affair. Always annoys me when someone has a distinct advantage but doesn’t use it because it’s not their plan A. He was the best parlay piece of the card. Good for Hadley and I’m excited to see what else he has to offer. Wish I’d gone with him instead of backing Juliana Miller.
- I was keeping half an eye on Herbert/Klein and Wood/Carolina whilst at work. Doesn’t look like I missed a whole lot and haven't bothered to rewatch.
- Juliana Miller with an awful performance. Veronica Macedo looked much improved but it didn’t take a whole lot to defeat an opponent with no plan B. I didn’t anticipate Macedo being the stronger fighter of the two, which changed a whole lot. Poor decision from me to back an inexperienced fighter at -400 like that. Grim. Inexperience really showed.
UFC San Antonio
I'm really excited for the main event of this one, very glad they put this fight together. Unfortunately the headliner is a massive cut above the rest of the card in terms of popularity and calibre, but we’ve had worse cards this year, I don’t mind it. Usually I’d rejoice over the fact we aren’t in the Apex…but we are in Texas, where judging has been historically AWFUL. There isn’t a whole lot we can really do with that information though, except consider how much of a fighter’s win probability is based around them finding a finish. Fighters who are likely to win without the judges getting involved will be the less volatile spots this week.
From a betting perspective, it’s a very weak card. The bookies have done a really good job of pricing the punters out of any value, as my conclusions to most fights see me lining it pretty close to the books, where there ends up being no real numerical edge on either side! Nonetheless, I’ve broken down most of the bouts on the card below:
Cory Sandhagen v Marlon Vera
Marlon Vera has always been one of my favourite fighters. Backing him to win inside the distance when he was a prelim fighter was a spot I always looked out for back in the day, so it’s great to see him climb so high in the rankings. I always support and ride with the fighters that make me money over the years, and Vera has been one of the best of them.
Unfortunately, Vera’s always relied on his power and finishing ability to really carry him through fights, as there are a lot of instances where he’s down on the overall scorecards, before finding a finish. His wins over Dominic Cruz and Frankie Edgar are the two best examples recently, but his issue of being a slow starter also made this applicable in wins over Davey Grant, Nohelin Hernandez and Guido Cannetti. Also similarly, he was being thoroughly outboxed by Rob Font in their main event encounter last year, but the Ecuadorian was stealing rounds with knockdowns in a very similar way.
Considering I expect this fight against Cory Sandhagen to be a closely contested one, Vera’s inability to win minutes and start strong could end up becoming a problem here. The pivotal question in this fight is whether or not Vera can hurt or finish Sandhagen, as I certainly lean towards favouring Cory if this fight goes the distance and Vera hasn’t scored multiple knockdowns.
Vera is one of the most dangerous guys P4P on the roster, with KO and Submission potential across all five rounds – but Sandhagen has been pretty damn durable in his MMA career. Aljamain Sterling was the only man of 19 able to finish Cory, and it came in under 90 seconds. Sandhagen’s performance there was such a disappointment that I’m convinced there was something else going on that hindered him that night. Petr Yan also dropped Sandhagen with a spinning back fist combo, but that seemed very much like Cory getting caught unaware – and he looked like he recover instantly.
Given the calibre that Sandhagen has fought against in the last four years – I think we have to give him the benefit of the doubt in assuming he can stay safe here. If that is the case I expect him to win rounds with superior output and a faster pace – especially considering he’s got a high likelihood of being one round up after five minutes.
I’m not super confident in that take though as it’s hardly on the level of Garbrandt vs Jones or something! So it’s a fight I’m definitely lining as quite close. Sandhagen deserves to be deemed the favourite for the above reasons, but I wouldn’t be too surprised if Vera’s dangerousness was enough to tip the balance in his favour, or if he was able to win a round by just point striking anyway.
I saw a stat this week that said there have been 10 rounds in 2023 where a knockdown is landed but the round still ended and was scored. Of those scorecards, the fighter landing the knockdown won 8 of 10 times. Whilst it’s highly implied that a knockdown means you’re more likely to win the round based off how the following minutes take place, that does still imply the judges are leaning towards awarding damage over minute winning (I personally hate the way MMA judging has gone these days but it is what it is). Just something to consider when you think about Chito’s path to victory.
At the end of the day, it’s an intriguing fight, and not one I think anyone should be rushing to the betting window for due to the small margins in the various skill discrepancies.
How I line this fight: Cory Sandhagen -150 (60%), Marlon Vera +150 (40%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Holly Holm v Yana Santos
Holly Holm is one of those fighters who makes your memory play tricks on you. I instinctively feel like I have a good read on her style and overall calibre, but then when I watch tape she’s always a much more underwhelming version of that fighter I have in my head. She just doesn’t really put her stamp on rounds – spending too much time in the clinch and does not have high enough volume. 3.24 significant strikes landed per 15 minutes is a shockingly low number, especially considering it’s Women’s MMA and Holm has a lot of in cage time. To make matters worse, Holm averages 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes and is now 41 years old.
Whilst there’s a lot of data to crunch on Holm, there’s actually a surprisingly smaller sample size on Yana Santos. Considering Kunitskaya (previous surname) has been a known name in Women’s MMA for some time, it’s pretty crazy to think she only has 7 UFC appearances to her name – most of which are against a lesser calibre than Holly Holm. She’s also coming off a two year lay-off having had a child with Thiago Santos, which adds further uncertainty to an already tepid read.
As I’m sure you may have noticed by now, this breakdown is much more stat-based than I typically offer (though Women’s MMA is a lot more accessible for stats), because I honestly cannot bring myself to re-watch Holly Holm’s career and I’m instead relying on what the numbers are telling me. Perhaps that’s a bit lazy, but this is the 8th week of UFC cards in a row and I am feeling very burnt out! I just don’t think either woman has a particularly commanding style, and there’s a hell of a lot of intangibles floating around this fight (old age, post-child birth, lay-offs, levels of competition, Texas judging etc), so it’s a very easy pass.
How I line this fight: I won’t line a fight I haven’t taped, but I do not recommend Holm at this price.
Bet or Pass: Pass
Nate Landwehr v Austin Lingo
It’s a shame Alex Caceres had to pull out of the originally scheduled bout against Nate Landwehr, but good to see they managed to find Austin Lingo a fight so soon after the Ricardo Ramos one fell through a couple of weeks ago (still annoyed I didn’t get to cash some easy money there). From a fan perspective, this bout is probably the most entertaining of the three available!
Both dudes are hardnosed strikers that like to fight gritty and wear out their opponents. Neither are particularly gifted from a technique perspective, but you’d be hard pressed to find fighters that can out work these two. Pitting them against one another is going to lead to an exhausting fight.
Landwehr is the much more experienced of the two and has clearly had more career success implementing the brawling style, but I think this is just one of those matchups that’s going to be fought quite closely, given how it should play out. Landwehr relies on sheer busyness and drowning his opponents to win rounds but, if he can’t necessarily do that to Lingo, do you really have a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to be the clear round winner? The guy gets hit by 5.56 significant strikes per minute. Considering we are in Texas and there is added volatility to the judging, any fighter that can land 5.56 S.Strikes is live to win a round or two!
Landwehr’s key to winning this fight is going to be in his wrestling, as that’s where he will clearly assert himself. But can he even get it there though? Lingo’s debut performance against Youseff Zalal was a big red flag in terms of his takedown defence, but he looks to have improved it in his following two bouts. However, those came against a lower level of competition so could well be flattering Lingo’s overall ability. His takedown defence stats are quite skewed, and he’s coming off an 18 month layoff which muddies the water even more.
I think the edge in experience and overall competence at the hard-nosed styles means that Landwehr deserves to be favoured here, but I think the pricetag is a bit ridiculous. He should get the win, but I would be very surprised if he does it with the dominance of a -275. The lay off for Lingo means that he can have anywhere from a very low floor to a reasonably high ceiling. Both men are durable and will have moments in this fight, so this is one of the fights where I’m expecting some wild shit from Texas judges. If you’re convinced about betting Landwehr at -300 here, you’re crazy. Lingo the value side, but mostly based off intangibles and hypotheticals, which doesn’t fill me with enough confidence to pull the trigger.
How I line this fight: Nate Landwehr -200 (67%), Austin Lingo +200 (34%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Andrea Lee v Maycee Barber
This one should be pretty fun! It’s speed and agility vs power and force.
Andrea Lee is a complicated fighter to get a full read on, as her performances have really varied throughout her career. She’s well rounded enough to outstrike most equally levelled opponents on the feet, and her grappling isn’t too bad either. Takedown defence needs a bit of work though.
The biggest issue with Lee is those back-to-back losses to Lauren Murphy and Roxanne Modafferi. It’s just inexcusable to lose both of those of those fights when you’re the calibre that Andrea Lee is. I know you can argue she got robbed against Murphy (it’s probably the key example of Texas judging being so bad), but she let the fight become quite close. And yes, Barber lost to Modafferi, but that was all determined by an injury and anyone who tells you otherwise is a hater or hasn’t watched it.
I’ve always thought Barber was overrated in terms of skills, but her physicality and strength are a bit of a gamechanger in the Women’s divisions. She’s well-rounded, but statistically has lesser output than Andrea Lee…which is always concerning. I expect this one to be quite competitive, where Andrea Lee could easily stay safe on the outside and jab her way to a win, as long as she gets on her bike and utilises good footwork. Maycee will plod forward and look to land the power shot, but that’s not a particularly high percentage outcome to rely on in Women’s MMA. If she can get her hands on her and utilise the clinch, I think it’s all one way traffic from there though. Maycee is reliable to do that, at least.
I can understand Barber being the favourite based off the finishing upside, imposing striking with good metrics and ability to land takedowns…but I’m just still not wholly convinced by her ability as a mixed martial artist outside of the way she implements brute force. It might be enough here, but I just don’t like her at this short of a price. Lee has a clear path to victory that, whilst I’m not convinced she can execute it, should be taken seriously.
How I line this fight: Andrea Lee +163 (38%), Maycee Barber -163 (62%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Alex Perez v Manel Kape
It’s just impossible to know what we’re getting from Alex Perez at this stage, isn’t it? I like Manel Kape and rate him relatively highly, but I have always maintained that Perez on his best day could well be a champion at Flyweight. I bet him in most of his fights in the buildup to the title bout against Figgy – and I bet him there as well. Unfortunately Figgy was still in his explosive prime so it didn’t work out, but I expected Perez to become somewhat of a title eliminator gatekeeper from then on. Since that loss two and a half years ago his career has taken a peculiar turn – eight fight cancellations and a 91 second loss to Alexandre Pantoja.
There are just so many question marks surrounding Alex Perez at the moment, and that makes it impossible to know what to expect in this fight. If he was at his best, I’d consider him a slight favourite here, but who knows. Kape’s weakness is clearly defensive wrestling, and he can sometimes be low volume enough on the feet that he makes fights closer than they need to be. Perez has a good enough style to make that work and win here…providing we get him at his best.
I didn’t dive into much tape for this one as I knew I wasn’t going to bet it at all. If you think Kape beats Perez based off the footage available then you’re getting a decent price!
How I line this fight: Didn’t tape, won’t line it.
Bet or Pass: Pass
Chidi Njokuani v Albert Duraev
It’s crazy how much Albert Duraev’s stock has fallen, all in one loss to Joaquin Buckley. Before that bout he looked sensational on the Contender Series, and followed it up with a dominant win over Roman Kopylov as a -450 favourite. He absolutely does his best work in the grappling and showed that he doesn’t have much of a plan B if he can’t land takedowns or settle his opponent on their back. I’m also not too convinced by his cardio, and any opponent that will make him work hard to secure top position can weaponise his questionable endurance in the later rounds.
Buckley’s such a physical and stocky guy though, I think he’s naturally going to be a tough opponent to take down when you’ve got a bit more of a wirey frame like Duraev does. Chidi Njokuani isn’t so muscular and stocky, so I think it’s fair to assume that Duraev’s going to be more of a threat with the takedowns than he was against Buckley.
The problem is, Chidi showed some really impressive get ups after the initial takedown and doesn’t usually settle on the bottom whilst he’s fresh. Dusko Todorovic isn’t the best grappler in the world by any stretch, but Chidi was doing all the right things to prevent hit back from lying flat on the mat, and if he has similar success against Duraev he’s cruising.
The finish to the Robocop fight was a bit of a concern, but that fight heated up to a ridiculously fast pace in round 1 that I think Chidi cardio dumped, got rocked, and kind of quit on the bottom against Rodrigues. The same could happen again, but it would rely on Duraev pushing the pace aggressively with his striking, which isn’t something he often does.
Overall, I think Njokuani definitely deserves to be a favourite here as he is much more dangerous on the feet and has shown us already that he can successfully answer the questions that Duraev will ask. The Russian also does not have much of a plan B and doesn’t always do a whole lot with his top control except set up submissions. Considering Njokuani is a BJJ Black Belt, and the judges probably won’t appreciate those kind of optics from Duraev, I’m not massively convinced by his chances here.
I’m interested to see what kind of price they’re giving for Njokuani ITD in this fight, as I’m quite convinced by his finishing ability since he moved up to Middleweight, and Duraev is very hittable if he gets stuck on the feet. If I can get + money on it I think I’d have a small wager.
How I line this fight: Chidi Njokuani -175 (64%), Albert Duraev +175 (36%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u Chidi Njokuani & CJ Vergara Both to Win (+122)
Steven Peterson v Lucas Alexander
I complain pretty much every week about the UFC’s current fighter calibre having massively declined recently, and nothing proves my point like Steven Peterson finally becoming a betting favourite for the first time in 8 UFC bouts. The guy has been the perfect litmus test to determine whether any fighter is UFC level, and those he has beaten were notoriously bad at the time and didn’t last long at the top level (Chase Hooper excluded because he had some “name value”).
He’s got some similarities to Austin Lingo in that he is some generic white guy with bad tattoos, that doesn’t have any real skill but is gritty and dedicated to the fight. If you can’t put him away, you’re going to have keep your shit together or he might surprise you by sheer output and ruggedness. No fighter that is credited mostly for their ability to take a punch and walk forward deserves to be a -175 favourite, but they also don’t always deserve to be massive underdogs either (see breakdown of Landwehr vs Lingo). The thing that baffles me the most though is that Peterson isn’t much of a finisher (6 of his last 7 went the distance), meaning the books are putting a fair bit of stock into his ability to win a decision.
So…Lucas Alexander. His UFC debut was a quick loss via RNC, but it came off a slip from a kick and the rest was kind of a formality at that point once Brito got the back as a result. Personally I don’t really put much/any stock into that loss as I don’t think it showed us anything about him apart from his defensive grappling isn’t elite? Ask yourself this…if this was Lucas Alexander’s UFC debut, would the line still be the same? It depends on what the regional tape looks like, but I’m quite sure it wouldn’t!
Therefore, we have to go back to the regional scene to actually get a glimpse of Alexander…and there is a lot more to be intrigued by than you might think. He’s a better technical striker than Peterson! He’s got great fluidity and movement, throws a varied arsenal of kicks and combos (lots of leg kicks, which will halt that forward pressure), and switches stances quite often. I’m not too sure how he’ll deal with being crowded by Peterson and his intense style, but I fully expect him to get the better of the majority of the striking exchanges whilst they’re at distance.
To win this fight cleanly, the grappling is the answer for Peterson…but Alexander’s defensive wrestling and get ups aren’t bad at all from what I’ve seen! I’ve seen evidence of him using the cage to get back to his feet and reversing position in the clinch, as well as maintaining position in top control. Apparently he’s a black belt as well, but I try not to immediately assume that makes you a good grappler (he does have 3 submission losses tbf). I did see a few submission attempts and successful reversals from bottom against Jeremias Fernandez, and was impressed with how he handled being on the bottom. The two regional scene submission losses both came in 2018, and honestly he looks like he’s improved his wrestling/grappling a lot since then so I’m not massively concerned by them.
Peterson has averaged just 1.61 TDs landed per 15 minutes, which isn’t a massively high number and doesn’t really fill you with a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to stick to a grappling based gameplan in this fight, especially when we know how much he enjoys brawling. If he does come with that kind of gameplan then I guess I expect him to be favoured (still hard to say how good/bad Alexander’s grappling is), but if he opts to strike I think he’s at a disadvantage.
For me, this fight is clearly a pick’em, or at least leans slightly towards Peterson as the favourite. I do expect Alexander to perform better than his +150 price tag suggests, as I think he’s got the potential to keep out of danger with the grappling and actually outscore Peterson on the feet. This fight probably goes the distance and, given the hesitance I have about Texas judges, I’d much rather be on the + money side there as well. Alexander is still being regarded as a “UFC debut” fighter in my eyes so I won’t be staking much here…but if you’re betting Peterson at -180 I think you’re crazy.
How I line this fight: Steven Peterson -120 (54%), Lucas Alexander +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: 1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better…waiting to see if the juice continues)
Trevin Giles v Preston Parsons
Preston Parsons looked really good in his win over Evan Elder last year, with the latter going on to impress everyone with his latest performance against Nazim Sadykhov a few weeks ago. Parsons has a really suffocating wrestling/grappling style, forcing his opponents to work and threatening with a variety of submissions. He can be a little “submission over position” but he’s got an arsenal of really good sweeps from bottom. His striking also looked decent in the loss to Daniel Rodriguez, throwing shots at angles and landing pretty cleanly on D-Rod a few times.
He faces Trevin Giles, who has had a pretty eventful UFC career so far. Giles suffered back to back R3 losses to Zak Cummings and Gerald Meerschaert in fights he was clearly winning, where lapses in concentration saw him snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. He then went on to be the benefactor of one of the worst decisions in MMA history when he beat James Krause by decision. Giles hasn’t really gone on to do a whole lot in his UFC career since, but a well-aged win over Roman Dolidze stands out as the highlight.
Giles has decent striking himself, but he is such a low volume fighter that I think he’s going to struggle to win rounds against Preston ‘Pressure’ Parsons if he doesn’t do damage. The younger fighter will be happy to push the pace in this one, varying up his striking with a few takedown entries and just overwhelming Giles, who likes to fight patiently and methodically on the feet. Giles looks clean when he’s involved in a staring match on the feet, but when the tempo turns up and things get a bit wild he kind of loses all composure and technique (see losses to Morales and Du Plessis recently). Giles is also a decent enough grappler, but he’s prone to reversals on the mat (which Parsons will definitely try to execute), and can accept bottom position if his initial guard sub or two get shut down.
I’m struggling to really see why this one is being lined as a pick’em here, as Giles doesn’t hold a whole lot of advantages that I think he’ll be able to implement. He’s clearly a good striker, but the low volume should prevent him from really being able to show that off properly, and he won’t be the fighter looking to put his stamp on rounds when he’s fighting at a tempo way higher than he wants. He’s more experienced, but we’ve also seen lots of examples of poor fight IQ consistently creeping into Giles’ game and he hasn’t addressed the flaws of his style.
I’d line Parsons as a small to moderate favourite in this fight, and I’ll be betting him for a couple of units as a result.
How I line this fight: Trevin Giles +150 (40%), Preston Parsons -150 (60%)
Bet or Pass: 3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
CJ Vergara v Daniel Da Silva
To me, this seems like one of those fights where the UFC are acknowledging Vergara has paid his dues, and are giving him a bit of a softball as a result.
No one really knew what to make of Vergara when he got to the UFC – a KO win on the Contender Series in 41 seconds is usually a red flag more than anything! They lined him up with Ode Osbourne for his debut, where he was a +170 underdog. He put a really impressive display in that fight, with many thinking he actually won against a guy that is quite well respected at Flyweight.
Next, he was a +270 underdog to Kleydson Rodrigues, who was making his debut as a highly, highly touted prospect. Everyone and their mothers was on Rodrigues in that fight, yet Vergara fought a really smart and dedicated gameplan and won a close split decision. I had a big bet on Kleydson in his fight a few weeks ago, and rewatching the Vergara fight had me respecting him all over again. Given what we saw Kleydson do to Shannon Ross (not that the latter is a world beater) did nothing but improve Vergara’s stock.
Then, for his third UFC bout, he gets Tatsuro Taira! Probably one of the top 5 hottest unranked prospects in the sport right now. That was the first time we saw Vergara actually look like the +220 underdog that the books had him as, but given the hype around Taira that’s actually a respectable number to be graded at! There really isn’t a long list of fighters who are willing to fight Taira at the moment, so the matchmakers have probably scheduled this fight as a thank you for Vergara being a company man.
They’ve given him Daniel da Silva (Lacerda) as a reward. DdS is a pretty wild fighter, with 15 bouts all ending inside the distance (and none even reaching round 3). That kind of kill-or-be-killed style is certainly fun to watch, but it doesn’t really work out as well as you’d think when you hit the big shows. Don’t get me wrong, he looks pretty decent in round 1, but Vergara is a durable guy that has shown good IQ in the cage so far. He should find a way to stay safe in that opening round, probably by landing a takedown and coasting in top control like Jeff Molina did (also, shoutout Jeff Molina for handling the social media chaos with grace last week!), or by pushing that ferocious striking pace and keeping da Silva on the backfoot.
Even so, da Silva is a liability to himself in Round 1 as well, as we saw in losses to Francisco Figueiredo and Victor Altamirano. Getting kneebar’d by Figgy’s subpar brother is a pretty bad look, and he had absolutely no answer for Altamirano’s ground striking as soon as he was on his back. His commitment to the guard sub is insane, and it’s probably going to be responsible for yet another loss here against Vergara.
I think we’re getting a decent price on Vergara here. The blueprint has been written on Da Silva and, whilst Vergara will have to be careful for the opening few minutes, I think CJ’s got him covered here. I jumped in on the -275 as a parlay piece, as I think there’s an argument Vergara should probably be a bigger favourite here?
Also, as a side note from watching Molina vs Da Silva – Damn James Krause was a good coach. What a waste!
How I line this fight: CJ Vergara -300 (75%), Daniel Da Silva +300 (25%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
Vinicius Salvador v Victor Altamirano
I loved Vinicius Salvador’s DWCS performance against Shannon Ross and I’m really excited to see him make his debut, but I’m not massively sure about how good he is as an overall fighter. His style instantly makes him a fan favourite, but using nothing but head movement to defend, and having that cocky style that throws ridiculous highlight reel kicks isn’t really a positive trait when you’re looking to put your hard earned money on a fighter. It looks cool and can sometimes impress the judges…but it’s a risky game and can easily see you getting caught clean or making mistakes. There’s a reason Michel Pereira doesn’t fight like a lunatic anymore.
Salvador hits hard and absolutely has knockout power, having finished 13 of his 14 wins by KO (the other was a submission). He’s also lost inside the distance in three of his 4 losses, and Shannon Ross did have him hurt for a second or two in the DWCS fight. He’s a chaotic fighter, and I’m really annoyed we got robbed of the chance to see him fight Daniel Da Silva a few months ago. It would have been fireworks.
This might sound stupid as a genuine piece of logic and reasoning, but I have always fully believed the notion that Mexican fighters have the best chins and next level toughness. It’s kind of a dumb narrative for me to hang my hat on, but I am always hesitant to side with a knockout-based fighter if it’s a Mexican opponent they’re trying to put to sleep. We saw Altamirano eat a few clean and heavy shots from Daniel Da Silva in his last bout, which makes me think I might have to side with my illogical narrative once again.
With that said, I still think Salvador deserves to be favoured by a small margin here. Victor Altamirano just isn’t very good. His win over DdS was kind of a high variance random knee, and he was clearly losing that fight up to that point. He was competitive in the win against Carlos Hernandez, but I feel like that fight didn’t do much to show off the skills of either guy and it really solidified that they are equally matched as entry level UFC fighters. It was like an intense sparring session, where neither guy had any real sting on their shots and only looked to point score, with a bit of cage pushing thrown in for good measure.
The power discrepancy between Altamirano and Salvador is too big to ignore here. Salvador is going to come out hot and look to take Victor’s head off, and I just don’t think Altamirano is going to be able to earn back the respect of Salvador here. The striking should be one-way traffic whilst they’re fresh, simply because Salvador’s going be doing damage with almost every shot that he lands. As the fight wears on though, I expect Altamirano have a lot more success in the later minutes, as he settles into the fight and has grown confident he can withstand the power (as well as some of the sting coming off Salvador’s shots).
Altamirano doesn’t look like wrestling/grappling is his preferred skillset, but I think he would do well to lean on it a bit here. I haven’t been able to really find any tape on Salvador’s defensive wrestling/grappling, but I have to assume that a fighter with as little technical discipline as him is probably not the greatest grappler in the world.
I see Vinicius Salvador as something similar to the Brazilian equivalent of Trevor Peak. It's easy to get ahead of yourself and try to fade a guy with brute force and no technique, but it’s important to realise that the judges don’t score technique and as long as Salvador is landing something, he’ll earning favour with the judges and threatening to score a finish too.
I don’t think Altamirano is the guy to capitalise on those defensive lapses of Salvador, so I think the Brazilian is the rightful favourite. However, there’s not enough value on the line to justify a bet here, and Salvador could easily be the maker of his own downfall with his reckless style, and that’s not the kind of guy I like to back.
Very excited to see this one play out. I will probably throw Salvador into a couple of my untracked degenerate parlays, but officially it’s a no-bet for me.
How I line this fight: Vinicius Salvador -120 (54%), Victor Altamirano +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Tamires Vidal v Hailey Cowan
The UFC are being very generous to Hailey Cowan, aren’t they!? After trying and failing to set her up with one of the worst fighters on the roster, Ailin Perez, they’re trying again to offer her a bit of a soft entry into the UFC.
The problem is that Cowan is just simply not very good, so I think she’s going to struggle against anyone that’s borderline UFC calibre. Tamires Vidal sits on the fringe, and she seems to be the much more dangerous of the two and actually has some process to her striking, so I think Cowan deserves to be the underdog once again.
The betting line here has been on a real journey already. Books opened Cowan as a +200 underdog, and it looks to have been jumped on by some opportunistic value bettors – and rightly so! I just hope the steam has come in because they think the line was wide, not because they have any real faith in Cowan!
I’m intrigued to see how far the overcorrection goes, as this one really should land around a pick’em. The books won’t mind tipping the balance towards Cowan if it means they’ve got equal money on each side, as this isn’t going to be a high stakes fight so they’ll prioritise keeping the book green.
I have to remind myself of the calibre I’m dealing with here though…both women are low level and high variance is at play! If all the money on Cowan continues to come and Vidal’s price gets bigger, then a true value bettor should pounce on any decent size + money…but you really do have to accept that you’re getting into bed with variance here.
How I line this fight: Tamires Vidal -110 (52%), Hailey Cowan +110 (48%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Bets (Placed bets in bold, others are pending as line may improve)
3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
0.25u Njokuani, Parsons & Vergara All to Win (+330)
1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better)
Parlay Do’s: Njokuani, Parsons, Vergara
Parlay Don’ts: Sandhagen, Holm, Landwehr, Barber, Peterson, Cowan
UFC 287 (Breakdown next week but don’t expect line to hold)
2u Michael Chiesa to Win (-150)
Best of luck with your bets!
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If you’re not bothered about my ramblings on last week’s opinions, scroll down for UFC San Antonio Breakdowns
(For context, my UFC 286 Preview for that event can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/MMAbetting/comments/11qh6nn/ufc_286_betting_preview_ufc_las_vegas_review/)
UFC 286
Bets: 4-3, +5.74u, Parlay Suggestions: 3-1
✅ 3u Gunnar Nelson & Marvin Vettori both to Win (-115)
✅ 2u Jack Shore & Impa Kasangany to Win (-180)
✅ 1u Jack Shore to Win in Round 2 or 3 (+241)
❌ 1.5u Omar Morales to Win (-110)
✅ 1u Leon Edwards to Win (+250)
❌ 1u Juliana Miller & Omran Chaaban to Win (-125)
❌ 0.25u Marvin Vettori, Gunnar Nelson, Jack Shore & Juliana Miller all to Win (+205)
As I said in my initial comments about UFC 286, I think it really under delivered from a fan perspective because of the lack of high level UK prospects. Without a Molly McCann, Darren Till, Paddy Pimblett or a Tom Aspinall, the fans just weren’t as excited or vocal throughout the card.
With that said, I’m always having fun if I’m making money! This was my third winning event in a row, a streak of over 10u profit in March. It was obviously a card of strong favourites but I’m mostly happy with the spots I chose to pull the trigger on. The Nelson/Vettori parlay was nice as both men delivered exactly what I expected them to, and Jack Shore also came through to cash a bigger priced prop bet. It’s really satisfying when your reads on fights turn out to be spot on, and your bets cash with relative ease as a result. Here's some live thoughts on the card + my breakdowns:
- So proud of Leon Edwards man, that was one hell of a performance. The way he levelled up that takedown defence and made his shots count in the clinch. It was one of those complicated fights to score in that he was moving backwards and fighting defensively for the most part, but he certainly landed more shots and had the better moments. Really happy to have gotten 2/1 and 3/1 (boosted) on the dog there.
- Jesus Christ Rafael Fiziev is quick. The combinations he was throwing in the first minute of round three were some of the most terrifying spurts of offence I’ve seen in some time. And then just a minute or so later Justin Gaethje starts winging massive uppercuts and cannot miss with them. That was such a good fight, real back and forth stuff. I feel like Gaethje was lowkey a really good underdog spot all week but it’s hard to give those opinions credence sometimes when the masses are all hyping up Fiziev. At least I identified Fiziev was not a good bet.
- Massive shoutout to Gunnar Nelson for performing exactly like a -400 should, as I expected him to! He got in, landed a takedown, and found the sub soon after. I still wish he would have done that against Takashi Sato, bur he rounded out the parlay with Vettori and made it a winning night for me! Along with Hadley, he was the best parlay option on the card (as I suggested).
- Casey O’Neill didn’t shoot for a takedown. Not the fight anyone was expecting. It’s disappointing when that happens but there’s not really a whole lot you can do. Jennifer Maia is a really underrated striker so god knows why Casey chose that path. When you consider the way Jake Hadley approached his fight and compare it with O’Neill…that’s the difference between good fight IQ and bad. I actually said in my analysis “I trust O’Neill’s dedication to her gameplan here” which is hilarious. Don’t think I can be blamed for not seeing it coming though haha.
- All week I was a little bit confused by all the love for Roman Dolidze, as I got on Marvin Vettori pretty early and didn’t really see a whole lot of reasoning that I understood. To be perfectly honest, Dolidze had more success than I expected him to, and any fighter other than Vettori would probably have wilted and got stopped. With that said, that’s exactly why I bet Marvin, so I don’t necessarily think it was a bad read at all. A solid parlay leg.
- Jack Shore vs Makwan Amirkhani played out exactly as I expected it to. Amirkhani’s a good grappler, so I wasn’t surprised nor worried when he clearly won round 1. In fact, I was more confident in winning my bets as soon as the horn sounded, and it showed. I don’t really understand how a professional fighter can have such a glaring cardio issue and not address it or adjust his style. I hope they keep Makwan around, those Round 2/3 props will always be good. Happy to finally win one of those bigger priced prop bets. I’ve historically been pretty good with props but somehow been on a dry patch since I started posting here.
- Chris Duncan v Morales was a frustrating one. Morales will look back on that one and be pissed off at himself, because he should absolutely be winning that. Chris Duncan really isn’t very good and I am already looking forward to fading him in the future. Hope they try and build him up because there’ll be a good fade waiting to happen. Annoying fight to lose but fair play to Duncan for identifying the path to victory. Glad I went with a smaller stake for a volatile fight.
- A shame what happened to Dusko Todorovic. Christian Leroy Duncan is a really exciting striker so I was looking forward to seeing more of him, but you never want to see that happen. I hope we don’t have to wait until the next England card for C L Duncan’s next fight, but I also hope they give him a bit of a lay-up for to allow for a proper “debut”.
- Nicely done from Jake Hadley, making use of his striking advantage and not getting sucked into a grappling affair. Always annoys me when someone has a distinct advantage but doesn’t use it because it’s not their plan A. He was the best parlay piece of the card. Good for Hadley and I’m excited to see what else he has to offer. Wish I’d gone with him instead of backing Juliana Miller.
- I was keeping half an eye on Herbert/Klein and Wood/Carolina whilst at work. Doesn’t look like I missed a whole lot and haven't bothered to rewatch.
- Juliana Miller with an awful performance. Veronica Macedo looked much improved but it didn’t take a whole lot to defeat an opponent with no plan B. I didn’t anticipate Macedo being the stronger fighter of the two, which changed a whole lot. Poor decision from me to back an inexperienced fighter at -400 like that. Grim. Inexperience really showed.
UFC San Antonio
I'm really excited for the main event of this one, very glad they put this fight together. Unfortunately the headliner is a massive cut above the rest of the card in terms of popularity and calibre, but we’ve had worse cards this year, I don’t mind it. Usually I’d rejoice over the fact we aren’t in the Apex…but we are in Texas, where judging has been historically AWFUL. There isn’t a whole lot we can really do with that information though, except consider how much of a fighter’s win probability is based around them finding a finish. Fighters who are likely to win without the judges getting involved will be the less volatile spots this week.
From a betting perspective, it’s a very weak card. The bookies have done a really good job of pricing the punters out of any value, as my conclusions to most fights see me lining it pretty close to the books, where there ends up being no real numerical edge on either side! Nonetheless, I’ve broken down most of the bouts on the card below:
Cory Sandhagen v Marlon Vera
Marlon Vera has always been one of my favourite fighters. Backing him to win inside the distance when he was a prelim fighter was a spot I always looked out for back in the day, so it’s great to see him climb so high in the rankings. I always support and ride with the fighters that make me money over the years, and Vera has been one of the best of them.
Unfortunately, Vera’s always relied on his power and finishing ability to really carry him through fights, as there are a lot of instances where he’s down on the overall scorecards, before finding a finish. His wins over Dominic Cruz and Frankie Edgar are the two best examples recently, but his issue of being a slow starter also made this applicable in wins over Davey Grant, Nohelin Hernandez and Guido Cannetti. Also similarly, he was being thoroughly outboxed by Rob Font in their main event encounter last year, but the Ecuadorian was stealing rounds with knockdowns in a very similar way.
Considering I expect this fight against Cory Sandhagen to be a closely contested one, Vera’s inability to win minutes and start strong could end up becoming a problem here. The pivotal question in this fight is whether or not Vera can hurt or finish Sandhagen, as I certainly lean towards favouring Cory if this fight goes the distance and Vera hasn’t scored multiple knockdowns.
Vera is one of the most dangerous guys P4P on the roster, with KO and Submission potential across all five rounds – but Sandhagen has been pretty damn durable in his MMA career. Aljamain Sterling was the only man of 19 able to finish Cory, and it came in under 90 seconds. Sandhagen’s performance there was such a disappointment that I’m convinced there was something else going on that hindered him that night. Petr Yan also dropped Sandhagen with a spinning back fist combo, but that seemed very much like Cory getting caught unaware – and he looked like he recover instantly.
Given the calibre that Sandhagen has fought against in the last four years – I think we have to give him the benefit of the doubt in assuming he can stay safe here. If that is the case I expect him to win rounds with superior output and a faster pace – especially considering he’s got a high likelihood of being one round up after five minutes.
I’m not super confident in that take though as it’s hardly on the level of Garbrandt vs Jones or something! So it’s a fight I’m definitely lining as quite close. Sandhagen deserves to be deemed the favourite for the above reasons, but I wouldn’t be too surprised if Vera’s dangerousness was enough to tip the balance in his favour, or if he was able to win a round by just point striking anyway.
I saw a stat this week that said there have been 10 rounds in 2023 where a knockdown is landed but the round still ended and was scored. Of those scorecards, the fighter landing the knockdown won 8 of 10 times. Whilst it’s highly implied that a knockdown means you’re more likely to win the round based off how the following minutes take place, that does still imply the judges are leaning towards awarding damage over minute winning (I personally hate the way MMA judging has gone these days but it is what it is). Just something to consider when you think about Chito’s path to victory.
At the end of the day, it’s an intriguing fight, and not one I think anyone should be rushing to the betting window for due to the small margins in the various skill discrepancies.
How I line this fight: Cory Sandhagen -150 (60%), Marlon Vera +150 (40%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Holly Holm v Yana Santos
Holly Holm is one of those fighters who makes your memory play tricks on you. I instinctively feel like I have a good read on her style and overall calibre, but then when I watch tape she’s always a much more underwhelming version of that fighter I have in my head. She just doesn’t really put her stamp on rounds – spending too much time in the clinch and does not have high enough volume. 3.24 significant strikes landed per 15 minutes is a shockingly low number, especially considering it’s Women’s MMA and Holm has a lot of in cage time. To make matters worse, Holm averages 0.72 takedowns per 15 minutes and is now 41 years old.
Whilst there’s a lot of data to crunch on Holm, there’s actually a surprisingly smaller sample size on Yana Santos. Considering Kunitskaya (previous surname) has been a known name in Women’s MMA for some time, it’s pretty crazy to think she only has 7 UFC appearances to her name – most of which are against a lesser calibre than Holly Holm. She’s also coming off a two year lay-off having had a child with Thiago Santos, which adds further uncertainty to an already tepid read.
As I’m sure you may have noticed by now, this breakdown is much more stat-based than I typically offer (though Women’s MMA is a lot more accessible for stats), because I honestly cannot bring myself to re-watch Holly Holm’s career and I’m instead relying on what the numbers are telling me. Perhaps that’s a bit lazy, but this is the 8th week of UFC cards in a row and I am feeling very burnt out! I just don’t think either woman has a particularly commanding style, and there’s a hell of a lot of intangibles floating around this fight (old age, post-child birth, lay-offs, levels of competition, Texas judging etc), so it’s a very easy pass.
How I line this fight: I won’t line a fight I haven’t taped, but I do not recommend Holm at this price.
Bet or Pass: Pass
Nate Landwehr v Austin Lingo
It’s a shame Alex Caceres had to pull out of the originally scheduled bout against Nate Landwehr, but good to see they managed to find Austin Lingo a fight so soon after the Ricardo Ramos one fell through a couple of weeks ago (still annoyed I didn’t get to cash some easy money there). From a fan perspective, this bout is probably the most entertaining of the three available!
Both dudes are hardnosed strikers that like to fight gritty and wear out their opponents. Neither are particularly gifted from a technique perspective, but you’d be hard pressed to find fighters that can out work these two. Pitting them against one another is going to lead to an exhausting fight.
Landwehr is the much more experienced of the two and has clearly had more career success implementing the brawling style, but I think this is just one of those matchups that’s going to be fought quite closely, given how it should play out. Landwehr relies on sheer busyness and drowning his opponents to win rounds but, if he can’t necessarily do that to Lingo, do you really have a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to be the clear round winner? The guy gets hit by 5.56 significant strikes per minute. Considering we are in Texas and there is added volatility to the judging, any fighter that can land 5.56 S.Strikes is live to win a round or two!
Landwehr’s key to winning this fight is going to be in his wrestling, as that’s where he will clearly assert himself. But can he even get it there though? Lingo’s debut performance against Youseff Zalal was a big red flag in terms of his takedown defence, but he looks to have improved it in his following two bouts. However, those came against a lower level of competition so could well be flattering Lingo’s overall ability. His takedown defence stats are quite skewed, and he’s coming off an 18 month layoff which muddies the water even more.
I think the edge in experience and overall competence at the hard-nosed styles means that Landwehr deserves to be favoured here, but I think the pricetag is a bit ridiculous. He should get the win, but I would be very surprised if he does it with the dominance of a -275. The lay off for Lingo means that he can have anywhere from a very low floor to a reasonably high ceiling. Both men are durable and will have moments in this fight, so this is one of the fights where I’m expecting some wild shit from Texas judges. If you’re convinced about betting Landwehr at -300 here, you’re crazy. Lingo the value side, but mostly based off intangibles and hypotheticals, which doesn’t fill me with enough confidence to pull the trigger.
How I line this fight: Nate Landwehr -200 (67%), Austin Lingo +200 (34%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Andrea Lee v Maycee Barber
This one should be pretty fun! It’s speed and agility vs power and force.
Andrea Lee is a complicated fighter to get a full read on, as her performances have really varied throughout her career. She’s well rounded enough to outstrike most equally levelled opponents on the feet, and her grappling isn’t too bad either. Takedown defence needs a bit of work though.
The biggest issue with Lee is those back-to-back losses to Lauren Murphy and Roxanne Modafferi. It’s just inexcusable to lose both of those of those fights when you’re the calibre that Andrea Lee is. I know you can argue she got robbed against Murphy (it’s probably the key example of Texas judging being so bad), but she let the fight become quite close. And yes, Barber lost to Modafferi, but that was all determined by an injury and anyone who tells you otherwise is a hater or hasn’t watched it.
I’ve always thought Barber was overrated in terms of skills, but her physicality and strength are a bit of a gamechanger in the Women’s divisions. She’s well-rounded, but statistically has lesser output than Andrea Lee…which is always concerning. I expect this one to be quite competitive, where Andrea Lee could easily stay safe on the outside and jab her way to a win, as long as she gets on her bike and utilises good footwork. Maycee will plod forward and look to land the power shot, but that’s not a particularly high percentage outcome to rely on in Women’s MMA. If she can get her hands on her and utilise the clinch, I think it’s all one way traffic from there though. Maycee is reliable to do that, at least.
I can understand Barber being the favourite based off the finishing upside, imposing striking with good metrics and ability to land takedowns…but I’m just still not wholly convinced by her ability as a mixed martial artist outside of the way she implements brute force. It might be enough here, but I just don’t like her at this short of a price. Lee has a clear path to victory that, whilst I’m not convinced she can execute it, should be taken seriously.
How I line this fight: Andrea Lee +163 (38%), Maycee Barber -163 (62%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Alex Perez v Manel Kape
It’s just impossible to know what we’re getting from Alex Perez at this stage, isn’t it? I like Manel Kape and rate him relatively highly, but I have always maintained that Perez on his best day could well be a champion at Flyweight. I bet him in most of his fights in the buildup to the title bout against Figgy – and I bet him there as well. Unfortunately Figgy was still in his explosive prime so it didn’t work out, but I expected Perez to become somewhat of a title eliminator gatekeeper from then on. Since that loss two and a half years ago his career has taken a peculiar turn – eight fight cancellations and a 91 second loss to Alexandre Pantoja.
There are just so many question marks surrounding Alex Perez at the moment, and that makes it impossible to know what to expect in this fight. If he was at his best, I’d consider him a slight favourite here, but who knows. Kape’s weakness is clearly defensive wrestling, and he can sometimes be low volume enough on the feet that he makes fights closer than they need to be. Perez has a good enough style to make that work and win here…providing we get him at his best.
I didn’t dive into much tape for this one as I knew I wasn’t going to bet it at all. If you think Kape beats Perez based off the footage available then you’re getting a decent price!
How I line this fight: Didn’t tape, won’t line it.
Bet or Pass: Pass
Chidi Njokuani v Albert Duraev
It’s crazy how much Albert Duraev’s stock has fallen, all in one loss to Joaquin Buckley. Before that bout he looked sensational on the Contender Series, and followed it up with a dominant win over Roman Kopylov as a -450 favourite. He absolutely does his best work in the grappling and showed that he doesn’t have much of a plan B if he can’t land takedowns or settle his opponent on their back. I’m also not too convinced by his cardio, and any opponent that will make him work hard to secure top position can weaponise his questionable endurance in the later rounds.
Buckley’s such a physical and stocky guy though, I think he’s naturally going to be a tough opponent to take down when you’ve got a bit more of a wirey frame like Duraev does. Chidi Njokuani isn’t so muscular and stocky, so I think it’s fair to assume that Duraev’s going to be more of a threat with the takedowns than he was against Buckley.
The problem is, Chidi showed some really impressive get ups after the initial takedown and doesn’t usually settle on the bottom whilst he’s fresh. Dusko Todorovic isn’t the best grappler in the world by any stretch, but Chidi was doing all the right things to prevent hit back from lying flat on the mat, and if he has similar success against Duraev he’s cruising.
The finish to the Robocop fight was a bit of a concern, but that fight heated up to a ridiculously fast pace in round 1 that I think Chidi cardio dumped, got rocked, and kind of quit on the bottom against Rodrigues. The same could happen again, but it would rely on Duraev pushing the pace aggressively with his striking, which isn’t something he often does.
Overall, I think Njokuani definitely deserves to be a favourite here as he is much more dangerous on the feet and has shown us already that he can successfully answer the questions that Duraev will ask. The Russian also does not have much of a plan B and doesn’t always do a whole lot with his top control except set up submissions. Considering Njokuani is a BJJ Black Belt, and the judges probably won’t appreciate those kind of optics from Duraev, I’m not massively convinced by his chances here.
I’m interested to see what kind of price they’re giving for Njokuani ITD in this fight, as I’m quite convinced by his finishing ability since he moved up to Middleweight, and Duraev is very hittable if he gets stuck on the feet. If I can get + money on it I think I’d have a small wager.
How I line this fight: Chidi Njokuani -175 (64%), Albert Duraev +175 (36%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u Chidi Njokuani & CJ Vergara Both to Win (+122)
Steven Peterson v Lucas Alexander
I complain pretty much every week about the UFC’s current fighter calibre having massively declined recently, and nothing proves my point like Steven Peterson finally becoming a betting favourite for the first time in 8 UFC bouts. The guy has been the perfect litmus test to determine whether any fighter is UFC level, and those he has beaten were notoriously bad at the time and didn’t last long at the top level (Chase Hooper excluded because he had some “name value”).
He’s got some similarities to Austin Lingo in that he is some generic white guy with bad tattoos, that doesn’t have any real skill but is gritty and dedicated to the fight. If you can’t put him away, you’re going to have keep your shit together or he might surprise you by sheer output and ruggedness. No fighter that is credited mostly for their ability to take a punch and walk forward deserves to be a -175 favourite, but they also don’t always deserve to be massive underdogs either (see breakdown of Landwehr vs Lingo). The thing that baffles me the most though is that Peterson isn’t much of a finisher (6 of his last 7 went the distance), meaning the books are putting a fair bit of stock into his ability to win a decision.
So…Lucas Alexander. His UFC debut was a quick loss via RNC, but it came off a slip from a kick and the rest was kind of a formality at that point once Brito got the back as a result. Personally I don’t really put much/any stock into that loss as I don’t think it showed us anything about him apart from his defensive grappling isn’t elite? Ask yourself this…if this was Lucas Alexander’s UFC debut, would the line still be the same? It depends on what the regional tape looks like, but I’m quite sure it wouldn’t!
Therefore, we have to go back to the regional scene to actually get a glimpse of Alexander…and there is a lot more to be intrigued by than you might think. He’s a better technical striker than Peterson! He’s got great fluidity and movement, throws a varied arsenal of kicks and combos (lots of leg kicks, which will halt that forward pressure), and switches stances quite often. I’m not too sure how he’ll deal with being crowded by Peterson and his intense style, but I fully expect him to get the better of the majority of the striking exchanges whilst they’re at distance.
To win this fight cleanly, the grappling is the answer for Peterson…but Alexander’s defensive wrestling and get ups aren’t bad at all from what I’ve seen! I’ve seen evidence of him using the cage to get back to his feet and reversing position in the clinch, as well as maintaining position in top control. Apparently he’s a black belt as well, but I try not to immediately assume that makes you a good grappler (he does have 3 submission losses tbf). I did see a few submission attempts and successful reversals from bottom against Jeremias Fernandez, and was impressed with how he handled being on the bottom. The two regional scene submission losses both came in 2018, and honestly he looks like he’s improved his wrestling/grappling a lot since then so I’m not massively concerned by them.
Peterson has averaged just 1.61 TDs landed per 15 minutes, which isn’t a massively high number and doesn’t really fill you with a whole lot of confidence that he’s going to stick to a grappling based gameplan in this fight, especially when we know how much he enjoys brawling. If he does come with that kind of gameplan then I guess I expect him to be favoured (still hard to say how good/bad Alexander’s grappling is), but if he opts to strike I think he’s at a disadvantage.
For me, this fight is clearly a pick’em, or at least leans slightly towards Peterson as the favourite. I do expect Alexander to perform better than his +150 price tag suggests, as I think he’s got the potential to keep out of danger with the grappling and actually outscore Peterson on the feet. This fight probably goes the distance and, given the hesitance I have about Texas judges, I’d much rather be on the + money side there as well. Alexander is still being regarded as a “UFC debut” fighter in my eyes so I won’t be staking much here…but if you’re betting Peterson at -180 I think you’re crazy.
How I line this fight: Steven Peterson -120 (54%), Lucas Alexander +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: 1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better…waiting to see if the juice continues)
Trevin Giles v Preston Parsons
Preston Parsons looked really good in his win over Evan Elder last year, with the latter going on to impress everyone with his latest performance against Nazim Sadykhov a few weeks ago. Parsons has a really suffocating wrestling/grappling style, forcing his opponents to work and threatening with a variety of submissions. He can be a little “submission over position” but he’s got an arsenal of really good sweeps from bottom. His striking also looked decent in the loss to Daniel Rodriguez, throwing shots at angles and landing pretty cleanly on D-Rod a few times.
He faces Trevin Giles, who has had a pretty eventful UFC career so far. Giles suffered back to back R3 losses to Zak Cummings and Gerald Meerschaert in fights he was clearly winning, where lapses in concentration saw him snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. He then went on to be the benefactor of one of the worst decisions in MMA history when he beat James Krause by decision. Giles hasn’t really gone on to do a whole lot in his UFC career since, but a well-aged win over Roman Dolidze stands out as the highlight.
Giles has decent striking himself, but he is such a low volume fighter that I think he’s going to struggle to win rounds against Preston ‘Pressure’ Parsons if he doesn’t do damage. The younger fighter will be happy to push the pace in this one, varying up his striking with a few takedown entries and just overwhelming Giles, who likes to fight patiently and methodically on the feet. Giles looks clean when he’s involved in a staring match on the feet, but when the tempo turns up and things get a bit wild he kind of loses all composure and technique (see losses to Morales and Du Plessis recently). Giles is also a decent enough grappler, but he’s prone to reversals on the mat (which Parsons will definitely try to execute), and can accept bottom position if his initial guard sub or two get shut down.
I’m struggling to really see why this one is being lined as a pick’em here, as Giles doesn’t hold a whole lot of advantages that I think he’ll be able to implement. He’s clearly a good striker, but the low volume should prevent him from really being able to show that off properly, and he won’t be the fighter looking to put his stamp on rounds when he’s fighting at a tempo way higher than he wants. He’s more experienced, but we’ve also seen lots of examples of poor fight IQ consistently creeping into Giles’ game and he hasn’t addressed the flaws of his style.
I’d line Parsons as a small to moderate favourite in this fight, and I’ll be betting him for a couple of units as a result.
How I line this fight: Trevin Giles +150 (40%), Preston Parsons -150 (60%)
Bet or Pass: 3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
CJ Vergara v Daniel Da Silva
To me, this seems like one of those fights where the UFC are acknowledging Vergara has paid his dues, and are giving him a bit of a softball as a result.
No one really knew what to make of Vergara when he got to the UFC – a KO win on the Contender Series in 41 seconds is usually a red flag more than anything! They lined him up with Ode Osbourne for his debut, where he was a +170 underdog. He put a really impressive display in that fight, with many thinking he actually won against a guy that is quite well respected at Flyweight.
Next, he was a +270 underdog to Kleydson Rodrigues, who was making his debut as a highly, highly touted prospect. Everyone and their mothers was on Rodrigues in that fight, yet Vergara fought a really smart and dedicated gameplan and won a close split decision. I had a big bet on Kleydson in his fight a few weeks ago, and rewatching the Vergara fight had me respecting him all over again. Given what we saw Kleydson do to Shannon Ross (not that the latter is a world beater) did nothing but improve Vergara’s stock.
Then, for his third UFC bout, he gets Tatsuro Taira! Probably one of the top 5 hottest unranked prospects in the sport right now. That was the first time we saw Vergara actually look like the +220 underdog that the books had him as, but given the hype around Taira that’s actually a respectable number to be graded at! There really isn’t a long list of fighters who are willing to fight Taira at the moment, so the matchmakers have probably scheduled this fight as a thank you for Vergara being a company man.
They’ve given him Daniel da Silva (Lacerda) as a reward. DdS is a pretty wild fighter, with 15 bouts all ending inside the distance (and none even reaching round 3). That kind of kill-or-be-killed style is certainly fun to watch, but it doesn’t really work out as well as you’d think when you hit the big shows. Don’t get me wrong, he looks pretty decent in round 1, but Vergara is a durable guy that has shown good IQ in the cage so far. He should find a way to stay safe in that opening round, probably by landing a takedown and coasting in top control like Jeff Molina did (also, shoutout Jeff Molina for handling the social media chaos with grace last week!), or by pushing that ferocious striking pace and keeping da Silva on the backfoot.
Even so, da Silva is a liability to himself in Round 1 as well, as we saw in losses to Francisco Figueiredo and Victor Altamirano. Getting kneebar’d by Figgy’s subpar brother is a pretty bad look, and he had absolutely no answer for Altamirano’s ground striking as soon as he was on his back. His commitment to the guard sub is insane, and it’s probably going to be responsible for yet another loss here against Vergara.
I think we’re getting a decent price on Vergara here. The blueprint has been written on Da Silva and, whilst Vergara will have to be careful for the opening few minutes, I think CJ’s got him covered here. I jumped in on the -275 as a parlay piece, as I think there’s an argument Vergara should probably be a bigger favourite here?
Also, as a side note from watching Molina vs Da Silva – Damn James Krause was a good coach. What a waste!
How I line this fight: CJ Vergara -300 (75%), Daniel Da Silva +300 (25%)
Bet or Pass: 1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
Vinicius Salvador v Victor Altamirano
I loved Vinicius Salvador’s DWCS performance against Shannon Ross and I’m really excited to see him make his debut, but I’m not massively sure about how good he is as an overall fighter. His style instantly makes him a fan favourite, but using nothing but head movement to defend, and having that cocky style that throws ridiculous highlight reel kicks isn’t really a positive trait when you’re looking to put your hard earned money on a fighter. It looks cool and can sometimes impress the judges…but it’s a risky game and can easily see you getting caught clean or making mistakes. There’s a reason Michel Pereira doesn’t fight like a lunatic anymore.
Salvador hits hard and absolutely has knockout power, having finished 13 of his 14 wins by KO (the other was a submission). He’s also lost inside the distance in three of his 4 losses, and Shannon Ross did have him hurt for a second or two in the DWCS fight. He’s a chaotic fighter, and I’m really annoyed we got robbed of the chance to see him fight Daniel Da Silva a few months ago. It would have been fireworks.
This might sound stupid as a genuine piece of logic and reasoning, but I have always fully believed the notion that Mexican fighters have the best chins and next level toughness. It’s kind of a dumb narrative for me to hang my hat on, but I am always hesitant to side with a knockout-based fighter if it’s a Mexican opponent they’re trying to put to sleep. We saw Altamirano eat a few clean and heavy shots from Daniel Da Silva in his last bout, which makes me think I might have to side with my illogical narrative once again.
With that said, I still think Salvador deserves to be favoured by a small margin here. Victor Altamirano just isn’t very good. His win over DdS was kind of a high variance random knee, and he was clearly losing that fight up to that point. He was competitive in the win against Carlos Hernandez, but I feel like that fight didn’t do much to show off the skills of either guy and it really solidified that they are equally matched as entry level UFC fighters. It was like an intense sparring session, where neither guy had any real sting on their shots and only looked to point score, with a bit of cage pushing thrown in for good measure.
The power discrepancy between Altamirano and Salvador is too big to ignore here. Salvador is going to come out hot and look to take Victor’s head off, and I just don’t think Altamirano is going to be able to earn back the respect of Salvador here. The striking should be one-way traffic whilst they’re fresh, simply because Salvador’s going be doing damage with almost every shot that he lands. As the fight wears on though, I expect Altamirano have a lot more success in the later minutes, as he settles into the fight and has grown confident he can withstand the power (as well as some of the sting coming off Salvador’s shots).
Altamirano doesn’t look like wrestling/grappling is his preferred skillset, but I think he would do well to lean on it a bit here. I haven’t been able to really find any tape on Salvador’s defensive wrestling/grappling, but I have to assume that a fighter with as little technical discipline as him is probably not the greatest grappler in the world.
I see Vinicius Salvador as something similar to the Brazilian equivalent of Trevor Peak. It's easy to get ahead of yourself and try to fade a guy with brute force and no technique, but it’s important to realise that the judges don’t score technique and as long as Salvador is landing something, he’ll earning favour with the judges and threatening to score a finish too.
I don’t think Altamirano is the guy to capitalise on those defensive lapses of Salvador, so I think the Brazilian is the rightful favourite. However, there’s not enough value on the line to justify a bet here, and Salvador could easily be the maker of his own downfall with his reckless style, and that’s not the kind of guy I like to back.
Very excited to see this one play out. I will probably throw Salvador into a couple of my untracked degenerate parlays, but officially it’s a no-bet for me.
How I line this fight: Vinicius Salvador -120 (54%), Victor Altamirano +120 (46%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Tamires Vidal v Hailey Cowan
The UFC are being very generous to Hailey Cowan, aren’t they!? After trying and failing to set her up with one of the worst fighters on the roster, Ailin Perez, they’re trying again to offer her a bit of a soft entry into the UFC.
The problem is that Cowan is just simply not very good, so I think she’s going to struggle against anyone that’s borderline UFC calibre. Tamires Vidal sits on the fringe, and she seems to be the much more dangerous of the two and actually has some process to her striking, so I think Cowan deserves to be the underdog once again.
The betting line here has been on a real journey already. Books opened Cowan as a +200 underdog, and it looks to have been jumped on by some opportunistic value bettors – and rightly so! I just hope the steam has come in because they think the line was wide, not because they have any real faith in Cowan!
I’m intrigued to see how far the overcorrection goes, as this one really should land around a pick’em. The books won’t mind tipping the balance towards Cowan if it means they’ve got equal money on each side, as this isn’t going to be a high stakes fight so they’ll prioritise keeping the book green.
I have to remind myself of the calibre I’m dealing with here though…both women are low level and high variance is at play! If all the money on Cowan continues to come and Vidal’s price gets bigger, then a true value bettor should pounce on any decent size + money…but you really do have to accept that you’re getting into bed with variance here.
How I line this fight: Tamires Vidal -110 (52%), Hailey Cowan +110 (48%)
Bet or Pass: Pass
Bets (Placed bets in bold, others are pending as line may improve)
3u Preston Parsons to Win (+100)
1.5u CJ Vergara & Chidi Njokuani Both to Win (+122)
0.25u Njokuani, Parsons & Vergara All to Win (+330)
1u Lucas Alexander to Win (+150 or better)
Parlay Do’s: Njokuani, Parsons, Vergara
Parlay Don’ts: Sandhagen, Holm, Landwehr, Barber, Peterson, Cowan
UFC 287 (Breakdown next week but don’t expect line to hold)
2u Michael Chiesa to Win (-150)
Best of luck with your bets!
2023.03.21 18:05 loopyjoe Between the Angels and the Apes - scans, part 2
